Rasmussen Tracking Poll [Obama vs McCain]
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
May 19, 2024, 09:12:05 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2008 Elections
  2008 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
  Rasmussen Tracking Poll [Obama vs McCain]		 « previous next »
Pages: 1 ... 36 37 38 39 40 [41] 42 43 44 45 46 ... 75
Author Topic: Rasmussen Tracking Poll [Obama vs McCain]  (Read 502419 times)
Brittain33
brittain33
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,021


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1000 on: September 24, 2008, 10:55:58 AM »
Marist now has Obama over McCain in NH, 51-45.
Logged
Sam Spade
SamSpade
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,547


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1001 on: September 24, 2008, 10:58:08 AM »
Alright, I signed up for premium membership.  There are no daily numbers there.  If you're getting the numbers, Rowan, from somewhere else, their either guessing or attempting to use a complicated measure which I don't believe will work based on the data I'm getting.

Looking at the data, I'm guessing today's sample was pro-Obama, but not by that much.  The sample that drops off tomorrow I'm guessing should be fairly Obama, esp. among Indies.

I also have no state numbers, but pepper11 removed his remark, so he might have just mistaken that for another.
Logged
pepper11
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 767
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1002 on: September 24, 2008, 11:06:01 AM »
If you goto the morning video it gives you a preview of the polls.
Logged
Sam Spade
SamSpade
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,547


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1003 on: September 24, 2008, 11:08:11 AM »
Quote from: pepper11 on September 24, 2008, 11:06:01 AM
If you goto the morning video it gives you a preview of the polls.

ah ha.  Thanks, I will remind myself to do that next time.
Logged
Rowan
RowanBrandon
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,692


Political Matrix
E: 1.94, S: 4.70

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1004 on: September 24, 2008, 12:29:48 PM »
I get the numbers from another person Sam, who I am beginning to start to doubt....
Logged
Swing low, sweet chariot. Comin' for to carry me home.
jmfcst
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,212
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1005 on: September 24, 2008, 12:39:22 PM »
Quote from: RowanBrandon on September 24, 2008, 12:29:48 PM
I get the numbers from another person Sam, who I am beginning to start to doubt....

why are you doubting just now?
Logged
Rowan
RowanBrandon
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,692


Political Matrix
E: 1.94, S: 4.70

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1006 on: September 24, 2008, 12:40:53 PM »
Nevertheless here are the numbers.

Three day average:
Obama 49.40%
McCain 46.56%

Last nights result(estimated of course):
Obama +9.83
Logged
Rowan
RowanBrandon
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,692


Political Matrix
E: 1.94, S: 4.70

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1007 on: September 24, 2008, 05:14:42 PM »
I trust my numbers. Whether you want to believe them or not, it's up to you.

I will continue to post them here for those that want them.
Logged
Alcon
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,866
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1008 on: September 24, 2008, 05:16:25 PM »
Why'd the doubt go away since lunch time?
Logged
Rowan
RowanBrandon
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,692


Political Matrix
E: 1.94, S: 4.70

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1009 on: September 24, 2008, 05:19:33 PM »
Quote from: Alcon on September 24, 2008, 05:16:25 PM
Why'd the doubt go away since lunch time?

When I originally got the numbers, I misread them and thought that the result was impossible.

After talking to the person, they assured me of the results, and I agreed.

I trust my numbers.
Logged
Alcon
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,866
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1010 on: September 24, 2008, 05:22:06 PM »
Quote from: RowanBrandon on September 24, 2008, 05:19:33 PM
Quote from: Alcon on September 24, 2008, 05:16:25 PM
Why'd the doubt go away since lunch time?

When I originally got the numbers, I misread them and thought that the result was impossible.

After talking to the person, they assured me of the results, and I agreed.

I trust my numbers.

Can you give a general idea of who this girl/guy is?
Logged
Alcon
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,866
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1011 on: September 24, 2008, 05:28:21 PM »
That would be kind of neat.  It's not that I don't trust you, but I prefer to see things by myself.

I just want to verify that it works.  I can destroy the information afterward.  But I'm a believe-it-when-I-see-it kind of guy, y'know.
Logged
Rowan
RowanBrandon
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,692


Political Matrix
E: 1.94, S: 4.70

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1012 on: September 24, 2008, 05:33:57 PM »
Do you both have RAS premium? I can send it to both of you if you want.
Logged
Alcon
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,866
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1013 on: September 24, 2008, 05:35:34 PM »
No.  Is that a requirement for the hack?

