Dick Morris sees Democrats losing 100 House seats in 2010

[nkpatel1279]

Here is a list of Democratic US House Seats that will stay in the Democratic collumn.
1)AL-7(OPEN-Davis-D)
2)AZ-4(Pastor-D)
3)AZ-7(Grijalva-D)
4)AR-1(Berry-D)
5)AR-2(Snyder-D)
6)AR-4(Ross-D)
7)CA-1(Thompson-D)
8)CA-5(Matsui-D)
9)CA-6(Woosley-D)
10)CA-7(Miller-D)
11)CA-8(Pelosi-D)
12)CA-9(Lee-D)
13)CA-10(VACANT-Tauscher-D)-Garamendi-D
14)CA-11(McNerney-D)
15)CA-12(Speier-D)
16)CA-13(Stark-D)
17)CA-14(Eshoo-D)
18)CA-15(Honda-D)
19)CA-16(Lofgren-D)
20)CA-17(Farr-D)
21)CA-18(Cardoza-D)
22)CA-20(Costa-D)
23)CA-23(Capps-D)
24)CA-27(Sherman-D)
25)CA-28(Berman-D)
26)CA-29(Schiff-D)
27)CA-30(Waxman-D)
28)CA-31(Bacerra-D)
29)CA-32(Chu-D)
30)CA-33(Watson-D)
31)CA-34(Roybal-Allard-D)
32)CA-35(Waters-D)
33)CA-36(Harman-D)
34)CA-37(Richardson-D)
35)CA-38(Napalitano-D)
36)CA-39(Sanchez-D)
37)CA-43(Baca-D)
38)CA-47(Sanchez-D)
39)CA-51(Filner-D)
40)CA-53(Davis-D)
41)CO-1(DeGette-D)
42)CO-2(Polis-D)
43)CO-3(Salazar-D)
44)CO-7(Perlmutter-D)
45)CT-1(Larson-D)
46)CT-2(Courtney-D)
47)CT-3(DeLauro-D)
48)CT-4(Himes-D)
49)CT-5(Murphy-D)
50)FL-2(Boyd-D)
51)FL-3(OPEN-Brown-D)
52)FL-11(Castor-D)
53)FL-17(OPEN-Meek-D)
54)FL-19(Wexler-D)
55)FL-20(Wasserman-Schultz-D)
56)FL-22(Klien-D)
57)FL-23(Hastings-D)
58)GA-2(Bishop-D)
59)GA-4(Johnson-D)
60)GA-5(Lewis-D)
61)GA-8(Marshall-D)
62)GA-12(Barrow-D)
63)GA-13(Scott-D)
64)HI-1(OPEN-Abercrombie-D)
65)HI-2(Hirono-D)
66)IL-1(Rush-D)
67)IL-2(Jackson-D)
68)IL-3(Lipinski-D)
69)IL-4(Guitteriez-D)
70)IL-5(Quigley-D)
71)IL-7(OPEN-Davis-D)
72)IL-8(Bean-D)
73)IL-9(Schakowsky-D)
74)IL-11(Halverson-D)
75)IL-12(Costello-D)
76)IL-14(Foster-D)
77)IL-17(Hare-D)
78)IN-1(Visclosky-D)
79)IN-2(Donnelly-D)
80)IN-7(Carson-D)
81)IN-8(Ellsworth-D)
82)IN-9(Hill-D)
83)IA-1(Braley-D)
84)IA-2(Loesback-D)
85)KS-3(Moore-D)
86)KY-3(Yarmuth-D)
87)KY-6(Chandler-D)
88)ME-1(Pingree-D)
89)ME-2(Michaud-D)
90)MD-2(Ruppersberger-D)
91)MD-3(Sarbanes-D)
92)MD-4(Edwards-D)
93)MD-5(Hoyer-D)
94)MD-7(Cummings-D)
95)MD-8(Van Hollen-D)
96)MA-1(Olver-D)
97)MA-2(Neal-D)
98)MA-3(McGovern-D)
99)MA-4(Frank-D)
100)MA-5(Tsongas-D)
101)MA-6(Tierney-D)
102)MA-7(Markey-D)
103)MA-8(Capuano-D)
104)MA-9(Lynch-D)
105)MA-10(Delahunt-D)
106)MI-1(Stupak-D)
107)MI-5(Kildee-D)
108)MI-12(Levin-D)
109)MI-13(Kilpatrick-D)
110)MI-14(Conyers-D)
111)MI-15(Dingell-D)
112)MN-1(Walz-D)
113)MN-4(McCollum-D)
114)MN-5(Ellison-D)
115)MN-7(Peterson-D)
116)MN-8(Oberstar-D)
117)MS-1(Childers-D)
118)MS-2(Thompson-D)
