The impact of the crisis can be best seen by checking the RCP average from September 15 to September 26, when it was the main factor and Palin's gaffes and McCain's debate losses did not effect the polls. On the 15th, Obama was at 44.7%, by the 26th he was at 47.9%, an increase of 3.2%. On the 15th, McCain was at 46.3%, by the 26th he was at 43.7%, a fall of 2.6%. I'll combine that to an overall swing of 2.9% to McCain.
Barack Obama/Joe Biden-Democratic: 291 EV 49.96%John McCain/Sarah Palin-Republican: 247 EV 48.50% 
