If the number of electoral votes per state was based off of each state's voter turnout in the previous presidential election, the numbers for 2016 would be as follows (based off of 2012 results):
Biggest winner is Ohio (+3), while biggest losers are California and Texas (-9 each). The overall trend seems to be higher turnout in swing states and lower turnout in states with high Hispanic populations. The following map indicates which states gained or lost electoral votes due to the change:
Green >90% - Plus 3
Green >70% - Plus 2
Green >50% - Plus 1
Red >50% - Minus 1
Red >70% - Minus 3
Red >90% - Minus 9
If this map was somehow present for the 2012 election, Obama would have beaten Romney 341-197.
Thoughts?
