MN-01 (Victoria Research): Biden +7
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Author Topic: MN-01 (Victoria Research): Biden +7  (Read 884 times)
Landslide Lyndon
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« on: July 30, 2020, 05:54:48 AM »
Biden       49
Trump      42

http://files.www.thehousemajoritypac.com/research/MN-01_poll.pdf
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #1 on: July 30, 2020, 05:55:18 AM »
Did Trump win this district?
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #2 on: July 30, 2020, 05:56:50 AM »

Yes, 53-38.
In 2012 it was Obama 50-48.
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BobbieMac
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« Reply #3 on: July 30, 2020, 05:57:54 AM »

A 22 point swing? Woh
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #4 on: July 30, 2020, 06:00:16 AM »

holy sh**t. well, that Biden +13 poll sounds about right then.
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Horus
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« Reply #5 on: July 30, 2020, 06:00:48 AM »
Looks too good for Biden, but Dems are much more likely to win back MN-1 than MN-8, which is likely gone for good.
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𝕭𝖆𝖕𝖙𝖎𝖘𝖙𝖆 𝕸𝖎𝖓𝖔𝖑𝖆
Battista Minola 1616
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« Reply #6 on: July 30, 2020, 06:07:27 AM »
Quote from: Horus on July 30, 2020, 06:00:48 AM
Looks too good for Biden, but Dems are much more likely to win back MN-1 than MN-8, which is likely gone for good.

I would love to have a 2022 district that connects the Arrowhead to Dakota County or something to save Duluth from the nefarious influences of the rest of Northern Minnesota. Of course this is all predicated on St. Louis/Carlton/Lake not flipping in 2022 (or even in 2020), which is not a given.
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Person Man
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« Reply #7 on: July 30, 2020, 07:29:18 AM »
I think that unless Trump has a really good convention, he's done in the rust belt.
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LiberalDem19
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« Reply #8 on: July 30, 2020, 10:49:20 AM »
I mean the tariffs and now the pandemic.

It makes sense although I don’t think MN01 goes to Biden by 7
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Beefalow and the Consumer
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« Reply #9 on: July 30, 2020, 12:31:30 PM »
If Biden is winning MN-01 by seven points, he's also winning Iowa.
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DINGO Joe
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« Reply #10 on: July 30, 2020, 12:34:00 PM »
Quote from: Everything Was Forever, Until It Was No More on July 30, 2020, 07:29:18 AM
I think that unless Trump has a really good convention, he's done in the rust belt.

Uh, what convention?
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Beefalow and the Consumer
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« Reply #11 on: July 30, 2020, 12:47:58 PM »

Howard County, IA is just across the border, and (as many people on this forum know) swung 41 points to the right in 2016. Lots of potential energy in that pendulum.
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Minnesota Mike
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« Reply #12 on: July 30, 2020, 02:42:19 PM »
Quote from: Everything Was Forever, Until It Was No More on July 30, 2020, 07:29:18 AM
I think that unless Trump has a really good convention, he's done in the rust belt.

MN-01 is not the rust belt.
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Minnesota Mike
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« Reply #13 on: July 30, 2020, 02:48:30 PM »
Quote from: LiberalDem19 on July 30, 2020, 10:49:20 AM
I mean the tariffs and now the pandemic.

It makes sense although I don’t think MN01 goes to Biden by 7

I live in MN-01 and am very skeptical of Biden +7. Best case for Biden would be matching Obama's numbers at about break even.
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