VA-Roanoke College: Cuccinelli (R) by 7, but more than 40% undecided (user search)
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  VA-Roanoke College: Cuccinelli (R) by 7, but more than 40% undecided (search mode)
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Author Topic: VA-Roanoke College: Cuccinelli (R) by 7, but more than 40% undecided  (Read 1784 times)
pbrower2a
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« on: February 05, 2013, 03:44:35 PM »

Don't be surprised if this looks like the WA Gov race as it is every cycle.  The GOP leads and then in Q4, starting in late Sept, the wave of democratic support comes home and that's that.
What makes you think that will occur?

Don't be surprised if this looks like the VA Gov race as it was in 2009. The GOP leads and then in Q4, starting in late Sept, the wave republican support comes home and that's that.

The last Democratic nominee for Governor was a very weak candidate.
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pbrower2a
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Posts: 26,849
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« Reply #1 on: March 04, 2013, 11:53:16 AM »

This is the same firm that had Romney winning Virginia by 5 last fall.
http://roanoke.edu/News_and_Events/Campus_News/RC_Poll_October_31_2012.htm

When you make the 9 point adjustment you get McAuliffe by 2 which lines up with most polls.

If one must make a 9% adjustment one has an unreliable pollster.
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