Rasmussen Tracking Poll [Obama vs McCain]

[KeyKeeper]

We will have to see if McCain can increase his numbers this week. Lets hope Gustav doesn't take the RNC's spot light away.

[KeyKeeper]

We will have to see if McCain can increase his numbers this week. Lets hope Gustav doesn't take the RNC's spot light away.

It should be in and weakening by Tuesday.

I just don't want the DNC and Democrats to say, "Republican don't care about America, they wouldn't even move the RNC back."

[KeyKeeper]

We will have to see if McCain can increase his numbers this week. Lets hope Gustav doesn't take the RNC's spot light away.

It should be in and weakening by Tuesday.

I just don't want the DNC and Democrats to say, "Republican don't care about America, they wouldn't even move the RNC back."

Who cares if they do? The Democrats are the most pessimistic party in American Politics. I tried listening to some of the DNC speeches...but they would get too depressing. (I'm being serious)

Alot of Americans do.

[KeyKeeper]

Where is the Palin bump that we were told we would see?

Do you believe will win see anything in the polls right now on Labor Day and Labor Day weekend? We will not see any bump in the polls until midweek.

[KeyKeeper]

Gov. Palin speech tonight will make or break Sen. McCain.

[KeyKeeper]

People just give a little time, these numbers are going to go up and down. Once the RNC is over and the first debate is over then lets see the numbers.

[KeyKeeper]

Also they do polling at 9:00 EST, Gov. Palin did her speech at 10:30 EST. So we will not see how her speech played off until tomorrow.

[KeyKeeper]

Did their site crash from traffic or is it normal to get error messages this time of day?

I have been trying to get into the site for a while now, I think they maybe changing a few thing or something.

[KeyKeeper]

It is back up, but they haven't updated it yet, which is weird.

[KeyKeeper]

RCP has  the numbers on their site, for Sept 2-4. It has Obama: 48 McCain: 46, but I don't know if that is with or without leaners.

[KeyKeeper]

That's with leaners.  If accurate, that means yesterday's sample was somewhere around a push.

What is a push when you are talking about polling?

[KeyKeeper]

It is now up.

[KeyKeeper]

Friday - September 5, 2008:

General: Head-to-Head

Obama: 46% / 48%, including leaners (-1, -2)
McCain: 45% / 46%, including leaners (+2, +1)

Favorability

Obama: 57% favorable, 42% unfavorable (nc, +1)
McCain: 57% favorable, 41% unfavorable (+1, -2)

[KeyKeeper]

Obama: (nc, -2)
McCain: (+2, +1)

Right?

No, look above.

[KeyKeeper]

Sunday - September 6, 2008:

General: Head-to-Head

Obama: 46% / 48%, including leaners (nc, -1)
McCain: 46% / 48%, including leaners (+1, +2)

Favorability

Obama: 56% favorable, 43% unfavorable (nc, nc)
McCain: 58% favorable, 40% unfavorable (nc, -1)

[KeyKeeper]

I see this race staying tied or close to tied until the first debate.

[KeyKeeper]

I see this race staying tied or close to tied until the first debate.

We keep waiting for that event that will decide this race. My guess is that his never happens. The race will be up in the air until election day.

I see one of them doing very well, while the other bombs out in the debate. Once that happens the one that does good will get a huge bump in the polls.

[KeyKeeper]

Doesn't Sen. Obama and Sen. McCain have a forum tonight or something together?

[KeyKeeper]

Them are very good numbers for Sen. McCain, lets hope Sen. Obama doesn't get a weekend bounce in the polls.

[KeyKeeper]

A Democrat trailing in the polls to an 80-year-old man who farts mummy dust after 8 years of GOP in the WH....in this supposed "Democratic year".     I guess American voters are some pretty racist mofos.

Obama 08 = Dukakis 88.

Sen. McCain is 73 years old and in today's world people are living well into there 90s. Also Sen. McCain is nothing like Pres. Bush, unlike Pres. Bush, Sen. McCain has a record of working with Democrats to get things done. Sen. Obama just has empty words of Hope and Change, which the American people are starting to see right through them.

[KeyKeeper]

I don't know if it's just me, but I have a very bad feeling about the debates.

I have a bad feeling for Sen. Obama.

[KeyKeeper]

I'd expect Obama to get a bump in the polls due to the hurricane coverage. Every time Obama is out of the spotlight his numbers rise.

like...during the DNC?

I think Sen. McCain wil get a bump in the polls due to the Ike. Why you ask? Well, gas prices, Sen. McCain wants to drill off-shore and most Americans do, Sen. Obama doesn't want to.

[KeyKeeper]

Saturday - September 13, 2008:

General: Head-to-Head

McCain: 48% / 49%, including leaners (nc, nc)
Obama: 45% / 46%, including leaners (nc, nc)

[KeyKeeper]

Sunday - September 14, 2008:

General: Head-to-Head

McCain:  50%, including leaners (+1)
Obama: 47%, including leaners (+1)

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Sunday shows John McCain reaching the 50% level of support for the first time since Barack Obama wrapped up the Democratic Presidential Nomination. McCain retains a three-point advantage for the third straight day, 50% to 47% (see recent daily results).

Tracking Poll results are released at 9:30 a.m. Eastern Time each day and a FREE daily e-mail update is available. Earlier, Rasmussen Reports reported tracking poll results both with and without leaners. Now that Election Day is drawing near, we will report only the results with leaners.




[/quote]

[KeyKeeper]

McCain 49% (-1)
Obama 47% (nc)

Rasmussen agrees with Gallup again, and all is right with the world. (Except for the McCain lead.)

Now, it this with the new weighting.

Yesterday was with the new weighting too.

To my understanding, and I could be wrong, it read to me that yesterday numbers, which is today poll, is still on the old weight. But I could be wrong.