538 Senate Forecast Megathread: Currently Projecting 6 Democratic Pick Ups (user search)
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  538 Senate Forecast Megathread: Currently Projecting 6 Democratic Pick Ups (search mode)
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Author Topic: 538 Senate Forecast Megathread: Currently Projecting 6 Democratic Pick Ups  (Read 4933 times)
Vosem
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Posts: 15,641
United States


Political Matrix
E: 8.13, S: -6.09
« on: October 17, 2016, 04:49:04 PM »
Quote from: Jante's Law Revivalist on October 17, 2016, 04:35:29 PM
Quote from: Figueira on October 17, 2016, 04:28:31 PM
NC is now tied in margin and chances.

I don't get why. There hasn't been any poll showing Ross ahead recently, and the most recent one has Burr+1.

He takes generic congressional ballot polls into account.
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Vosem
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,641
United States


Political Matrix
E: 8.13, S: -6.09
« Reply #1 on: October 21, 2016, 10:36:03 PM »
Honestly, while the low level of polling in both states is absolutely maddening, I do suspect that Kander is a likelier winner than McGinty at this point. Blunt has been running completely asleep, while Toomey (and Kander, obviously) has been running a very good, solid campaign. Still possible, maybe likely, that Hillary's PA victory pulls in McGinty (someone better than Emerson needs to confirm Quinnipiac's findings here), but Toomey is by no means dead.
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