Australian Election 2004 Results Thread

[Silent Hunter]

Currently a 4% swing to the Liberals.

[Silent Hunter]

Western polls close in an hour, right?

[Silent Hunter]

ABC says a 3.8% swing to the Liberals, -0.8  from Labour, -3.7 from the Democrats. Are the Democrats conservatives? If so, could be some tactical voting here.

Current prediction:

Liberal 57
National 13
Labor 40
Greens 1
Others 3

[Silent Hunter]

There'll be a small swing to Labor, IMO, but it'll won't be enough.

[Silent Hunter]

ABC have predicted a Coalition Victory:
Lib 64
Nat 12
Lab 50
Green 1
Others 3

[Silent Hunter]

This is won for Howard now. I think we're going to end up with the three major pro-war governments all re-elected and two out of the three anti-ones losing (Chirac's party lost it's Senate majority recently and Schroeder is on course for a loss in 2006, giving Germany it's first female Chancellor).

Lesson from this: Iraq cannot single-handedly swing an election.