Longest Partisan Streak, Counties
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Author Topic: Longest Partisan Streak, Counties  (Read 3856 times)
minionofmidas
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« on: November 24, 2004, 11:23:25 AM »

Counties that have voted Republican in every election since at least 1960, pt 1:
Carroll, NH
Wayne, Lebanon, Snyder, Union, PA
Fulton, Allen, Hancock, Union, Delaware, OH
Newton, Jasper, Steuben, Kosciusko, Fulton, Hamilton, Boone, Hendricks, Morgan, Johnson, Rush, Wayne, Union, IN
Boone, McHenry, Kane, DuPage, Kendall, Carroll, Ogle, Lee, Stark, Woodford, Livingston, Ford, Iroquois, Edwards, Washington, IL
Ottawa, Missaukee, Sanilac, MI
Walworth, Waupaca, WI
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #1 on: November 24, 2004, 11:25:54 AM »

pt 2
Otter Tail, Carver, MN
Lyon, Sioux, O'Brien, Cass, Page, IA
Putnam, Moniteau, Cole, Gasconade, Miller, Camden, Cedar, Dade, Stone, Christian, Taney, Douglas, Ozark, MO
McIntosh, Logan, Kidder, Sheridan, Mercer, Grant, Golden Valley, ND
Turner, Hutchinson, Douglas, Hughes, Sully, McPherson, Campbell, Haakon, Perkins, Harding, Butte, Lawrence, Fall River, SD
55 counties of NE
39 counties of KS, plus one where Bush and Perot tied in 92
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #2 on: November 24, 2004, 11:30:05 AM »

Garrett, MD
Augusta, Carroll, Chesterfield, Floyd, Greene, Hanover, Henrico, Highland, King William, Lancaster, Madison, Mathews, Middlesex, Northumberland, Orange, Page, Richmond, Roanoke, Shenandoah, Wythe; Colonial Heights, Harrisonburg, Hopewell, Staunton, VA [Manassas and Poquoson, both created between 72 and 76, have voted Rep at every election since]
Morgan, Grant, Ritchie, WV
Henderson, Catawba, Cabarrus, Mitchell, Avery, Wilkes, Yadkin, Davie, Davidson, Randolph, NC
Greenville, Aiken, Lexington, SC
Lake, Seminole, Indian River, Martin, Highlands, Manatee, Sarasota, Lee, Collier, FL
Lewis, Grayson, Butler, Edmonson, Allen, Monroe, Cumberland, Clinton, Russell, Adair, Casey, Pulaski, McCreary, Rockcastle, Jackson, Laurel, Owsley, Clay, Leslie, KY
Henderson, Wayne, Scott, Bradley, Blount, Knox, Sevier, Jefferson, Cocke, Greene, Union, Granger, Hancock, Hawkins, Washington, Unicoi, Carter, Johnson, TN
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #3 on: November 24, 2004, 11:33:01 AM »

Sebastian, Benton, AR
Washignton, Tulsa, Kay, Texas, Beaver, Harper, Ellis, Woodward, Woods, Alfalfa, Major, Blaine, Kignfisher, Garfield, OK
Gregg, Smith, Kendall, Edwards, Midland, Ector, Lipscomb, Ochiltree, Hansford, Roberts, Hutchinson, Gray, Randall, TX
Powder River, Carter, Fallon, Prairie, Garfield, Stillwater, Sweet Grass, Meagher, Broadwater, Gallatin, Madison, Beaverhead, MT
Payette, Canyon, Ada, Owyhee, Gooding, Lincoln, Jerome, Minidoka, Twin Falls, Cassia, Oneida, Franklin, Bingham, Bonneville, Teton, Madison, Jefferson, Clark, Lemhi, ID
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #4 on: November 24, 2004, 11:35:15 AM »

Crook, Weston, Campbell, Niobrara, Converse, Johnson, Washakie, Sublette, WY
Washington, Elbert, Hinsdale, CO [Broomfield, created between 2000 and 2004, has voted Republican at every election since. Wink ]
Union, Harding, Lincoln, NM
Maricopa, Yavapai, AZ
Box Elder, Cache, Rich, Davis, Uintah, Millard, Sanpete, Sevier, Piute, Iron, Washington, Kane, Garfield, San Juan, UT
Lyon, Douglas, Churchill, NV
Lincoln, Adams, WA
Malheur, Josephine, OR
Sutter, Orange, CA
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #5 on: November 24, 2004, 11:36:51 AM »

Why was Broomfield created?
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #6 on: November 24, 2004, 11:41:41 AM »

