Rothenberg Initial 2016 Senate ratings (user search)
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  Rothenberg Initial 2016 Senate ratings (search mode)
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Author Topic: Rothenberg Initial 2016 Senate ratings  (Read 6435 times)
Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
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Posts: 31,833
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« on: January 09, 2015, 06:13:23 PM »
Quote from: Miles on January 09, 2015, 06:04:50 PM
^ I wonder when Sabato & Kondik will put out their Senate ratings...Wink

Sabato already has senate, house, and governor rankings issued, as does Cook.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,833
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #1 on: January 09, 2015, 07:51:09 PM »
Quote from: Castro2020 on January 09, 2015, 06:36:04 PM
California and Utah should both be favored, not safe, given that CA will be open and Matheson might run in Utah. Also, not sure why they have Ayotte as Lean but Rubio as only tilt.

The % of the electorate voting against Rubio in 2010 was much larger than the % of the electorate voting against Ayotte.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,833
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #2 on: January 10, 2015, 03:32:20 PM »
Quote from: OC on January 10, 2015, 03:04:41 PM
NH is gonna be the tipping pt state along with CO,NV and PA.   AK, NC, FL or OH is the 5th seat that we can use to get the Dems to 51.  But, FL is the easiest to get there.
I would say that NC is more competitive than FL. The FL Dems always look good, but end up losing when it comes to election day. Barring a Murphy or Graham run, I just don't see Rubio (or any other establishment republican) losing - Sink, Crist, and DWS would likely need a 2006/2008-style wave.
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