ME Sen I can't really be Collins it yet (user search)
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  ME Sen I can't really be Collins it yet (search mode)
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Author Topic: ME Sen I can't really be Collins it yet  (Read 76982 times)
Gracile
gracile
Moderator
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,054


Political Matrix
E: -8.00, S: -7.65

« on: May 25, 2019, 01:32:33 PM »

You win by painting Collins as a career politician and a Washington insider, there's clips of her promising to run for two terms and supporting term limits . You do this by running someone like Gideon whose only been in politics for a short time and has never been in Washington.

I agree with the first part of this post, but I really don't think Gideon would be the most electable candidate to take down Collins. She represents a State House district in coastal Maine that is far to the left of the state, and I doubt she would be able to overcome Collins' advantage in Northern Maine. Someone from the ME-02 area would be more ideal.
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Gracile
gracile
Moderator
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,054


Political Matrix
E: -8.00, S: -7.65

« Reply #1 on: June 14, 2019, 04:39:38 PM »

Not really big on Gideon. She has the profile of someone who could lose easily to Collins - from the liberal coastal region without much appeal to the rest of the state. Someone from the ME-02 area would be better.
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Gracile
gracile
Moderator
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,054


Political Matrix
E: -8.00, S: -7.65

« Reply #2 on: June 24, 2019, 12:51:19 PM »

Troy Jackson would have a better chance at beating Collins IMO.
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Gracile
gracile
Moderator
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,054


Political Matrix
E: -8.00, S: -7.65

« Reply #3 on: July 07, 2019, 10:25:07 AM »

Susan Collins says she doesn't regret Kavanaugh vote 'in the least'
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Gracile
gracile
Moderator
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,054


Political Matrix
E: -8.00, S: -7.65

« Reply #4 on: July 25, 2019, 04:09:43 PM »

Collins is not going to get a landslide victory as in past races, but it's clear that she still has some of her crossover appeal remaining. Plus she is helped out by the trends of Maine. I think this race starts out as Lean R.
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Gracile
gracile
Moderator
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,054


Political Matrix
E: -8.00, S: -7.65

« Reply #5 on: August 16, 2019, 12:18:10 PM »

I think it's still a bit early to peg the race as a tossup.
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Gracile
gracile
Moderator
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,054


Political Matrix
E: -8.00, S: -7.65

« Reply #6 on: August 26, 2019, 10:46:45 AM »

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Gracile
gracile
Moderator
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,054


Political Matrix
E: -8.00, S: -7.65

« Reply #7 on: December 18, 2019, 08:58:50 AM »

^Not surprising. All the talk about her retiring seemed like wishful thinking on the part of Democrats.
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Gracile
gracile
Moderator
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,054


Political Matrix
E: -8.00, S: -7.65

« Reply #8 on: April 14, 2020, 02:57:01 PM »

There has been very little head-to-head polling of Collins vs. Gideon (and the few recent ones we've had show a close race), so I would hesitate to call this Lean D yet. It should also be noted that in the past much of Collins' disapproval in past polling came from conservative Republicans who would ultimately vote for her.

With that said, the trajectory of the race is clearly not favorable to Collins and it should be much more competitive than some here were initially expecting.
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Gracile
gracile
Moderator
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,054


Political Matrix
E: -8.00, S: -7.65

« Reply #9 on: October 26, 2020, 07:14:45 PM »

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