States’ largest cities that will vote for Trump. (user search)
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  States’ largest cities that will vote for Trump. (search mode)
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Author Topic: States’ largest cities that will vote for Trump.  (Read 11964 times)
Battista Minola 1616
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Posts: 11,409
Vatican City State


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -1.57

« on: August 06, 2020, 11:40:06 AM »
« edited: August 06, 2020, 11:44:09 AM by Battista Minola 1616 »

States' largest cities:

Birmingham: Biden slam dunk
Anchorage: probably Trump
Phoenix: Biden slam dunk
Little Rock: Biden slam dunk
Los Angeles: Biden slam dunk
Denver: Biden slam dunk
Bridgeport: Biden slam dunk
Wilmington: lol it's where Biden lives anyway Biden slam dunk
Jacksonville: likely Biden but it's close (HRC carried it by hair really)
Atlanta: Biden slam dunk
Honolulu: Biden slam dunk
Boise: Biden but not by much
Chicago: Biden slam dunk
Indianapolis: Biden slam dunk
Des Moines: Biden
Wichita: I am not so sure that Trump carried it in 2016. Could go either way?
Louisville: Biden
New Orleans: Biden slam dunk
Portland (Maine): Biden
Baltimore: Biden slam dunk
Boston: Biden slam dunk
Detroit: suffice to say that to my knowledge Trump got 3% of the vote there in 2016
Minneapolis: Biden slam dunk
Jackson: Biden slam dunk
Kansas City: Biden slam dunk
Billings: likely Trump
Omaha: Biden
Las Vegas: Biden
Manchester: Biden but not a landslide
Newark: Biden slam dunk
Albuquerque: Biden
New York: lol NYC has never not been Democratic
Charlotte: Biden slam dunk
Fargo: could go either way
Columbus: Biden slam dunk
Oklahoma City: Trump is favoured but an upset is possible.
Portland (Oregon): Biden slam dunk
Philadelphia: Biden slam dunk
Providence: Biden slam dunk
Charleston (South Carolina): Biden
Sioux Falls: likely Trump
Nashville: Biden
Houston: Biden
Salt Lake City: Biden slam dunk
Burlington: Biden slam dunk
Virginia Beach: likely Biden (it would be a flip from 2016)
Seattle: Biden slam dunk
Charleston (West Virginia): as much as it sounds weird even HRC won it comfortably, safe Biden.
Milwaukee: Biden slam dunk
Cheyenne: Trump landslide
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Battista Minola 1616
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,409
Vatican City State


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -1.57

« Reply #1 on: August 06, 2020, 01:38:55 PM »
« Edited: August 06, 2020, 01:59:08 PM by Battista Minola 1616 »

Alabama: Mobile
Alaska: If Biden wins Anchorage then Fairbanks by default.
Arizona: Mesa. Easy.
Arkansas: Fort Smith
California: I'm going to assume Bakersfield.
Colorado: Colorado Springs of course.
Connecticut: ...I have no idea.
Delaware: Uh, Seaford?
Florida: Hialeah
Georgia: Sandy Springs
Hawaii: none
Idaho: Meridian
Indiana: Fort Wayne
Iowa: Probably not Sioux City actually. So Council Bluffs? If not there then Ankeny.
Kansas: Wichita is a possibility, but if not then...Hutchinson
Louisiana: Lafayette?
Maine: no idea
Maryland: Cumberland apparently.
Massachusetts: Totally beats me.
Michigan: Sterling Heights, or Livonia if Biden pulls that off.
Minnesota: Lakeville as stated.
Mississippi: Gulfport
Missouri: Springfield
Montana: Billings
Nebraska: Bellevue
Nevada: Boulder City
New Hampshire: Derry
New Jersey: Toms River?
New Mexico: I honestly don't know enough about the geography here.
New York: One of those Long Island "towns". Don't know enough to say which one.
North Carolina: Probably Concord
North Dakota: Since NDSU classes are in session I bet Biden takes Fargo, so right here in Bismarck.
Ohio: Hamilton
Oklahoma: Tulsa
Oregon: Medford?
Pennsylvania: Altoona
Rhode Island: ...no clue
South Carolina: Mount Pleasant
South Dakota: Going to be optimistic and say Rapid City
Tennessee: Did Trump win Knoxville proper? If so then there.
Texas: Plano, or Lubbock if Biden can even win that.
Utah: Provo
Vermont: ...yeah totally beats me.
Virginia: I don't think Trump takes Chesapeake or Virginia Beach, so Lynchburg.
Washington: Yakima
West Virginia: Charleston
Wisconsin: Waukesha
Wyoming: Cheyenne

Mobile pretty clearly voted for Hillary Clinton in 2016.
Charleston, WV too, as mileslunn stated.
So I don't see how they go to Trump this time.

