Who is most likely to win the 2020 Democratic presidential nomination?(Aug 2017)

[jmsstnyng]

Joe Biden: Most people like Biden, but I do not think enough people will place him as their number 1 pick.

 Cory Booker: The people I talk to mostly see him as a show-horse, opportunistic politician.

 Sherrod Brown: He could be formidable if only he wanted to run.

 Steve Bullock: I think he should be on the VP list, especially if someone like Harris gets the nomination. It could balance out many tickets.

 Julian Castro: Personally, I do not see why his name keeps coming up in these discussions. He was a mayor (which is mostly ceremonial in San Antonio) and he was the HUD secretary (where he did not make himself stand out by any means).

 Hillary Clinton: The Democratic party is no longer the party of Clinton. She will stay relevant so that her endorsement is relevant.

 Andrew Cuomo: I think he will, much like his father, stay in the conversation until he realizes that the timing is not right for him at all.

 John Delaney: The wrong Democrat for the mood of the country.

 Al Franken: A smart, effective workhorse in the Senate, but I do not think he'll run. Also, I do think he could be pinned as a snide, arrogant Hollywood liberal despite being from Minnesota.

 Tulsi Gabbard: A maverick within the party when that is especially appreciated, but she seems to have skeletons in her closet. Her father had controversial beliefs (which should not be held against her), but she also held some of these beliefs for some time.

 Kirsten Gillibrand: She has recently been flexing her liberal muscles, but she originated as a blue-dog (some see this as evolution while others will see flip-flopping opportunism). Also, the GOP would pin her as the Hillary 2.0 or Hillary-lite, being from her seat in New York and all.

 Kamala Harris: She has potential to be the establishment's favorite. She has experience as AG of California. Many have already expressed concern over the Mnuchin incident.

 Amy Klobuchar: On paper, she sounds like a well-rounded candidate and being from Minnesota only helps. Many see a need for a fighter to take on Trump, and I see Klobuchar as a diplomatic personality.

 Terry McAuliffe: He would be a horrid candidate for 2020. He oozes establishment while also being a Clinton Democrat, when that style of politics is out-dated to many.

 Jeff Merkley: He is mostly known for being the only senator to endorse Sanders. He could be a VP choice if a more liberal choice is needed, but I do not see him surpassing these other big names.

 Seth Moulton: He has been getting exposure lately, especially from the Politico article. He is a young veteran, so that could work well (much like the oft-discussed Kander). Again, he could play out as a VP. He has potential for sure, but I do not see him at the top of the 2020 ticket.

 Chris Murphy: He has made his voice heard primarily through the Sandy Hook aftermath. As unfair as it may seem, his image looks like a typical elite politician, and image can play a larger factor than actual policy and results.

 Gavin Newsom: He will likely wait for another year. He will be governor by 2020, and I think he will give it a go in future election cycles.

 Martin O’Malley: The party is not slowly moving his direction, so I am not sure why he thinks voters will suddenly vote for him. If he was ahead of his time, then maybe, but he's a safe, old-school choice when better choices will be available.

 Deval Patrick: Bain Capital. That will be enough to make him toxic towards the more liberal crowd.

 Tim Ryan: I was a bit surprised that he chose not to run for governor in 2018. As a representative, he will likely choose not to run. He is raising his profile as of now, but that does not mean he will necessarily run in '20.

 Bernie Sanders: If he runs (as of today, I still think he will), he will be a headache for establishment Democrats mostly. I do not think he will be nominated, but he will steer the conversation to the left. He already has made single-payer health care a more popular policy.

 Elizabeth Warren: Her time passed in 2016. She would have been a good opponent against Clinton in the primaries. She stayed neutral in '16 and let Sanders become the face of the progressives movement.  I think she will run, but she will not have enough support to carry her through the finish line.

I will vote for Harris as of now. I think the party will continue giving Sanders a voice but will continue to look to coalesce around a new face. I think Harris and Sanders have the best chance as of now. Harris, if the party hopes to recreate the 2008/2012 model. Sanders could win if too many people run and split many voting blocs while Sanders' supporters stay solidly behind him. My way-too-early ticket prediction: Harris-Bullock. Also, this is my first post here on Atlas.