Obama will lose the election (user search)
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Author Topic: Obama will lose the election  (Read 23428 times)
AmericanNation
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,081


Political Matrix
E: 4.90, S: 1.91

« on: August 29, 2012, 08:52:58 PM »

This election is fools gold for Republicans. It looks within reach, but in the end the core fundamentals favor an Obama re-election, even if it's very narrow. It really is a mirror image to 2004.

What matters the most is the direction of the economy, and a very slow but persistent economic recovery will convince just enough voters to stay the course.

The CBO is saying the economy will be in recession at the start of 13' if (Obama is re-elected) we allow the tax bomb to go off.  How is he going to win advocating a recession?     
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AmericanNation
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,081


Political Matrix
E: 4.90, S: 1.91

« Reply #1 on: August 29, 2012, 09:18:43 PM »

This election is fools gold for Republicans. It looks within reach, but in the end the core fundamentals favor an Obama re-election, even if it's very narrow. It really is a mirror image to 2004.

What matters the most is the direction of the economy, and a very slow but persistent economic recovery will convince just enough voters to stay the course.

The CBO is saying the economy will be in recession at the start of 13' if (Obama is re-elected) we allow the tax bomb to go off.  How is he going to win advocating a recession?     
I agree for the most part, Obama is gonna have to convince ALOT of people to reelect him if we're ALMOST guaranteed for another recession.
That's id ALL spending cuts and tax increases happen. He's advocating keeping the tax cuts for the people making less than 250,000. That wont send us into recession.
actually it will, but even if you were right, that position is so arbitrary and baseless to begin with that it shows Obama will sacrifice the economy for some personal /political reason.  So how do you win proclaiming you're incompetent?
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AmericanNation
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,081


Political Matrix
E: 4.90, S: 1.91

« Reply #2 on: August 29, 2012, 11:31:03 PM »

The party isn't getting whiter. There are more important faces of color at this convention than ever before (ie not just tokens).

The country is getting less white though so the party that has always been the racist party in the modern era will lose some ground.

And the economy is deteriorated. And why should Romney be ahead after all the reasons you listed suggesting why he shouldn't? 

  Would a "racist party" as you put it free the slaves?
He's defining the "modern era" as every year the GOP has won in the south.  It's a Logical Fallacy, but not a crazy one-- just wrong.   
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AmericanNation
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,081


Political Matrix
E: 4.90, S: 1.91

« Reply #3 on: November 05, 2012, 06:34:49 AM »

Yea, I really don't know that Obama(incumbent) leading Romney(challenger)  48-47 is actually leading.  Also, the turnout model could well be closer to 2010 than to 2008 and the polls have been closer to 08... we will see. 
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