2010 Governors Race- 2011/2012 US House Redistricting. (user search)
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Author Topic: 2010 Governors Race- 2011/2012 US House Redistricting.  (Read 10793 times)
cannonia
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Posts: 960
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Political Matrix
E: 7.42, S: -1.30

« on: October 22, 2009, 08:34:07 AM »

Looking at the States will will have an effect in the 2012 US House Redistricting process.
States that will likely have a Democratic Governor and Democratic Controlled State Legislature in 2011.
1)California- (Jerry Brown-D). Republican US House Members from marginal districts (Lungren-CA-3,Calvert-CA-44,and Bilbrary-CA-50) will have their seats eliminated or be placed in Democratic favorable districts. +3D/-3R

I will continue to point out to the Democrats here that the more Republican areas of the state (Sacramento suburbs, San Joaquin Valley, Inland Empire) have been the fastest growing.  Unless the bursting of the housing bubble has dramatically undone this migration (unlikely, given how the housing market is heating up again), it will be difficult to eliminate the "marginal" districts.  It's also dubious how marginal some of them are, especially if they survived the scandals and wave elections of '06 and '08.

Also, ask yourself whether Darrell Steinberg (term limited in 2014) is more interested in a safe urban Sacramento seat (Matsui won't stay in office forever), or a diluted, mixed urban-suburban-rural seat.  California state legislators don't have that long in office, and they gerrymandered the Congressional districts last time with that in mind.
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