Quinnipiac University National poll: Warren 27% Biden 25% Sanders 16%

[Pouring Rain and Blairing Music]

The big question is: Is this a peak, short term hype for Warren or the beginning of something bigger? Biden has definitely reason to worry, but what I expected all along. Sanders path to the nomination seems nearly closed now.

https://twitter.com/hollyotterbein/status/1176843812553052161

Warren has probably gained more from Harris.

Judging by a lot of polls that showed more Biden-Sanders voters and Warren-Harris voters, I think that’s pretty accurate.

[Mr. Morden]

GOP #s:
Trump 80%
Sanford 2%
Walsh 2%
Weld 2%

Age crosstabs:
age 18-49:
Trump 69%
Weld 4%
Walsh 3%
Sanford 2%

age 65+:
Trump 88%
Sanford 1%
Weld 1%
Walsh 0%

[Mr. Morden]

Dem crosstabs…

very liberal:
Warren 36%
Sanders 23%
Biden 13%

somewhat liberal:
Warren 30%
Biden 19%
Sanders 19%

moderate:
Biden 31%
Warren 21%
Sanders 12%

Warren leads with men, but only tied with women:

men:
Warren 27%
Biden 23%
Sanders 17%

women:
Biden 26%
Warren 26%
Sanders 16%

white w/ college degree:
Warren 37%
Biden 20%
Buttigieg 13%
Sanders 8%

white w/ no college degree:
Biden 27%
Warren 26%
Sanders 19%
Buttigieg 6%

black:
Biden 40%
Warren 19%
Sanders 12%
Harris 4%

paying a lot of attention to the race:
Warren 31%
Biden 29%
Sanders 12%

paying little to no attention to the race:
Sanders 31%
Biden 16%
Warren 12%

[Alben Barkley]

Warren seems to be gaining from both Biden AND Sanders, and she’s pretty much completely absorbed Harris.

This doesn’t surprise me, because I’ve long believed she is the best-positioned to unite the party and appeal to most all its voters. And she still has plenty of room to go up, as she is still the top second choice in these polls.

[Alben Barkley]

Dem crosstabs…

very liberal:
Warren 36%
Sanders 23%
Biden 13%

somewhat liberal:
Warren 30%
Biden 19%
Sanders 19%

moderate:
Biden 31%
Warren 21%
Sanders 12%

Warren leads with men, but only tied with women:

men:
Warren 27%
Biden 23%
Sanders 17%

women:
Biden 26%
Warren 26%
Sanders 16%

white w/ college degree:
Warren 37%
Biden 20%
Buttigieg 13%
Sanders 8%

white w/ no college degree:
Biden 27%
Warren 26%
Sanders 19%
Buttigieg 6%

black:
Biden 40%
Warren 19%
Sanders 12%
Harris 4%

paying a lot of attention to the race:
Warren 31%
Biden 29%
Sanders 12%

paying little to no attention to the race:
Sanders 31%
Biden 16%
Warren 12%

These numbers are terrible for Sanders, and best of all confirm that his voters are the “low information” ones.

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

Dem crosstabs…

very liberal:
Warren 36%
Sanders 23%
Biden 13%

somewhat liberal:
Warren 30%
Biden 19%
Sanders 19%

moderate:
Biden 31%
Warren 21%
Sanders 12%

Warren leads with men, but only tied with women:

men:
Warren 27%
Biden 23%
Sanders 17%

women:
Biden 26%
Warren 26%
Sanders 16%

white w/ college degree:
Warren 37%
Biden 20%
Buttigieg 13%
Sanders 8%

white w/ no college degree:
Biden 27%
Warren 26%
Sanders 19%
Buttigieg 6%

black:
Biden 40%
Warren 19%
Sanders 12%
Harris 4%

paying a lot of attention to the race:
Warren 31%
Biden 29%
Sanders 12%

paying little to no attention to the race:
Sanders 31%
Biden 16%
Warren 12%

These numbers are terrible for Sanders, and best of all confirm that his voters are the “low information” ones.

And "paying attention" means what?  Watching cable news?  Obsessing on Twitter?  It's months before anyone votes.  Do you losers not understand how the real world works?  Of course if you're not watching the news you won't have 20 hours of MSDNC blowing Warren/Biden Sunshine up your ass.  Go outside.  Learn about the world that doesn't involve whining about politics on the computer. 

[OneJ]

This poll points to Warren picking up mainly from Harris and Biden as Sanders basically is stagnant here.

