Serious own-goal if this holds in the primary. Tony Evers has a 100% chance of winning the general if he makes it. The others lack that level of certainty.
Rule one of conventions in 2018 - they are an extreme unrepresentative sample of the ideology of the electorate. Remember, Romney lost his convention, but will probably win the primary by 70%.
Exactly. Mostly radicals and ideologues show up at conventions. Not representative of the primary electorate at all.
Does someone have to be specifically invited to show up at a convention?
I feel like they just naturally attract the hardline obsessives. Who the hell else would
voluntarily spend their Saturday at a [checks notes] state political convention?