The crosstabs of married and unmarried men and women suggest a much larger lead than 6 points. Clinton is winning married women by 8, unmarried women by 49! and unmarried men by 23! In the 2012 exit poll, Romney won men by 7 and lost women by 11 to lose the election by 4 points. If Trump wins men by 9 and loses women by 18 he will lose by 9-10 points
No, with the same gender turnout as last time this implies a Clinton lead of about 5.3%.
You're right! I was overestimating the # of women in the poll
