How will LimoLiberal react if this is the House result?

[Politician]

Democratic pickups: AK-AL, AZ-02, AZ-06, AR-02, CA-10, CA-21, CA-22, CA-25, CA-39, CA-45, CA-48, CA-49, CA-50, CO-03, CO-06, FL-06, FL-15, FL-18, FL-25, FL-26, FL-27, GA-06, GA-07, IL-06, IL-12, IL-13, IL-14, IN-02, IN-09, IA-01, IA-03, KS-02, KS-03, KY-06, ME-02, MI-01, MI-06, MI-07, MI-08, MI-11, MN-02, MN-03, MO-02, MT-AL, NE-02, NV-02, NJ-02, NJ-03, NJ-04, NJ-07, NJ-11, NM-02, NY-01, NY-02, NY-11, NY-19, NY-22, NY-23, NY-24, NC-02, NC-08, NC-09, NC-13, OH-01, OH-07, OH-10, OH-12, OH-14, OH-15, OK-05, PA-01, PA-05, PA-06, PA-07, PA-10, PA-16, PA-17, SC-01, SD-AL, TX-07, TX-10, TX-21, TX-23, TX-24, TX-32, UT-04, VA-02, VA-05, VA-07, VA-10, WA-03, WA-05, WA-08, WV-02, WV-03, WI-01, WI-06, WI-07, WI-08
Republican pickups: PA-14

[Gass3268]

He'll move over to the 2020 board and start hyping a Trump landslide.

[ON Progressive]

He'll focus entirely on the PA-14 loss.

[IceSpear]

Absolutely pathetic result for Pennsylvania Democrats. Democrats outnumber Republicans in registration in this district and even John Kerry of all people was competitive here. Trump's re-election is assured.

[KingSweden]

He'll move over to the 2020 board and start hyping a Trump landslide.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Absolutely pathetic result for Pennsylvania Democrats. Democrats outnumber Republicans in registration in this district and even John Kerry of all people was competitive here. Trump's re-election is assured.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Absolutely pathetic result for Pennsylvania Democrats. Democrats outnumber Republicans in registration in this district and even John Kerry of all people was competitive here. Trump's re-election is assured.

Nailed it.

[Kwal]

Absolutely pathetic result for Pennsylvania Democrats. Democrats outnumber Republicans in registration in this district and even John Kerry of all people was competitive here. Trump's re-election is assured.

Nailed it.

[Doimper]

How will Andrew react if people stop starting threads about him?

[Politician]

How will Andrew react if people stop starting threads about him?

He'll talk about how people stopped making threads about him because everyone agrees with him and those that don't get wrecked hard by him.

[forgotten manatee]

Maybe he will do us all a favor and quit posting here. That guy is an idiot.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Maybe he will do us all a favor and quit posting here. That guy is an idiot.

I wonder if we could trade him to another politics forum?  We'd probably get another idiot in return, but at least it would be some variety.

[KingSweden]

Maybe he will do us all a favor and quit posting here. That guy is an idiot.

I wonder if we could trade him to another politics forum?  We'd probably get another idiot in return, but at least it would be some variety.

DKE has some annoying tools but post-trade Limo would probably be immediately sh*tcanned over there since their mods actually bring down the hammer.

[Thunder98]

Maybe he will leave.

[LimoLiberal]

Maybe he will do us all a favor and quit posting here. That guy is an idiot.

Nobody is officially an idiot until the elections actually happen. If I posted in early December that Trump would be at 43 in the 538 approval aggregate by mid 2018 I probably would've been derided as a concern troll. Yet, he has improved significantly.

[LimoLiberal]

Maybe he will leave.

No, I definitely wouldn't. I want Democrats to have electoral success, and would gladly trade the humiliation of being totally wrong on the outcome for the political and policy implications of a blue wave. My predictions are not based on a desire for Democrats to lose (save for Heidi Heitkamp, who this forum is completely idiotic about). They are what I think will happen.

[Politician]

Maybe he will do us all a favor and quit posting here. That guy is an idiot.

Nobody is officially an idiot until the elections actually happen. If I posted in early December that Trump would be at 43 in the 538 approval aggregate by mid 2018 I probably would've been derided as a concern troll. Yet, he has improved significantly.

43% approval rating = "Significant improvement!"