119)MS-4(Taylor-D)
120)MO-1(Clay-D)
121)MO-3(Carnahan-D)
122)MO-4(Skelton-D)
123)MO-5(Cleaver-D)
124)NV-1(Berkley-D)
125)NV-3(Titus-D)
126)NJ-1(Andrews-D)
127)NJ-6(Pallone-D)
128)NJ-8(Pascrell-D)
129)NJ-9(Rothman-D)
130)NJ-10(Payne-D)
131)NJ-12(Holt-D)
132)NJ-13(Siros-D)
133)NM-1(Heinrich-D)
134)NM-3(Lujan-D)
135)NY-1(Bishop-D)
136)NY-2(Israel-D)
137)NY-4(McCarthy-D)
138)NY-5(Ackerman-D)
139)NY-6(Meeks-D)
140)NY-7(Crowley-D)
141)NY-8(Nadler-D)
142)NY-9(Weiner-D)
143)NY-10(Towns-D)
144)NY-11(Clarke-D)
145)NY-12(Vasquez-D)
146)NY-13(McMahon-D)
147)NY-14(Maloney-D)
148)NY-15(Rangel-D)
149)NY-16(Serrano-D)
150)NY-17(Engel-D)
151)NY-18(Lowey-D)
152)NY-19(Hall-D)
153)NY-21(Tonko-D)
154)NY-25(Maffei-D)
155)NY-27(Higgins-D)
156)NY-28(Slaughter-D)
157)NC-1(Butterfield-D)
158)NC-2(Ethridge-D)-if Ethridge does not run for US Senate.
159)NC-4(Price-D)
160)NC-7(McIntrye-D)
161)NC-8(Kissell-D)
162)NC-11(Schuler-D)
163)NC-12(Watt-D)
164)NC-13(Miller-D)
165)ND-AL(Pomeroy-D)
166)OH-6(Wilson-D)
167)OH-9(Kaptur-D)
168)OH-10(Kucinich-D)
169)OH-11(Fudge-D)
170)OH-13(Sutton-D)
171)OH-16(Bocciero-D)
172)OH-17(Ryan-D)
173)OH-18(Space-D)
174)OK-2(Boren-D)
175)OR-1(Wu-D)
176)OR-3(Bluemenaur-D)
177)OR-4(DeFazio-D)
178)OR-5(Schrader-D)
179)PA-1(Brady-D)
180)PA-2(Fattah-D)
181)PA-4(Altmire-D)
182)PA-8(Murphy-D)
183)PA-10(Carney-D)
184)PA-13(Schwartz-D)
185)PA-14(Doyle-D)
186)PA-17(Holden-D)
187)RI-1(Kennedy-D)
188)RI-2(Langevin-D)
189)SC-5(Spratt-D)
190)SC-6(Clyburn-D)
191)SD-AL(Herseth-Sandlin-D)
192)TN-4(Davis-D)
193)TN-5(Cooper-D)
194)TN-6(Gordon-D)
195)TN-8(Tanner-D)
196)TN-9(Cohen-D)
197)TX-9(Green-D)
198)TX-15(Hinojosa-D)
199)TX-16(Reyes-D)
200)TX-17(Edwards-D)
201)TX-18(Jackson-Lee-D)
202)TX-20(Gonzalez-D)
203)TX-23(Rodrieguez-D)
204)TX-25(Doggett-D)
205)TX-27(Ortiz-D)
206)TX-28(Cueller-D)
207)TX-29(Green-D)
208)TX-30(Johnson-D)
209)UT-2(Matheson-D)
210)VT-AL(Matheson-D)
211)VA-3(Scott-D)
212)VA-8(Moran-D)
213)VA-9(Boucher-D)
214)VA-11(Connolly-D)
215)WA-1(Inslee-D)
216)WA-2(Larsen-D)
217)WA-3(Baird-D)
218)WA-6(Dicks-D)
219)WA-7(McDermott-D)
220)WA-9(Smith-D)
221)WI-2(Baldwin-D)
222)WI-3(Kind-D)
223)WI-4(Moore-D)
224)WI-7(Obey-D)
225)WI-8(Kagan-D)
plus we pick up  GOP seats in
226)DE-AL(assuming Castle retires)
227)IL-10(OPEN-Kirk-D)
228)LA-2(Cao-D)


33 seats
lost FL-16,KS-2,LA-2,LA-6,and TX-22
picked up AL-2,AZ-1,CO-4,CT-4,FL-8,FL-24,ID-1,IL-11,MD-1,MI-7,MI-9,NV-3,NJ-3,NM-1,NM-2,NY-13,NY-25,
NY-29,NC-8,OH-1,OH-15,OH-16,PA-3,VA-2,VA-5,VA-11.