Also:
Trump lost Sandy Springs by double digits in 2016! He won Roswell, though.
Knoxville's precincts are messy, but it seems that Trump at most won very narrowly in 2016.
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Battista Minola 1616
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*****
Posts: 11,409
Vatican City State


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -1.57

« Reply #2 on: August 06, 2020, 02:46:59 PM »
« Edited: August 06, 2020, 03:04:07 PM by Battista Minola 1616 »

Alabama: Mobile
Alaska: If Biden wins Anchorage then Fairbanks by default.
Arizona: Mesa. Easy.
Arkansas: Fort Smith
California: I'm going to assume Bakersfield.
Colorado: Colorado Springs of course.
Connecticut: ...I have no idea.
Delaware: Uh, Seaford?
Florida: Hialeah
Georgia: Sandy Springs
Hawaii: none
Idaho: Meridian
Indiana: Fort Wayne
Iowa: Probably not Sioux City actually. So Council Bluffs? If not there then Ankeny.
Kansas: Wichita is a possibility, but if not then...Hutchinson
Louisiana: Lafayette?
Maine: no idea
Maryland: Cumberland apparently.
Massachusetts: Totally beats me.
Michigan: Sterling Heights, or Livonia if Biden pulls that off.
Minnesota: Lakeville as stated.
Mississippi: Gulfport
Missouri: Springfield
Montana: Billings
Nebraska: Bellevue
Nevada: Boulder City
New Hampshire: Derry
New Jersey: Toms River?
New Mexico: I honestly don't know enough about the geography here.
New York: One of those Long Island "towns". Don't know enough to say which one.
North Carolina: Probably Concord
North Dakota: Since NDSU classes are in session I bet Biden takes Fargo, so right here in Bismarck.
Ohio: Hamilton
Oklahoma: Tulsa
Oregon: Medford?
Pennsylvania: Altoona
Rhode Island: ...no clue
South Carolina: Mount Pleasant
South Dakota: Going to be optimistic and say Rapid City
Tennessee: Did Trump win Knoxville proper? If so then there.
Texas: Plano, or Lubbock if Biden can even win that.
Utah: Provo
Vermont: ...yeah totally beats me.
Virginia: I don't think Trump takes Chesapeake or Virginia Beach, so Lynchburg.
Washington: Yakima
West Virginia: Charleston
Wisconsin: Waukesha
Wyoming: Cheyenne

Mobile pretty clearly voted for Hillary Clinton in 2016.
Charleston, WV too, as mileslunn stated.
So I don't see how they go to Trump this time.
Mobile is way more black than I thought apparently.

So Huntsville most likely.

Huntsville appears to have voted Trump, yes.


Also:
in Rhode Island probably Coventry (the largest town that is not officially a city), which voted Trump by 12 points. It's an Obama-Trump town and Obama won by double digits in 2008.
in Massachusetts it may be Westfield in Western Massachusetts (Trump +4), another Obama-Trump city. Otherwise Dracut, where Trump won by double digits and even McCain edged out Obama in 2008.
In Connecticut it could be Southington (yet another Obama-Trump town). If Trump loses there, then surely Shelton.

I would note that Obama lost only one municipality in Rhode Island in 2008 (Scituate) - and three in 2012.
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Battista Minola 1616
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,409
Vatican City State


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -1.57

« Reply #3 on: August 06, 2020, 08:29:53 PM »



Huntsville is about 50/50 on composite and it trended D in 2016 so it probably voted for Clinton. .And sandy springs was double digit Clinton BRTD.

In that case, Hoover, AL and Johns Creek, GA.

Biden could definitely win Johns Creek as well.
Yeah John Creek was +3 Abrams although Rosewell was Kemp +4 and larger so thats more obvious than Creek.

Let me go on record saying that I see Trump slightly favoured in Roswell.
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Battista Minola 1616
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,409
Vatican City State


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -1.57

« Reply #4 on: August 06, 2020, 08:42:26 PM »



Huntsville is about 50/50 on composite and it trended D in 2016 so it probably voted for Clinton. .And sandy springs was double digit Clinton BRTD.

In that case, Hoover, AL and Johns Creek, GA.

Biden could definitely win Johns Creek as well.
Yeah John Creek was +3 Abrams although Rosewell was Kemp +4 and larger so thats more obvious than Creek.

Let me go on record saying that I see Trump slightly favoured in Roswell.

Underrating Dem trends in the North Atlanta suburbs is never a good idea.

Kemp+4 city calls for caution about trEndz in my opinion.
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