Ipsos/Reuters Polls (through DNC week): Clinton +6 (tied 4-way) (user search)
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  Ipsos/Reuters Polls (through DNC week): Clinton +6 (tied 4-way) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Ipsos/Reuters Polls (through DNC week): Clinton +6 (tied 4-way)  (Read 3119 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,190
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« on: July 29, 2016, 01:28:37 PM »
« edited: July 29, 2016, 06:35:25 PM by Likely Voter »

Head-to-head:

LV
Clinton 41
Trump 35

RV
Clinton 40
Trump 33


4-way:
NOTE: 4-way poll is a completely different poll with different sample.

LV:
Clinton 37
Trump 37
Johnson 5
Stein 1

RV:
Clinton 37
Trump 34
Johnson 8
Stein 3


...

Favourable Ratings (RV):

43-57 Clinton
43-57 Trump

...

Quote
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http://www.ipsos-na.com/news-polls/pressrelease.aspx?id=7324

http://www.ipsos-na.com/download/pr.aspx?id=15793

UPDATE: Different LV 2-way numbers
http://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-election-poll-idUSKCN1092M5
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,190
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #1 on: July 29, 2016, 01:33:07 PM »

Considering Reuters/Ipsos already had Hillary up by 13 points a month ago, this is not all too good news for Hillary.

But could be worse for her ...
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,190
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #2 on: July 29, 2016, 01:36:00 PM »

Could you just put the numbers in the header, I have no idea what "+ not" is supposed to mean.

Considering Reuters/Ipsos already had Hillary up by 13 points a month ago, this is not all too good news for Hillary.

But could be worse for her ...

Considering they changed their methodology, its fine.

"+ not" means that she pulled ahead (2-way) and at the same time she did not (4-way).
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,190
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #3 on: July 29, 2016, 01:37:52 PM »

Only Tender Branson could spin a 7 point lead as not good for Clinton.

Nah.

Just look at the numbers:

The important number is the LV figure now.

And don't do as if Johnson and Stein are not in the race !
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,190
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #4 on: July 29, 2016, 01:45:20 PM »

Tender Branson sweating LIKE A DOG over Clinton's lead--SAD!
She was down by 2 and is now up by 5 with likely voters, a 7 point convention bounce already! But this is bad news because reasons!

Once again, why are you ignoring Johnson and Stein ? They are also on the ballot.

And in this case, the race is a tie.

We need more polls, but the evidence so far shows that Trump got a 4-5% bump and Clinton roughly the same one.

It's all back to the Clinton+4 race like before the conventions (or even less than that).
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,190
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #5 on: July 29, 2016, 01:50:08 PM »

Tender Branson sweating LIKE A DOG over Clinton's lead--SAD!
She was down by 2 and is now up by 5 with likely voters, a 7 point convention bounce already! But this is bad news because reasons!

Once again, why are you ignoring Johnson and Stein ? They are also on the ballot.

And in this case, the race is a tie.

We need more polls, but the evidence so far shows that Trump got a 4-5% bump and Clinton roughly the same one.

It's all back to the Clinton+4 race like before the conventions (or even less than that).
Your opinion =!= reality.

My opinion is the reality. I only post the facts and the facts in this poll show Hillary ahead by 2.5 points on average among LV and by 5 among RV.

That is exactly back to pre-convention polling levels.
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