bedstuy
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Posts: 4,526
Political Matrix
E: -1.16, S: -4.35
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« on: May 14, 2013, 04:46:24 PM » |
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Obama's campaign outclassed Romney's campaign in GOTV and ground-game for one thing.
But, more importantly, likely voter screens seemed to obscure the accuracy of polling. Most of the national polls weighted their sample towards a whiter, more Republican, less black, less Latino and older electorate.
For example, Gallup poll's estimation of likely voters before the election vs. exit polls.
18-29: 13%, Exit Polls: 19%
Black: 11%, Exit polls: 13%
Latino: 7%, Exit polls: 10%
Democrat: 35%, Exit polls: 38%
Republican: 36%, Exit polls: 32%
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