From 2006/2008- election cycle we made a net gain of 54 US House Seats.

I see at most Democrats losing 30 seats.

[nkpatel1279]

During the 1994 GOP Wave. Republicans made a net gain of 54 seats.
1)AZ-1 (Bush 41) 40-34-  now AZ-5 and AZ-6.
2)AZ-6 (Bush 41) 38-38- now AZ-1 and AZ-5- Democrats unseated Hayworth who represented AZ-5 after 2002 redistricting in 2006. Democrats won AZ-1 a new District in 2002 in 2008.
3)CA-1 (Clinton) 47-29- Democrats won back CA-1 in 1998.
4)CA-19 (Bush 41) 44-38-  Safe GOP District.
5)CA-49 (Clinton) 43-32- now CA-53- Democrats won back CA-49 in 2000- which became CA-53 in 2002 redistricting.
6)FL-1 (Bush 41) 51-26- Safe GOP District.
7)FL-15 (Bush 41) 43-31- Safe GOP District.
8)GA-7 (Bush 41) 47-39 - now GA-11 Safe GOP District.
9)GA-8 (Bush 41) 45-40- Democrats won back GA-8 in 2002 redistricting.
10)GA-10 (Bush 41) 46-39- Safe GOP District.
11)ID-1 (Bush 41) 42-31- Democrats won ID-1 in 2008.
12)IL-5 (Clinton) 51-33- Democrats won back IL-5 in 1996.
13)IL-11 (Clinton) 44-36- Democrats won back IL-11 in 2008.
14)IN-2 (Bush 41) 43-35 now IN-6 Safe GOP District.
15)IN-4 (Bush 41) 46-31 now IN-3 Safe GOP District.
16)IN-8 (Clinton) 43-40 Democrats won back IN-8 in 2006.
17)IA-4 (Clinton) 43-39- now IA-5 Safe GOP District
18)KS-2 (Bush 41) 36-36 Democrats won KS-2 in 2006 but lost it in 2008.
19)KS-4 (Bush 41) 40-33- Safe GOP District.
20)KY-1 (Clinton) 48-40- Safe GOP District.
21)KY-2 (Bush 41) 45-41- Safe GOP District.
22)ME-1 (Clinton) 40-32- Democrats won back ME-1 in 1996.
23)MI-8 (Clinton) 41-36- Democrats won back MI-8 in 1996 but lost it in 2000. In 2002- MI-8 became more Republican. MI-8 can be won back in a huge Democratic wave and a right candidate.
25)MN-1 (Clinton) 39-35- Democrats won back MN-1 in 2006.
26)MS-1 (Bush 41) 50-42- Democrats won back MS-1 in 2008.
27)NE-2 (Bush 41) 48-32- District is now Democratic Friendly.
28)NV-1 (Clinton) 44-31 Democrats won back NV-1 in 1998.
29)NH-2 (Clinton) 41-37- Democrats won back NH-2 in 2006.
30)NJ-2 (Clinton) 41-39- Safe GOP District but Democrats can win it back if OPEN Seat.
31)NJ-8 (Clinton) 46-43- Democrats won back NJ-8 in 1996.
32)NY-1 (Bush 41) 40-38- Democrats won back NY-1 in 2002-
33)NC-2 (Bush 41) 46-40 Democrats won back NC-2 in 1996.
34)NC-3 (Bush 41) 46-39 Safe GOP Seat.
35)NC-4 (Clinton) 47-39 Democrats won back NC-4 in 1996.
36)NC-5 (Bush 41) 44-43- Safe GOP Seat.
37)OH-1 (Clinton) 43-43- Democrats won back OH-1 in 2008
38)OH-6 (Bush 41) 40-40- Democrats won back OH-6 in 1996
39)OH-18 (Clinton) 43-34- Democrats won back OH-18 in 2006 after the District was gerrymandered to be more Republican.
40)OH-19 (Clinton) 40-37- Now OH-14 Safe GOP District but Democrats can win it back if OPEN Seat.
41)OK-2 (Clinton) 43-36 Democrats won back OK-2 in 2000.
42)OK-4 (Bush 41) 42-34 Safe GOP seat.
43)OK-6 (Bush 41) 43-34 Safe GOP Seat Now OK-6
44)OR-5 (Clinton) 40-35- Democrats won back OR-5 in 1996
45)PA-13 (Clinton) 44-40- Democrats won back PA-13 in 1998-
46)SC-3 (Bush 41) 52-35 Safe GOP Seat.
47)TN-3 (Bush 41) 44-44- Safe GOP Seat.
48)TN-4 (Clinton) 48-40- Democrats won back TN-4 in 2002.
49)TX-9 (Clinton) 44-36 Democrats won back TX-9 in 1996- The old TX-9 was eliminated during the 2003 Delaymander.
50)TX-13 (Bush 41) 43-36 Safe GOP Seat.
51)UT-2 (Bush 41) 39-31 Democrats won back UT-2 in 2000.
52)VA-11 (Bush 41) 43-43 Democrats won back VA-11 in 2008.
53)WA-1 (Clinton) 41-32 Democrats won back WA-1 in 1998.
54)WA-2 (Clinton) 41-33 Democrats won back WA-2 in 2000.
55)WA-3 (Clinton) 42-33 Democrats won back WA-3 in 1998.
56)WA-4 (Bush 41) 43-35 Safe GOP Seat.
57)WA-5 (Clinton) 40-37 Safe GOP Seat.
58)WA-9 (Clinton) 42-31 Democrats won back WA-9 in 1996.
59)WI-1 (Clinton) 41-36- Safe GOP Seat but Democrats can win it back if OPEN Seat or wave.
Democrats won
1)ME-2 (Clinton) 38-29
2)MN-6 (Clinton) 41-32- District was re-numbered MN-2 in 2002 became more GOP Friendly.-now held Republican.
3)PA-18 (Clinton) 52-31 Now Renumbered PA-14.
4)RI-1 (Clinton) 50-28

