PA-Morning Call/Muhlenberg College: McGinty +5
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
May 03, 2024, 02:55:51 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 Senatorial Election Polls
  PA-Morning Call/Muhlenberg College: McGinty +5		 « previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: PA-Morning Call/Muhlenberg College: McGinty +5  (Read 1491 times)
heatcharger
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,417
Sweden


Political Matrix
E: -1.04, S: -0.24

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: September 17, 2016, 07:13:08 PM »
http://www.mcall.com/news/local/elections/mc-pa-trump-clinton-poll-20160917-story.html

McGinty - 43%
Toomey - 38%

This pollster has an A rating on 538.
Logged
Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,282
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: September 17, 2016, 07:25:32 PM »
Toomey's definitely in trouble. This lead isn't insurmountable (and considering the GE margin, it's probably a bit tighter than this), but it looks like, as previous polls have shown, Toomey isn't overperforming Trump by enough.
Logged
Lief 🗽
Lief
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,953


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: September 17, 2016, 07:31:48 PM »
Sad!
Logged
Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,196
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: September 17, 2016, 07:37:02 PM »
What's Muhlenberg's track record? I've heard it mentioned before but I don't remember if it's supposed to be a decent pollster.
Logged
heatcharger
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,417
Sweden


Political Matrix
E: -1.04, S: -0.24

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: September 17, 2016, 07:40:20 PM »
Quote from: Jante's Law Revivalist on September 17, 2016, 07:37:02 PM
What's Muhlenberg's track record? I've heard it mentioned before but I don't remember if it's supposed to be a decent pollster.

They had Obama +6 and Casey +8 in late October 2012, which were pretty close to spot on.
Logged
Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,196
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: September 17, 2016, 08:06:13 PM »
Quote from: heatcharger on September 17, 2016, 07:40:20 PM
Quote from: Jante's Law Revivalist on September 17, 2016, 07:37:02 PM
What's Muhlenberg's track record? I've heard it mentioned before but I don't remember if it's supposed to be a decent pollster.

They had Obama +6 and Casey +8 in late October 2012, which were pretty close to spot on.

Oh well, then I'll take that! Smiley
Logged
Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,727
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: September 17, 2016, 09:02:28 PM »
If Clinton +8 is the margin on election day, Toomey will lose. But I'm not ready to say it will be that wide.
Logged
Ebsy
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,001
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: September 17, 2016, 09:31:32 PM »
D+1.
Logged
windjammer
Atlas Politician
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,514
France


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: September 18, 2016, 04:40:10 AM »
Anyway,
Mcginty isn't a great candidate at all, she's bland, but uncontroversial. That should be enough considering the apparent Clinton landslide coming in PA.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,846
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: September 18, 2016, 12:26:28 PM »
She's a JD Lawyer just like Hassan, Feingold and Harris
Logged
Heisenberg
SecureAmerica
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,112
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: September 18, 2016, 12:51:53 PM »
Quote from: Da-Jon on September 18, 2016, 12:26:28 PM
She's a JD Lawyer just like Hassan, Feingold and Harris
She has a law degree but never took the bar or practiced law (like Mark Warner).
Logged
Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: September 18, 2016, 02:07:29 PM »
It's pretty bad for Toomey that he actually isn't doing better than Trump, McGinty is just doing worse than Clinton (those 5% of voters for Clinton in the 2 way seem to go undecided.)
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,846
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: September 19, 2016, 07:09:48 AM »
Obama won Pa by 5.
Logged
Enduro
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,073


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: September 20, 2016, 12:16:52 AM »
Neither candidate should win.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.033 seconds with 13 queries.