Counties that voted Democrat at every election since 1960
Suffolk, Middlesex, Bristol, Hampshire, MA
Kings, New York, Bronx, NY
Philadelphia, PA
Wayne, MI
Milwaukee, Dane, Portage, Ashland, Douglas, WI [Menominee, created between 60 and 64, voted Dem ever since]
Lake, Saint Louis, Carlton, Itasca, Swift, Ramsey, MN
Dubuque, IA
Saint Louis city, MO
Rolette, ND
Shannon, SD
Baltimore city, MD
Charles City, VA
Logan, WV
Orange, Northampton, NC
Elliott, Floyd, Knott, Breathitt, KY
Jackson, TN
Macon, AL [in 1960, the AL Dem slate consisted of some pledged and some unpledged electors. In 1964, it consisted entirely of unpledged electors. As Democrats had no alternative to vote for, not counting these slates as Democratic strikes me as extremely pointless and indeed as pure Republican spin. I'm just mentioning it for completeness' sake]
Zapata, Starr, Jim Hogg, Brooks, Duval, Webb, Maverick, TX
Deer Lodge, Silver Bow, MT
Costilla, CO
Rio Arriba, San Miguel, NM
Grays Harbor, Pacific, WA
Clatsop, Columbia, OR
Yolo, San Francisco, Alameda, CA
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #7 on: November 24, 2004, 11:43:14 AM »

That city was split up between four counties before (about 50% each in Boulder and Adams, with tiny corners in Jefferson and I think Weld) Now they've made it its own county instead. It's not shown on Dave's map, btw.
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #8 on: November 24, 2004, 11:48:56 AM »

Longest partisan streaks to be broken this election
Pt. 1, Dem streaks.
All the following counties voted Republican for the first time since 1972 at this election. (Though not all the counties carried by Bush were won by Nixon in  72, every county carried by Bush has been carried by a Republican at some point since 1972.)
Cambria, Greene, Lawrence, PA
Iron, MI
Mississippi, MO
Caroline, Russell; Norton, VA
Lincoln, Wyoming, WV
Tyrrell, Bladen, NC
McIntosh, Peach, Wilkinson, GA
Harlan, Letcher, Perry, Muhlenberg, Ballard, KY
Eight counties in TN
Jackson, Colbert, Lawrence, AL
Hot Spring, AR
West Baton Rouge, LA
Haskell, Hughes, OK
Morris, Newton, Robertson, Frio, TX
Huerfano, CO
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #9 on: November 24, 2004, 11:53:28 AM »

Of the 60-odd counties carried by Kerry but not by Gore, all but a handful had been won by Bill Clinton at least once. That handful, though, had been Republican for quite a while...
Marion, IN - last carried by a Democrat in 1964
San Juan, CO - last carried by a Democrat in 1964. Fairfax Co, VA - last carried by a Democrat in 1964
Fairfax city, VA - last carried by a Democrat in 1964
(Carried by Ross Perot in 1992, btw.)
Alpine, CA - carried by Republicans at every election since 1960
Mono, CA - carried by Republicans at every election since 1960
Albemarle, VA - carried by Republicans at every election since 1960
Danville city, VA - carried by Republicans at every election since 1960
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #10 on: November 24, 2004, 11:55:01 AM »

That city was split up between four counties before (about 50% each in Boulder and Adams, with tiny corners in Jefferson and I think Weld) Now they've made it its own county instead. It's not shown on Dave's map, btw.

It's on the 2004 map I think:

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minionofmidas
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« Reply #11 on: November 24, 2004, 12:04:21 PM »

He must have updated...it wasn't a week ago.
I see Weld was correct.
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jimrtex
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« Reply #12 on: November 25, 2004, 05:54:59 AM »

The City of Broomfield was in 4 counties; and more particularly in the corner of the 4 counties.  It was felt that this was confusing to residents, who likely don't know which services are provided by counties and which by the city, and if by the county by which county.

The solution was to create a consolidated City and County of Broomfield.  This is not unprecedented in Colorado.  The City and County of Denver were consolidated in 1902.

Somewhat odd was that it was created by an amendment to the Colorado Constitution, and was voted on at a statewide referendum in November 1998, so technically was imposed by the voters of the State without those in Broomfield having a say so.  In addition the provision was not made general, so it only applies to this one instance.

Ballot Analysis - City and County of Broomfield
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #13 on: November 25, 2004, 10:03:04 AM »

The City of Broomfield was in 4 counties; and more particularly in the corner of the 4 counties.  It was felt that this was confusing to residents, who likely don't know which services are provided by counties and which by the city, and if by the county by which county.

