VA-GOV 2017: Utter Panic and Doom (General election: Nov 7th) (user search)
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  VA-GOV 2017: Utter Panic and Doom (General election: Nov 7th) (search mode)
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Author Topic: VA-GOV 2017: Utter Panic and Doom (General election: Nov 7th)  (Read 164477 times)
DrScholl
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*****
Posts: 18,231
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -3.30

« on: October 17, 2017, 12:13:12 PM »

Northam will win and Trump/Gillespie will go on a screed about how the blacks in Richmond/Hampton Road cheated. End of story.
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DrScholl
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*****
Posts: 18,231
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -3.30

« Reply #1 on: October 17, 2017, 01:56:32 PM »

Also preparing my "Don't Blame Me, I Supported Perriello" signature.

No one cares.
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DrScholl
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*****
Posts: 18,231
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -3.30

« Reply #2 on: October 17, 2017, 02:13:40 PM »

Also preparing my "Don't Blame Me, I Supported Perriello" signature.

No one cares.

You cared enough to reply. Sorry you keep supporting boring losers over the smart choice.

Every race cannot be turned into a proxy war over the last Democratic presidential primary.
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DrScholl
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*****
Posts: 18,231
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -3.30

« Reply #3 on: October 30, 2017, 09:58:12 PM »

Gillespie has run a series of clearly racist ads, but when a Super PAC calls out the racism it's an "error" and "sad". What is sad is the double standard.
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DrScholl
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*****
Posts: 18,231
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -3.30

« Reply #4 on: October 31, 2017, 01:11:39 PM »

No one seems to remember that a white supremacist ran over someone with a car and killed them earlier this year. Gillespie running ads supporting the confederate monuments does nothing to discourage that people who created violence in Charlottesville and he has clearly tried to get those sort of people on his side.

Northam is up anywhere from 6% to 17% (no, I'm not calling Quinnipiac a fake poll like Trump would), so of course Gillespie would be desperate enough to try and get just anyone on his side.
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DrScholl
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*****
Posts: 18,231
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -3.30

« Reply #5 on: November 01, 2017, 02:09:21 PM »

Gillespie is not in a good position if he is running an ad like this with less than a week to go.
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DrScholl
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*****
Posts: 18,231
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -3.30

« Reply #6 on: November 01, 2017, 10:42:26 PM »

I'm ready for this race to be over so Gillespie can go back to the depths of the sewer where most GOP operatives live when they have nothing better to do. Both Democrats and Republicans are trying to make Governor Gillespie happen, when it really is not going to happen.
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DrScholl
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*****
Posts: 18,231
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -3.30

« Reply #7 on: November 02, 2017, 12:31:49 PM »

Gillespie sent himself to depths of political hell with that enemy territory comment. He's stupid enough to think that all he needs to win is Southwest Virginia, but that's far from being accurate.
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DrScholl
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*****
Posts: 18,231
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -3.30

« Reply #8 on: November 02, 2017, 12:49:59 PM »

Last 5 Polls (non-junk):

Suffolk: N+4
WaPo: N+5
BRD: N+6
Polling Company: G+2
Christopher Newport Univ. : N+7

Average: N +4.0 (Down from N+ 4.6 before Suffolk Poll)




Polling averages don’t work unless you include the good-faith outliers.

If anything, Kellyanne Conway's poll should not be in any average, especially not in place of a non-partisan pollster.
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DrScholl
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*****
Posts: 18,231
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -3.30

« Reply #9 on: November 02, 2017, 12:56:00 PM »

Last 5 Polls (non-junk):

Suffolk: N+4
WaPo: N+5
BRD: N+6
Polling Company: G+2
Christopher Newport Univ. : N+7

Average: N +4.0 (Down from N+ 4.6 before Suffolk Poll)




Polling averages don’t work unless you include the good-faith outliers.

If anything, Kellyanne Conway's poll should not be in any average, especially not in place of a non-partisan pollster.

Skipping over the Kellyanne Conway poll puts the Fox News poll in the average, so either way you get somebody that is not non-partisan.

Fox News is not an internal pollster like the Polling Company. After all the lies Conway has told, it seems wise not trust her company's polling.
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DrScholl
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*****
Posts: 18,231
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -3.30

« Reply #10 on: November 03, 2017, 02:36:21 PM »
« Edited: November 03, 2017, 02:38:12 PM by Invisible Obama »

The only polls that have Gillespie leading are owned by one of Trump's "staffers" or a company no one has ever heard of. That should tell you everything you need to know about the race.
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DrScholl
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*****
Posts: 18,231
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -3.30

« Reply #11 on: November 03, 2017, 06:43:06 PM »

The best news is that Virginia can allocate electoral votes by Congressional district soon.

Northam wouldn't sign off on that, so no.
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