The Red District Democrats house members who survived the 1994 GOP wave was.
1)AL-3 (Browder)- retired in 1996- went Republican- Safe GOP.
2)AL-4 (Bevill)- retired in 1996- went Republican- Safe GOP.
3)AL-5 (Cramer)- retired in 2008- Democrat Griffith narrowly won seat in 2008.
4)GA-9 (Deal) switch parties in 1995- Safe GOP seat.
5)IN-3 (Roemer)- now IN-2- retired in 2002- went Republican in 2002- Democrats won IN-2 back in 2006.
6)KY-6 (Baesler)- retired in 1998 went Republican- Democrats won back KY-6 in 2004.
7)MI-10 (Bonior) retired in 2002- Went Republican- Safe GOP.
8)MS-3 (Montgomery)- retired in 1996- went Republican Safe GOP seat.
9)MS-4 (Parker)- switched parties in 1995- retired in 1998- went back Democratic- eliminated in 2002.
10)MO-4 (Skelton).
11)NC-8 (Hefner). retired in 1998- went Republican. Democrats won back NC-8 in 2008.
12)ND-AL (Pomeroy).
13)PA-6 (Holden)- now PA-17- gerrymandered into a GOP freindly District in 2002 and survived ever since.
14)SC-5 (Spratt)
15)SD-AL (Johnson)- ran for US Senate in 1996- seat went Republican- Democrats won it back in 2004.
16)TX-4 (Hall)- switched Parties in 2004- safe GOP seat.
17)TX-11 (Edwards)- now TX-17- gerrymandered into GOP friendly district in 2004 Delaymander and survived.
18)TX-14 (Laughlin)- switched parties in 1995-lost in GOP primary- Safe GOP seat.
19)TX-17 (Stenholm)- The OLD TX-17 was eliminated in 2004 Delaymander.
20)VA-2 (Pickett)- retired in 2000- seat went Republican. Democrats won it back in 2008.
21)VA-4(Sisisiky)-died in 2001- seat went Republican- safe GOP seat.
22)VA-5 (Payne)- retired in 1996- Goode elected as a Democrat became Republican held onto the seat until his defeat in 2008.