The solution was to create a consolidated City and County of Broomfield.  This is not unprecedented in Colorado.  The City and County of Denver were consolidated in 1902.

Somewhat odd was that it was created by an amendment to the Colorado Constitution, and was voted on at a statewide referendum in November 1998, so technically was imposed by the voters of the State without those in Broomfield having a say so. 
Technically, that is? Did Broomfield residents vote in favor? If not, that would be pretty crazy indeed, a county created against the stated preferences of its inhabitants.
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Nym90
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« Reply #14 on: November 25, 2004, 11:12:10 AM »

Of the 60-odd counties carried by Kerry but not by Gore, all but a handful had been won by Bill Clinton at least once. That handful, though, had been Republican for quite a while...
Marion, IN - last carried by a Democrat in 1964
San Juan, CO - last carried by a Democrat in 1964. Fairfax Co, VA - last carried by a Democrat in 1964
Fairfax city, VA - last carried by a Democrat in 1964
(Carried by Ross Perot in 1992, btw.)
Alpine, CA - carried by Republicans at every election since 1960
Mono, CA - carried by Republicans at every election since 1960
Albemarle, VA - carried by Republicans at every election since 1960
Danville city, VA - carried by Republicans at every election since 1960

Mono last voted Democratic in 1940, Alpine in 1936.

Albermarle County and Danville City both last voted Dem in 1948.
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danwxman
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« Reply #15 on: November 25, 2004, 11:44:33 AM »

Counties that have voted Republican in every election since at least 1960, pt 1:
Carroll, NH
Wayne, Lebanon, Snyder, Union, PA
Fulton, Allen, Hancock, Union, Delaware, OH
Newton, Jasper, Steuben, Kosciusko, Fulton, Hamilton, Boone, Hendricks, Morgan, Johnson, Rush, Wayne, Union, IN
Boone, McHenry, Kane, DuPage, Kendall, Carroll, Ogle, Lee, Stark, Woodford, Livingston, Ford, Iroquois, Edwards, Washington, IL
Ottawa, Missaukee, Sanilac, MI
Walworth, Waupaca, WI


Lebanon county PA is extremely conservative....Lancaster county (one of Bush's biggest counties in the country) is right nextdoor. Intrestingly Lancaster county, maybe for the first time ever, has actually trended slightly more Democrat this year. Suburban growth from Philly is starting to have an effect. Within 10 years, Lancaster's huge Republican vote count may be neutralized by a large Democratic vote.
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jimrtex
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« Reply #16 on: November 26, 2004, 06:17:34 AM »

Somewhat odd was that it was created by an amendment to the Colorado Constitution, and was voted on at a statewide referendum in November 1998, so technically was imposed by the voters of the State without those in Broomfield having a say so. 
Technically, that is? Did Broomfield residents vote in favor? If not, that would be pretty crazy indeed, a county created against the stated preferences of its inhabitants.
I thought that it had been approved through the initiative process, with citizens/officials of Broomfield promoting it.  But the Blue Book said that when the city had come up with the idea, that they had considered using the initiative.  But the measure was actually referred to the voters of the state by the legislature. 

This might have simply been proactive, so that provisions could be added that would protect the interests of the surrounding counties.  When a city annexes an area, the area remains part of its county.  When a city and county annexes an area, it is removed from its previous county.  In the case of the city and county of Denver, this caused a lot of conflict (in the case of Denver, its school district was also extended).  The Broomfield measure provides a way for the surrounding counties to be involved if Broomfield wants to annex some more areas.

I looked for some county vote totals, but all I could find was the statewide total (roughly 700,000 to 400,000).  If Broomfield was actively against the idea, I doubt that the legislature would have proposed the measure, or that the voters would have approved it.
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #17 on: November 26, 2004, 08:22:54 AM »

Yeah, I noticed Denver County got larger over the course of the last forty years.
I think the main extension was the airport, though.
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #18 on: November 26, 2004, 08:24:59 AM »

San Juan, CO - last carried by a Democrat in 1964.
Fairfax Co, VA - last carried by a Democrat in 1964
Fairfax city, VA - last carried by a Democrat in 1964
(Carried by Ross Perot in 1992, btw.)
Mixup here...Of course San Juan County was carried by Ross Perot, not Fairfax city.
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #19 on: November 26, 2004, 08:39:47 AM »
« Edited: November 26, 2004, 09:27:16 AM by Lewis Trondheim »

Lancaster county (one of Bush's biggest counties in the country) is right nextdoor. Intrestingly Lancaster county, maybe for the first time ever, has actually trended slightly more Democrat this year. Suburban growth from Philly is starting to have an effect. Within 10 years, Lancaster's huge Republican vote count may be neutralized by a large Democratic vote.
"For the first time ever"? Now that'd be highly unlikely, right? (It would have to have been heavily Dem at the time it was formed, even though the Democrat party - nor, indeed, the US of A, didn't exist yet, then moved ever-so-slowly further right at every election for two hundred years) For the first time in 12 years is more like it.

