Republican Bayou/Cauci Saturday election results thread (first results @3pm ET?)

[emailking]

Anyone else think LA might have been a premie call?

No because the network calls are virtually never wrong, even when the race tightens after the call.

[emailking]

As I said in IRC, regardless of the outcome, the LA call was way too early.

But how do you conclude that? They call it when they're confident someone will win, not when they're confident it won't tighten significantly. They know what they're doing.

[emailking]

As I said in IRC, regardless of the outcome, the LA call was way too early.

But how do you conclude that? They call it when they're confident someone will win, not when they're confident it won't tighten significantly. They know what they're doing.

I doubt they predicted the race tightening  to within 5%

Doesn't matter. They predicted it wouldn't tighten to within 0, which is all they need to make the call.

[emailking]

As I said in IRC, regardless of the outcome, the LA call was way too early.

But how do you conclude that? They call it when they're confident someone will win, not when they're confident it won't tighten significantly. They know what they're doing.

Let's dispel the fiction that the news media know what they're doing. They have no idea what they're doing.

The stats people working behind the scenes on election nights do know what they're doing, and it's validated by the fact that their calls are virtually never wrong, even when people debate on here that this that or the other call may be premature.