Rasmussen - Trump +8, but Newsom and Obama also trail
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  Rasmussen - Trump +8, but Newsom and Obama also trail
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Author Topic: Rasmussen - Trump +8, but Newsom and Obama also trail  (Read 501 times)
MR DARK BRANDON
Liam
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« on: March 13, 2024, 08:53:16 AM »

https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/biden_administration/election_2024_replace_biden_trump_leads_newsom_michelle_obama

Trump - 49
Biden - 41
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #1 on: March 13, 2024, 08:54:14 AM »

Ah yes, just in time to raise his average on RCP again. Thank god 538 has stopped adding these. I mean, come on.
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The Economy is Getting Worse
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« Reply #2 on: March 13, 2024, 09:05:08 AM »

Ah yes, just in time to raise his average on RCP again. Thank god 538 has stopped adding these. I mean, come on.
Just admit that fundamentals do not favor your candidate. At least Biden is only on track to lose the PV narrowly, while every other word incumbent is losing by double digits.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #3 on: March 13, 2024, 09:12:35 AM »

Ah yes, just in time to raise his average on RCP again. Thank god 538 has stopped adding these. I mean, come on.
Just admit that fundamentals do not favor your candidate. At least Biden is only on track to lose the PV narrowly, while every other word incumbent is losing by double digits.


Lol we haven't voted yet and 538 already eliminated Rassy
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #4 on: March 13, 2024, 09:44:49 AM »

Ah yes, just in time to raise his average on RCP again. Thank god 538 has stopped adding these. I mean, come on.

Yup, Rassy is trash, though somehow their Biden approvals are usually better than most others.
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jaichind
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« Reply #5 on: March 13, 2024, 11:42:36 AM »

RCP should throw out the two most extreme polls in their average calculations.  That should make their average curve more smooth and less erratic
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #6 on: March 13, 2024, 12:42:09 PM »

It's a 303 Map we know Biden is gonna win WI, MI, PA
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Cyrusman
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« Reply #7 on: March 13, 2024, 12:47:24 PM »

Rasmussen is anything but a gold standard for polling but below was their 2020 polls so they aren't complete hacks like some say.

7/5 - 7/7: Biden + 10
7/8 - 7/14: Biden + 3
7/15 - 7/21: Biden +2
7/22 - 7/28: Biden + 6
7/29 - 8/4: Biden + 3
8/5 - 8/11: Biden + 6
8/12 - 8/18: Biden + 4
8/19 - 8/25: Biden + 1
8/26 - 9/1: Biden + 4
9/2 - 9/8; Biden + 2

9/9 - 9/15: Trump + 1
9/16 - 9/22: Biden + 1
9/23 - 9/29: Biden + 8
9/30 - 10/6: Biden + 12
10/7 - 10/13: Biden + 5
10/14 - 10/20: Biden + 3
10/28 - 11/1; Biden + 1
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DaleCooper
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« Reply #8 on: March 13, 2024, 12:53:52 PM »

Rasmussen is anything but a gold standard for polling but below was their 2020 polls so they aren't complete hacks like some say.

7/5 - 7/7: Biden + 10
7/8 - 7/14: Biden + 3
7/15 - 7/21: Biden +2
7/22 - 7/28: Biden + 6
7/29 - 8/4: Biden + 3
8/5 - 8/11: Biden + 6
8/12 - 8/18: Biden + 4
8/19 - 8/25: Biden + 1
8/26 - 9/1: Biden + 4
9/2 - 9/8; Biden + 2

9/9 - 9/15: Trump + 1
9/16 - 9/22: Biden + 1
9/23 - 9/29: Biden + 8
9/30 - 10/6: Biden + 12
10/7 - 10/13: Biden + 5
10/14 - 10/20: Biden + 3
10/28 - 11/1; Biden + 1

I don't really think they're hacks like Trafalgar, I think their polls are just bad. They also had a Biden +4-8 or something like that in Ohio in 2020! Disastrous.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #9 on: March 13, 2024, 12:58:02 PM »

Everyone knows Biden isn't down 10
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