KY Sen: Grimes vs. McConnell: Who wins?

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I'd say Grimes, but we have to remember that The Media has been in the tank for McConnell the whole time.

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KY, like OK, has a large number of fake Dems, about 20%, who don't vote Democratic 99% of the time. Maybe they think it's fine for a Democrat to be Governor from time to time but nothing beyond that apparently. They tease Democrats in the polls but Grimes ceiling is 48-49%, and I don't even think that's happening. McConnell will get 50% or more.

By now, I think these "fake Dems" have given up pretending to be Democrats.

How do we account for Democratic Gov. Steve Beshar winning by double-digits in 2011? Democrats still have a slight advantage in Kentucky, but considering the presence of Republicans elected statewide there, it seems plausible that there are people still identifying as Democrats, yet voting for the other major party.

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How do we account for Democratic Gov. Steve Beshar winning by double-digits in 2011?

It is overall a Democratic state, unless you're talking about presidential elections. This is also true of West Virginia and Montana.

All these states have one thing in common: coal.

Still, for Kentucky to have two Republican senators, it seems that some Democrats there don't necessarily vote party-line. Considering that both Montana and West Virginia could both have a Republican senator after this midterm, it seems that there might be Democrats there as well who are willing to split the ticket.

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Still, for Kentucky to have two Republican senators, it seems that some Democrats there don't necessarily vote party-line. Considering that both Montana and West Virginia could both have a Republican senator after this midterm, it seems that there might be Democrats there as well who are willing to split the ticket.

Mitch McConnell and Rand Paul really didn't win by that much last time they ran.

To be fair, McConnell last won in 2008, not exactly a banner year for Republicans, so we shouldn't really read into his five point victory. Furthermore, it could be argued that McConnell is a relatively weak candidate to begin with. Rand Paul, on the other hand, won by 11 points, and earned 55.8% of the vote in 2010, more than Democrat Gov. Beshar's 53.3% of the vote in the 2011 gubernatorial election. I wouldn't call Rand Paul's win a small one considering the political structure of Kentucky.

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To be fair, McConnell last won in 2008, not exactly a banner year for Republicans, so we shouldn't really read into his five point victory.

But it was against Bruce Lunsford, who was about the weakest candidate the Democrats could possibly dredge up (unless they wanted to run Singapore Ken or someone).

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That was when the Tea Party was throwing their little fit.

Frankly, that's the Democratic party's fault for not fielding a stronger Senate candidate in 2008.

Just because Rand Paul won in a Republican year doesn't mean that it is impossible for him to win at any other time. If Paul runs for reelection in 2016 (when I highly doubt that the Tea Party will dominate), I'd venture to say that he would still win.