You can always ask for a screenshot.  I would.  PrintScreen button, paste it into Paint, upload it to Imageshack (http://www.imageshack.us/) and then there's not much question.  Still possible to fake, but a lot more convincing for me.

Of course, if your source doesn't want to, that's def. his/her right.  I'll just keep taking it with a half-grain of salt.
Logged
Rowan
RowanBrandon
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,692


Political Matrix
E: 1.94, S: 4.70

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1014 on: September 25, 2008, 07:58:27 AM »
Thursday- September 25,2008

Obama 48%(-1)
McCain 45%(-2)
Logged
Ban my account ffs!
snowguy716
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,632
Austria


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1015 on: September 25, 2008, 08:01:24 AM »
Interesting.. it appears the confusion has found its way into the presidential race as well.
Logged
Sam Spade
SamSpade
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,547


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1016 on: September 25, 2008, 08:18:36 AM »
« Edited: September 25, 2008, 08:35:30 AM by Sam Spade »
Rowan, with leaners it's:

Obama 49% (nc)
McCain 46% (-1)
Logged
TheresNoMoney
Scoonie
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,907


Political Matrix
E: -3.25, S: -2.72

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1017 on: September 25, 2008, 08:42:49 AM »
Rasmussen with the Obama bounce this week.....finally.
Logged
Democratic Hawk
LucysBeau
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,703
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -2.58, S: 2.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1018 on: September 25, 2008, 08:46:08 AM »
Quote from: RowanBrandon on September 25, 2008, 07:58:27 AM
Thursday- September 25,2008

Obama 48%(-1)
McCain 45%(-2)

New polling released this morning shows Obama with a two-point advantage in North Carolina. Data will be released today for Ohio, Pennsylvania, and West Virginia.

Favorability

Obama: 56% favorable; 43% unfavorable (+1, nc)
McCain: 55% favorable; 44% unfavorable (nc, nc)
Logged
Reaganfan
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,236
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1019 on: September 25, 2008, 08:46:57 AM »
I truly think America is conflicted.

They want Obama...but they want McCain too.
Logged
riceowl
riceowl315
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,363


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1020 on: September 25, 2008, 08:50:18 AM »
Quote from: McCainforPrez on September 25, 2008, 08:46:57 AM
I truly think America is conflicted.

They want Obama...but they want McCain too.

or they don't want either.
Logged
Lief 🗽
Lief
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,991


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1021 on: September 25, 2008, 08:55:35 AM »
OH, PA, and WV!!!

Grin
Logged
Sam Spade
SamSpade
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,547


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1022 on: September 25, 2008, 08:58:48 AM »
« Edited: September 25, 2008, 09:01:52 AM by Sam Spade »
Quote from: TheresNoMoney on September 25, 2008, 08:42:49 AM
Rasmussen with the Obama bounce this week.....finally.

Considering that there's a pro-McCain sample dropping off tomorrow, you could see the lead easily push up a bit tomorrow.  And then the day after that, the massive pro-Obama sample tracks off.  So, there will be some bumping

Still, today's sample was a bit more pro-Obama than the one that preceded it (i.e. more than 3.4% Obama, I'd guess somewhere around 5%), but it had more to do with movement from McCain to undecided than Obama gaining.
Logged
Rowan
RowanBrandon
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,692


Political Matrix
E: 1.94, S: 4.70

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1023 on: September 25, 2008, 09:34:25 AM »
Quote from: Sam Spade on September 25, 2008, 08:18:36 AM
Rowan, with leaners it's:

Obama 49% (nc)
McCain 46% (-1)

Oops I effed up.
Logged
Rowan
RowanBrandon
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,692


Political Matrix
E: 1.94, S: 4.70

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1024 on: September 25, 2008, 09:54:52 AM »
Actual three day total:

Obama 49.47%
McCain 45.96%

Obama +3.51

Last nights sample:

Obama +5.78

And with a McCain +5 sample rolling off, this could get real ugly in a hurry tomorrow.
Logged
Pages: 1 ... 36 37 38 39 40 [41] 42 43 44 45 46 ... 75  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.081 seconds with 12 queries.