NV-SEN: Rosen in

[Brittain33]

She must have seen some very promising polling to give up a House seat she could easily defend in 2018. Certainly what's been released publicly is encouraging for a Dem to challenge Heller.

Does having an announced challenger make Heller go wobbly on repealing ACA? 

[Brittain33]

Also, @Brittain: she probably figured it might be better to go for a light blue Senate seat rather than defend a light red House seat every two years.

Yes, I agree. Doing the math on that it's not certain when the next voter turnout slump hits her district but surely she faces an election sometime when her base forgets to show up.

[Brittain33]

That's...unusual, to say the least. I can't really say I see the logic behind this one. I mean, she's a better candidate than Titus in the sense that she's younger and a newer name, but Rick Berg has already demonstrated that running freshman representatives for high-stakes Senate seats is a risky business.

Tom Cotton provides a counterexample, though. National environment matters.

[Brittain33]

Hmm, interesting: Peter Cvjetanovic, one of the participants in the Charlottesville rally/violence, smiled and posed with Dean Heller once.

Could this have a small effect on Heller's reelection chances?

In which direction?