[Crumpets]

white w/ no college degree:
Biden 27%
Warren 26%
Sanders 19%
Buttigieg 6%

This seems like the key tidbit from this poll.

[wbrocks67]

Those Harris numbers.

F.

Also, Booker is at 0.

All the non-white candidates are polling horrendously. Not to say that their perfect candidates, but c'mon. I thought the Dem primary voters was better than this.

[Heebie Jeebie]

Those Harris numbers.

F.

Also, Booker is at 0.

All the non-white candidates are polling horrendously. Not to say that their perfect candidates, but c'mon. I thought the Dem primary voters was better than this.

This isn't too surprising.  Obama as a fresh face was only able to catch fire because he opposed the Iraq War while the presumed nominee had supported it.  There's no single issue that important or divisive this year.  All the major candidates are more or less on the same side of every issue, so there's less opportunity for outsiders to gain traction against more well established candidates.

[ElectionsGuy]

Those Harris numbers.

F.

Also, Booker is at 0.

All the non-white candidates are polling horrendously. Not to say that their perfect candidates, but c'mon. I thought the Dem primary voters was better than this.

You say this as if they Dems NEED to support (or at least in some good numbers) non-white candidates to not be racist. Can we just let people evaluate candidates individually based on non-identity characteristics and not inject a "problematic" narrative to everything? Harris and Booker are not top tier candidates so they aren't polling in a top tier way. Simple as that.

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

The big question is: Is this a peak, short term hype for Warren or the beginning of something bigger? Biden has definitely reason to worry, but what I expected all along. Sanders path to the nomination seems nearly closed now.

Thats an extremely important takeaway, are we seeing a Thompson-rise or a McCain-rise? If its more like the former then Sanders or Biden can comeback and take the lead. If its a McCain-rise then Warren should be on track to win the nomination.

There is about zero chance of Democrats running to Bernie Sanders, a guy who proudly likes to brag about not being a member of the party whose nomination he's seeking.

[Eraserhead]

The big question is: Is this a peak, short term hype for Warren or the beginning of something bigger? Biden has definitely reason to worry, but what I expected all along. Sanders path to the nomination seems nearly closed now.

Thats an extremely important takeaway, are we seeing a Thompson-rise or a McCain-rise? If its more like the former then Sanders or Biden can comeback and take the lead. If its a McCain-rise then Warren should be on track to win the nomination.

There is about zero chance of Democrats running to Bernie Sanders, a guy who proudly likes to brag about not being a member of the party whose nomination he's seeking.

When has he been proudly bragging about it?

Also, normal humans don't care about this.

[Landslide Lyndon]

Also, normal humans don't care about this.

There is nothing abnormal in wanting to nominate one of your own instead of an interloper.

[Gustaf]

Tbh, the best part about Sanders failing is our resident Bernie Bros sweating like dogs

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Tbh, the best part about Sanders failing is our resident Bernie Bros sweating like dogs

Bernie isn't falling. He's just not gaining like Warren.

[Zaybay]

The big question is: Is this a peak, short term hype for Warren or the beginning of something bigger? Biden has definitely reason to worry, but what I expected all along. Sanders path to the nomination seems nearly closed now.

Thats an extremely important takeaway, are we seeing a Thompson-rise or a McCain-rise? If its more like the former then Sanders or Biden can comeback and take the lead. If its a McCain-rise then Warren should be on track to win the nomination.

There is about zero chance of Democrats running to Bernie Sanders, a guy who proudly likes to brag about not being a member of the party whose nomination he's seeking.

There is a significant chance of that happening, just due to the overall closeness of the primary and possible pitfalls and successes that the candidates can have. We have 5 months until IA, a lot can move around.

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

Also, normal humans don't care about this.

There is nothing abnormal in wanting to nominate one of your own instead of an interloper.

I get calling himself an “independent” is a big part of Bernie’s whole appeal, but it’s also one of his biggest liabilities in a Democratic primary. Why should we trust someone who doesn’t want to be associated with it?

[Technocracy Timmy]

And "paying attention" means what?  Watching cable news?  Obsessing on Twitter?  It's months before anyone votes.  Do you losers not understand how the real world works?  Of course if you're not watching the news you won't have 20 hours of MSDNC blowing Warren/Biden Sunshine up your ass.  Go outside.  Learn about the world that doesn't involve whining about politics on the computer. 

Saltier than the Dead Sea.