[nkpatel1279]

Democratic Held US House Districts that went for McCain.
1)MS-4 (Taylor-D) 32-68
2)TX-17 (Edwards-D) 32-67
3)OK-2 (Boren-D) 34-66
4)TN-4 (Davis-D) 34-64
5)AL-2 (Bright-D) 36-63
6)ID-1 (Minnick-D)36-62
7)MS-1 (Childers-D) 38-62
8)TN-6 (Gordon-D) 37-62
9)LA-3 (Melancon-D)37-61
10)MO-4 (Skelton-D) 38-61
11)AL-5 (Griffith-D) 38-61
12)AR-1 (Berry-D) 38-59
13)VA-9 (Boucher-D) 40-59
14)AR-4 (Ross-D) 39-58
15)UT-2 (Matheson-D) 39-57
16)MD-1 (Kravitol-D) 40-58
17)WV-1 (Mollohan-D) 42-57
18)WV-2 (Rahall-D) 42-56
19)TN-8 (Tanner-D) 43-56
20)SC-5 (Spratt-D) 43-56
21)GA-8 (Marshall-D) 43-56
22)KY-6 (Chandler-D)43-55
23)PA-4 (Altmire-D) 44-55
24)AR-2 (Snyder-D) 44-54
25)AZ-1 (Kilpatrick-D) 44-54
26)FL-2 (Boyd-D) 45-54
27)PA-10 (Carney-D) 45-54
28)ND-AL(Pomeroy-D) 45-53
29)SD-AL (Herseth-D) 45-53
30)OH-18 (Space-D) 45-52
31)AZ-8 (Giffords-D) 46-52
32)NC-7 (McIntyre-D) 47-52
33)NC-11(Schuler-D) 47-52
34)AZ-5 (Mitchell-D) 47-52
35)IN-8 (Ellsworth-D) 47-51
36)VA-5 (Perriello-D) 48-51
37)PA-17 (Holden-D) 48-51
38)NY-29 (Massa-D) 48-51
39)MN-7 (Peterson-D) 47-50
40)CO-3 (Salazar-D) 47-50
41)FL-24 (Kozmas-D) 49-51
42)OH-6 (Wilson-D) 48-50
43)OH-16 (Boccieri-D) 48-50
44)NY-13 (MacMahon-D) 49-51
45)IN-9 (Hill-D) 49-50
46)CO-4 (Markey-D) 49-50
47)NM-2 (Teague-D) 49-50
48)PA-12 (Murtha-D) 49-50
49)PA-3 (Dahlkemper-D) 49-49

Looking at the 49 McCain Democratic US House Districts.  The following US House Seats are likely to flip.
1)TX-17
2)TN-4
3)AL-2
4)ID-1
5)MS-1
6)LA-3 OPEN
7)AL-5
8)MD-1
9)GA-8
10)AZ-1
11)PA-10
12)OH-18
13)AZ-8
14)AZ-5
15)VA-5
16)NY-29
17)FL-24
18)OH-16
19)CO-4
20)NM-2
21)PA-12
22)PA-3

Other Democratic US House Members that might lose.
1)FL-8
2)MI-7
3)NY-20
4)NY-24
5)OH-1
6)OH-15
7)VA-2
8)NH-2
9)PA-7

We pickup LA-2,IL-10,PA-6 and DE-AL

At most Republicans will pick up 25 seats.

[nkpatel1279]

In 1994- Republicans won safe Democratic Districts such as
CA-1,CA-15,CA-49/53,IL-1,ME-1,NV-1,NH-2,NJ-8,NY-1,NC-4,OR-5,PA-13,VA-11,WA-1,WA-2,WA-3,and WA-9 and swing Districts now held by Democrats.
AZ-5/6, GA-8, ID-1,IL-11,IN-8,MN-1,MS-1,NC-2,OH-1,OH-6,OH-18,OK-2,and UT-2.

[nkpatel1279]

Congressional Districts are too gerrymandered for the Democrats to lose that many seats.
[/quote]

Look at Ohio's map, among many other states, and reassess your claim.
[/quote]-

Better yet- we should look at Congressional Districts in States Democrats picked up in the 2006 and 2008 Democratic Wave.
In the New England Region- Democrats picked up 2 US House Seats in NH(Shea Porter,Hodes),and 2 US House Seats in CT(Courtney,Murphy) in 2006 and 1 US House Seat in CT(Himes). All five of those freshman Democratic US House Members unseated Republican incumbents.  The CT US Democratic Reps (Courtney,Himes,and Murphy) are safe. The NH US House Seats will be competitive.