Lancaster County Results
1988 R 70.8 D 28.4 lead of 42.4
1992 R 55.2 D 27.6 lead of 27.6
1996 R 59.8 D 31.6 lead of 28.2
2000 R 66.1 D 31.3 lead of 34.8
2004 R 65.9 D 33.5 lead of 31.4

Pennsylvania Results
1988 R 50.7 D 48.4 40.1 less Rep than Lancaster
1992 D 45.2 R 36.1 36.7 less Rep than Lancaster
1996 D 49.2 R 40.0 37.4 less Rep than Lancaster
2000 D 50.6 R 46.4 39.0 less Rep than Lancaster
2004 D 50.9 R 48.6 33.7 less Rep than Lancaster

National Results
1988 R 53.4 D 45.7 34.7 less Rep than Lancaster
1992 D 43.0 R 37.5 33.1 less Rep than Lancaster
1996 D 49.2 R 40.7 36.7 less Rep than Lancaster
2000 D 48.4 R 47.9 35.3 less Rep than Lancaster
2004 R 50.9 D 48.1 28.6 less Rep than Lancaster

In absolute terms, Lancaster Co last trended Dem in 1992.
When compared with Pa. State results, last trended Dem in 1992.
When compared with National PV results, Lancaster already trended Dem in 2000.
Smiley
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #20 on: November 26, 2004, 09:30:24 AM »

All the following counties voted Republican for the first time since 1972 at this election. (Though not all the counties carried by Bush were won by Nixon in  72, every county carried by Bush has been carried by a Republican at some point since 1972.)
Counties carried by George McGovern, but not by John Kerry:
Delta, MI
Rusk, WI
Red Lake, Traverse, Grant, Stevens, Pope, Stearns, Morrison, Kandiyohi, Lincoln, Nobles, MN
Carroll, IA
Monroe, MO
Marshall, Brown, Edmunds, Deuel, Mood, Miner, Sanborn, Hanson, Davison, McCook, Aurora, Brule, Charles Mix, Union, Bonhomme, SD
Carroll, Morgan, KY
Lewis, TN
West Feliciana, LA
Cottle, TX
Greenlee, AZ
Coos, OR
Sierra, Plumas, Shasta, CA
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12th Doctor
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« Reply #21 on: November 26, 2004, 12:14:03 PM »

If it weren't for '64, I bet that most counties in my area would go Republican back to 1936, at least.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #22 on: November 26, 2004, 12:42:55 PM »

If it weren't for '64, I bet that most counties in my area would go Republican back to 1936, at least.

You're from Jefferson County IIRC... the only time since 1892 at least that it's voted for the Democratic candidate was LBJ in '64
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jimrtex
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« Reply #23 on: November 27, 2004, 11:23:36 AM »

Yeah, I noticed Denver County got larger over the course of the last forty years.
I think the main extension was the airport, though.
Denver was originally the county seat of Arapahoe County, which included what is now Arapahoe and Adams counties extending eastward to the Kansas line.  The City and County of Denver was originally conceived as a metropolitan government when it was created in 1902.  The small towns and farming areas to the north and south became Adams and Arapahoe counties, which were chopped off at their current eastern borders.

Annexation in Colorado has to be approved by the residents/land owners of the areas being annexed.  Voters in residential areas would normally vote annexation down.  But Denver has a water supply from the Western Slope, and could offer water to developers in exchange for annexation.  This led to the annexation of the areas in the southwest and southeast corners which are rather convoluted (at one time Denver was fairly square-shaped).  Because annexation by Denver would also take areas out of surrounding counties and school districts, there was eventually a reaction, so that now the voters of the affected county must approved any annexation.

Somewhat ironically, the annexation of the new airport area came after the law was passed.  Denver insisted on having the airport in its territory (as the old airport was).  Eventually a deal was worked out so that Adams County would be able to control area next to the airport which could be used for industrial and commercial uses associated with the airport, and the voters of Adams County approved the annexation.
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