Wisconsin Megathread

[NOVA Green]

Just got off work not too long ago, and don't have anything to contribute to the conversation at this point....

Just wanted to say that usually on Election Nights in America when I'm working, first thing I do is check the topline numbers when I get homes, and then go back in time on the appropriate Atlas Forum from the early turnout numbers, etc through pages and pages of posts to feel like I am there at that previous moment in time as the results are coming in.

Thank you all for your live detailed live coverage and analysis of this election, and obviously there is ton's of more detailed raw data yet to mine, especially potential implications for the 2018 General Election in the Great State of Wisconsin.....   

One question I have, and not sure if I missed it, do we have unofficial final turnout numbers by County yet?

[Dr. Arch]

Just got off work not too long ago, and don't have anything to contribute to the conversation at this point....

Just wanted to say that usually on Election Nights in America when I'm working, first thing I do is check the topline numbers when I get homes, and then go back in time on the appropriate Atlas Forum from the early turnout numbers, etc through pages and pages of posts to feel like I am there at that previous moment in time as the results are coming in.

Thank you all for your live detailed live coverage and analysis of this election, and obviously there is ton's of more detailed raw data yet to mine, especially potential implications for the 2018 General Election in the Great State of Wisconsin.....   

One question I have, and not sure if I missed it, do we have unofficial final turnout numbers by County yet?

To my knowledge, no, but estimates had Dane at around 47% turnout, Waukesha at about 30%, and MKE at about 35%.

[Pragmatic Conservative]

Just got off work not too long ago, and don't have anything to contribute to the conversation at this point....

Just wanted to say that usually on Election Nights in America when I'm working, first thing I do is check the topline numbers when I get homes, and then go back in time on the appropriate Atlas Forum from the early turnout numbers, etc through pages and pages of posts to feel like I am there at that previous moment in time as the results are coming in.

Thank you all for your live detailed live coverage and analysis of this election, and obviously there is ton's of more detailed raw data yet to mine, especially potential implications for the 2018 General Election in the Great State of Wisconsin.....   

One question I have, and not sure if I missed it, do we have unofficial final turnout numbers by County yet?

Yes https://www.wisconsinvote.org/election-results

[Matty]

Based on what we have seen for most of 2017 and 2018...how the hell did Ossof lose?

[Hindsight was 2020]

Based on what we have seen for most of 2017 and 2018...how the hell did Ossof lose?

The resistance was still making baby steps plus Russiagate/ACA vote failing/and an millions of Trump bs episodes didn't happen yet

[JerryArkansas]

Based on what we have seen for most of 2017 and 2018...how the hell did Ossof lose?

Cause a congressman got shot, and it was blamed on the resistance.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Based on what we have seen for most of 2017 and 2018...how the hell did Ossoff lose?

Kathy Griffin + Didn't live in the district + Strong R candidate + Democrats spent too much money

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Based on what we have seen for most of 2017 and 2018...how the hell did Ossoff lose?

Kathy Griffin + Didn't live in the district + Strong R candidate + Democrats spent too much money

GA-06 was going to be tough ground in the first place. Romney won this seat by 23 points.
The demographics of the seat are the single biggest factor to blame.

[Dr. Arch]

P.S. per Miles, Dallet outperformed Obama 2008 in Dane by 15 points.

[Landslide Lyndon]

Based on what we have seen for most of 2017 and 2018...how the hell did Ossoff lose?

Kathy Griffin + Didn't live in the district + Strong R candidate + Democrats spent too much money

LMAO!

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Based on what we have seen for most of 2017 and 2018...how the hell did Ossoff lose?

Kathy Griffin + Didn't live in the district + Strong R candidate + Democrats spent too much money

LMAO!

Uh, reminder that this was a literal GOP ad: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HAGv2LAfnng

[Landslide Lyndon]

Based on what we have seen for most of 2017 and 2018...how the hell did Ossoff lose?

Kathy Griffin + Didn't live in the district + Strong R candidate + Democrats spent too much money

LMAO!

Uh, reminder that this was a literal GOP ad: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HAGv2LAfnng

And?

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Based on what we have seen for most of 2017 and 2018...how the hell did Ossoff lose?

Kathy Griffin + Didn't live in the district + Strong R candidate + Democrats spent too much money

LMAO!

Uh, reminder that this was a literal GOP ad: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HAGv2LAfnng

And?

This really needs explaining? Her comments about Assassinating the President were seen as quite extreme by most people, they got her fired off all the network news gigs she had at the time (including her longtime role on CNN's new years event), and were re purposed by the GOP for the Ossoff race to great success.

[Landslide Lyndon]

This really needs explaining? Her comments about Assassinating the President were seen as quite extreme by most people, they got her fired off all the network news gigs she had at the time (including her longtime role on CNN's new years event), and were re purposed by the GOP for the Ossoff race to great success.

People swayed by an ad about a comedian saying stupid stuff weren't going to vote for Ossoff even if he ran against Roy Moore.
If Kathy Griffin was their excuse for voting Republican, bless their hearts.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

This really needs explaining? Her comments about Assassinating the President were seen as quite extreme by most people, they got her fired off all the network news gigs she had at the time (including her longtime role on CNN's new years event), and were re purposed by the GOP for the Ossoff race to great success.

People swayed by an ad about a comedian saying stupid stuff weren't going to vote for Ossoff even if he ran against Roy Moore.
If Kathy Griffin was their excuse for voting Republican, bless their hearts.

Even if they were never going to vote Ossoff, Kathy Griffin gave them a reason to turnout for a special election.

[Landslide Lyndon]

This really needs explaining? Her comments about Assassinating the President were seen as quite extreme by most people, they got her fired off all the network news gigs she had at the time (including her longtime role on CNN's new years event), and were re purposed by the GOP for the Ossoff race to great success.

People swayed by an ad about a comedian saying stupid stuff weren't going to vote for Ossoff even if he ran against Roy Moore.
If Kathy Griffin was their excuse for voting Republican, bless their hearts.

Even if they were never going to vote Ossoff, Kathy Griffin gave them a reason to turnout for a special election.

Nope, that was done by the insane nationalization of the race by the media.

[DemocraticKing]

Based on what we have seen for most of 2017 and 2018...how the hell did Ossoff lose?

Kathy Griffin + Didn't live in the district + Strong R candidate + Democrats spent too much money

LMAO!

Uh, reminder that this was a literal GOP ad: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HAGv2LAfnng

as was this crap: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sh7ZiddrkmI

[Brittain33]

Ossoff's race was too early for a big swing.

[Blair]

Ossoff was also an awful candidate

[Landslide Lyndon]

Ossoff was also an awful candidate

No he wasn't. He ran a pretty good campaign for a rookie.
Not all losers are awful candidates and it wasn't Ossoff's fault that a more experienced candidate didn't step up.

[mcmikk]

Ossoff was also an awful candidate

No he wasn't. He ran a pretty good campaign for a rookie.
Not all losers are awful candidates and it wasn't Ossoff's fault that a more experienced candidate didn't step up.

[Gass3268]

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

[Gass3268]

- It's pretty freaking nuts that WI-02 voted to the left of WI-04.
- Dallet would have won WI-01 if there was no Waukesha County in that district. Its inclusion is that much of an anchor for conservatives. Hopefully we get fair redistricting in 2021 and that gets removed.

[MasterJedi]

Dems theoretically have four pickup opportunities come fall, in all likelihood it's just 3, I don't think Ryan is going to lose.

Happy to see my hometown, Greendale, went for Dallet 2004-1945, usually is around 53-56% for the Republican so just good to see.