[nkpatel1279]

In the Mid-Atlantic Region.
Democrats picked up 3 Upstate New York US House Seats in 2006 (Hall,Gillibrand,and Arcuri). and 4 US House Seats in Pennsylvania including 2 in the Philadelphia Area (Sestak and Murphy)-one in Pittsburgh Area (Altmire) one in Scranton(Carney). In 2008- Democrats picked up 3 US House Seats in New York- 1 in NYC (McMahon), and 2 in Upstate (Maffei and Massa). 1 US House Seat in PA (Dahlkemper) 1 US House Seat in MD (Kravotil). 1 US House Seat in NJ(Adler).
Hall(NY-19) is trending Democratic- he is safe. Democrats won NY-20(Gillibrand's old US House Seat in a special election). That race along with NY-24(Arcuri) and NY-23(McHugh's old Seat) will be highly competitive in 2010.  NY-25(Maffei) is safe.  NY-13(McMahon) is safe. NY-29(Massa) is vulnerable due to the fact he is in a Republican leaning district.  The Pennsylvania US House Seats in the Phildelphia Area - PA-7 (Sestak) and PA-8 (Murphy) will remain in the Democratic collumn in 2010.  PA-3,PA-4,and PA-10 lean Republican but the Democratic incumbents are popular in those Districts. Democrats have a potential of picking up PA-6.
Kravotil(MD-1) represents a Safe republican District.- he is vulnerable if republicans nominate a moderate republican from Eastern shore.  Adler(NJ-3) is fairly safe.

[nkpatel1279]

In the midwest region. In 2006- we picked up 1 seat in Ohio- OH-18(Ney Seat). 3 US House Seats in IN (Donnelly,Ellsworth,and Hill). 1 seat in MN(Walz),2 seats in IA (Braley,and Loesback). In 2008- we picked up 3 seats in Ohio (Dreihaus,Kilroy,and Boccieri). 2 seats in Michigan (Schauer,Peters). 2 seats in Illinios (Halverson,Foster). -we picked up a Republican leaning district in IL in 2004(Bean).
In Ohio- Space(OH-18) and Boccieri(OH-16) represent Republican leaning Districts but they are popular- Safe Democratic. Dreihaus(OH-1) is facing a rematch against former US Rep Steve Chabot- tossup. Kilroy(OH-15) narrowly won in 2008 due to the Obama wave in a swing district. The Indiana US House Democrats (Donnelly,Ellsworth,and Hill) are safe. Walz(MN-1) is safe. MI Democratic US House Freshmans (Schauer,and Peters) are favored to win re-election. as well as the Democratic US House members in IL who are in competitive Districts (Bean,Halverson,and Foster). we are also going to pick up IL-10(Kirk seat). The IA seats(Braley,and Loesback) are safe.

[nkpatel1279]

In the South we picked up 1 seat in FL(Klein) in 2006 and 1 seat in TX(Rodriguez). 1 seat in AL(Bright) in 2008. 2 seats in FL(Grayson,Kosmas) in 2008.  The Florida US House Seats (Grayson,Klien,and Kozmas) are competitive in 2010 but Klien(FL-22) will remain Democratic. Grayson(FL-8) and Kosmas(FL-24) are vulnerable.  Rodriguez(TX-23) is favored to win re-election. Bright(AL-2) represents a ruby red district but he is popular- as is Griffith(AL-5). In Louisiana- we pick up LA-2(Bill jefferson's old seat) and lose open seat in LA-3(Melancon's seat). Democrats will hold onto MS-1 (Childers)-

[nkpatel1279]

In the Southwest we picked up 2 seats in Arizona in 2006 (Mitchell,Giffords), 1 seat in California(McNerney). 1 seat in Colorado(Perlmutter), in 2008 we picked up 1 seat in AZ(Kirkpatrick). 1 seat in CO(Markey), 1 seat in NV(Titus), 2 seats in NM (Heinrich,Teague).
The Arizona seats are competitive but Democratic incumbent favored (Kirkpatrick,Mitchell,and Giffords). McNerney(CA-11) is favored to win re-election due to his district trending Democratic. Regarding Colorado- Perlmutter(CO-7) is safe. Markey(CO-4) is vulnerable due to the fact she is in a Republican leaning District and her gop opponent in 2010 will not be a nutjob like Musgrave. NV (Titus) is safe. as is NM-1(Heinrich). Teague(NM-2) is vulnerable because he is in a Republican leaning CD and has a top tier challenger. ID(Minnick) is from a ruby red congressional district.