[Skunk]

Dem crosstabs…

very liberal:
Warren 36%
Sanders 23%
Biden 13%

somewhat liberal:
Warren 30%
Biden 19%
Sanders 19%

moderate:
Biden 31%
Warren 21%
Sanders 12%

Warren leads with men, but only tied with women:

men:
Warren 27%
Biden 23%
Sanders 17%

women:
Biden 26%
Warren 26%
Sanders 16%

white w/ college degree:
Warren 37%
Biden 20%
Buttigieg 13%
Sanders 8%

white w/ no college degree:
Biden 27%
Warren 26%
Sanders 19%
Buttigieg 6%

black:
Biden 40%
Warren 19%
Sanders 12%
Harris 4%

paying a lot of attention to the race:
Warren 31%
Biden 29%
Sanders 12%

paying little to no attention to the race:
Sanders 31%
Biden 16%
Warren 12%

These numbers are terrible for Sanders, and best of all confirm that his voters are the “low information” ones.

And "paying attention" means what?  Watching cable news?  Obsessing on Twitter?  It's months before anyone votes.  Do you losers not understand how the real world works?  Of course if you're not watching the news you won't have 20 hours of MSDNC blowing Warren/Biden Sunshine up your ass.  Go outside.  Learn about the world that doesn't involve whining about politics on the computer. 

Can you really be telling other people to go outside when you have over 10,000 posts on here?

[QAnonKelly]

Dem crosstabs…

very liberal:
Warren 36%
Sanders 23%
Biden 13%

somewhat liberal:
Warren 30%
Biden 19%
Sanders 19%

moderate:
Biden 31%
Warren 21%
Sanders 12%

Warren leads with men, but only tied with women:

men:
Warren 27%
Biden 23%
Sanders 17%

women:
Biden 26%
Warren 26%
Sanders 16%

white w/ college degree:
Warren 37%
Biden 20%
Buttigieg 13%
Sanders 8%

white w/ no college degree:
Biden 27%
Warren 26%
Sanders 19%
Buttigieg 6%

black:
Biden 40%
Warren 19%
Sanders 12%
Harris 4%

paying a lot of attention to the race:
Warren 31%
Biden 29%
Sanders 12%

paying little to no attention to the race:
Sanders 31%
Biden 16%
Warren 12%

These numbers are terrible for Sanders, and best of all confirm that his voters are the “low information” ones.

And "paying attention" means what?  Watching cable news?  Obsessing on Twitter?  It's months before anyone votes.  Do you losers not understand how the real world works?  Of course if you're not watching the news you won't have 20 hours of MSDNC blowing Warren/Biden Sunshine up your ass.  Go outside.  Learn about the world that doesn't involve whining about politics on the computer. 

It seems like you're the one who's obsessed with MSNBC and Twitter.

[Donerail]

And "paying attention" means what?  Watching cable news?  Obsessing on Twitter?  It's months before anyone votes.  Do you losers not understand how the real world works?  Of course if you're not watching the news you won't have 20 hours of MSDNC blowing Warren/Biden Sunshine up your ass.  Go outside.  Learn about the world that doesn't involve whining about politics on the computer. 

Can you really be telling other people to go outside when you have over 10,000 posts on here?

There are posters here who were not yet conceived when Hockey started posting #onhere

[GlobeSoc]

The last debate all but eliminated Castro as Veep

I think just the opposite.  It certainly ended his presidential aspirations for this cycle, but as an audition to be Warren's running mate it was a huge success.  

I prefer Beto due to Kennedy campaigning with Beto, for Beto's Senate race. GoP counts out Beto as well as Warren, but it will be great for two comeback kids to be on the same ticket.

Castro, Buttigieg and Beto will be vying for Veepstakes. If Biden is nominee, hopefully he takes from this list as well

Honestly I don't like the idea of picking a VP from this sold out train of failed candidates, except inslee if we can somehow intimidate him into having charisma

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Beto has warm relationships with Latinos. If Beto stops Biden from winning TX, which is possible, he would help out Warren and she can thank him by putting him as Veep.

Beto is also seen by WWC males as taking a stand on guns and would help out Warren, who gun owners think would take away their guns. Beto is the right fit for Warren or Biden. Castro hurt his campaign when he went after Biden so agressively and Buttigieg is from IN, a small state. You need someone to come from a large state. BETTIGIEG would hurt chances with Blacks, due to Blacks standing against SSM.

Harris and Abrams do not have any foreign policy experience

[slothdem]

Tbh, the best part about Sanders failing is our resident Bernie Bros sweating like dogs

Bernie isn't falling. He's just not gaining like Warren.

Isn't "not gaining" a big problem for a candidate in distant third who has been campaigning for four straight years?