Limo logic.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Maybe he will do us all a favor and quit posting here. That guy is an idiot.

Nobody is officially an idiot until the elections actually happen. If I posted in early December that Trump would be at 43 in the 538 approval aggregate by mid 2018 I probably would've been derided as a concern troll. Yet, he has improved significantly.

43% approval rating = "Significant improvement!"

Limo logic.

To be fair, that is significant improvement from early December, when Trump's average approval was in the mid-high 30's.  But I think most of the knowledgeable people here would have recognized that was within a reasonable range of where Trump might be within a few months.   What's less reasonable is assuming that because he has improved somewhat, he must therefore continue improving.  Six months from now he could be back in the 30's, about where he is now, or even (if all goes perfectly for him) approaching 50.  It's difficult to see him getting above that, though, since there's such a large core of strong disapprovers.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Maybe he will do us all a favor and quit posting here. That guy is an idiot.

Nobody is officially an idiot until the elections actually happen. If I posted in early December that Trump would be at 43 in the 538 approval aggregate by mid 2018 I probably would've been derided as a concern troll. Yet, he has improved significantly.

Well, it's already mid 2018, and Trump is at 41.9%, not 43%.

[KingSweden]

Maybe he will leave.

No, I definitely wouldn't. I want Democrats to have electoral success, and would gladly trade the humiliation of being totally wrong on the outcome for the political and policy implications of a blue wave. My predictions are not based on a desire for Democrats to lose (save for Heidi Heitkamp, who this forum is completely idiotic about). They are what I think will happen.

The thing is that with almost two years of data on your posting style/tone and determination to light your reputation on this forum on fire, the onus is on you to prove this is the case - because everything the rest of us have seen of you since the infamous “rain in NoVA” incident suggests you’re a ridiculous hack and troll.

[Virginiá]

To be fair, that is significant improvement from early December, when Trump's average approval was in the mid-high 30's.  But I think most of the knowledgeable people here would have recognized that was within a reasonable range of where Trump might be within a few months.   What's less reasonable is assuming that because he has improved somewhat, he must therefore continue improving.  Six months from now he could be back in the 30's, about where he is now, or even (if all goes perfectly for him) approaching 50.  It's difficult to see him getting above that, though, since there's such a large core of strong disapprovers.

And to add to this, if Trump can never find his way above the mid-40s range (average, long-term), then his reelection prospects are never going to be that good, particularly with huge strong disapprovals. His strong disapprove % is the strongest of any president since it has been measured (according to some graph from, I think, Silver, or someone like that)

As for Trump's approvals and the GCB going different directions, it's not the most surprising thing. Obama had neutral approval/disapproval ratings in 2010 and Republicans still saw good polling in the latter half of 2010 (and had a good election to boot). A president below 50% approvals and with huge strong disapprovals like Trump's is bound to generate a backlash.

It also serves to remind us that ~50% approval -/+ is actually not that good. We only think it is because of how polarized things are and probably because of the comparisons to Obama.

[Politician]

Does anyone else think ND is Likely D at this point?

Lean D, but closer to Likely than Toss-up. Slightly less safe than Montana or West Virginia, but safer than Missouri or Florida.

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

Does anyone else think ND is Likely D at this point?

I had the race at Cramer + 1 a few weeks ago, but starting to reconsider as Cramer continues to get bad headlines and poor decisions & Heidi continues to be the smartest Senator in America.

[LimoLiberal]

Maybe he will do us all a favor and quit posting here. That guy is an idiot.

Nobody is officially an idiot until the elections actually happen. If I posted in early December that Trump would be at 43 in the 538 approval aggregate by mid 2018 I probably would've been derided as a concern troll. Yet, he has improved significantly.

43% approval rating = "Significant improvement!"

Limo logic.

Sabes lo que significa la palabra "improvement"?

[Politician]

Maybe he will do us all a favor and quit posting here. That guy is an idiot.

Nobody is officially an idiot until the elections actually happen. If I posted in early December that Trump would be at 43 in the 538 approval aggregate by mid 2018 I probably would've been derided as a concern troll. Yet, he has improved significantly.

43% approval rating = "Significant improvement!"

Limo logic.

Sabes lo que significa la palabra "improvement"?

1. You reek of Caucasian-ness.
2. Yes, Trump's "improvement" was from an all-time low to a slightly better point.