VA-GOV 2017: It's a Wave (GE: Nov 7th - Thread #2) (user search)
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  VA-GOV 2017: It's a Wave (GE: Nov 7th - Thread #2) (search mode)
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Author Topic: VA-GOV 2017: It's a Wave (GE: Nov 7th - Thread #2)  (Read 98486 times)
Terry the Fat Shark
Junior Chimp
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« on: November 05, 2017, 10:13:17 PM »

Is this whole Fhtagn thing a joke, or is she actually voting for Gillespie? I thought she was classier than that.
<is very rude to trans people on atlas
<accuses others of losing class
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Terry the Fat Shark
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 6,502
United States


P P
« Reply #1 on: November 07, 2017, 09:23:48 AM »

Present mood:

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Terry the Fat Shark
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 6,502
United States


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« Reply #2 on: November 07, 2017, 10:53:31 AM »



From Nate Cohn's twitter, the METER is back
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Terry the Fat Shark
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #3 on: November 07, 2017, 01:17:07 PM »

I wouldn't suggest other side focus too much on anecdotal turnout reports but that's just me I guess, both sides are hyping it up for a let down Tongue
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Terry the Fat Shark
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 6,502
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« Reply #4 on: November 07, 2017, 01:25:06 PM »

I wouldn't suggest other side focus too much on anecdotal turnout reports but that's just me I guess, both sides are hyping it up for a let down Tongue
It's not really anecdotal if they're coming from the county itself, and reporting for the entire county, not just individual precincts.
I'm talking about tweets like @notlarrysabato and such, he's making grand assumptions. Plus we don't know who is actually voting and by what margins so it's not a 100% solid thing to watch in all cases.
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Terry the Fat Shark
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #5 on: November 07, 2017, 01:34:36 PM »

BTW just saw on CNN they are starting wall to wall coverage at 6 PM Eastern
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Terry the Fat Shark
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 6,502
United States


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« Reply #6 on: November 07, 2017, 01:41:19 PM »

They had Wall to Wall coverage in 2013 too lol
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Terry the Fat Shark
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 6,502
United States


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« Reply #7 on: November 07, 2017, 01:52:50 PM »

Sorry correction on CNN, wall to wall coverage starts at 7 PM Eastern / 6 PM Central
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Terry the Fat Shark
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #8 on: November 07, 2017, 03:08:37 PM »

You sure? I am sure they are targeted to Trump voters who may not have voted for Gillespie otherwise.....
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Terry the Fat Shark
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #9 on: November 07, 2017, 03:09:14 PM »

Yep. Northam is going to win this. Turnout in democratic areas is going to be much higher than it was in 2013.
Seems like in most cases turnout is higher statewide so not sure about that either Tongue
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Terry the Fat Shark
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 6,502
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« Reply #10 on: November 07, 2017, 03:30:44 PM »

Good or bad for Gillespie?
I knows it’s ultra republican but is that high turnout?
Pretty good
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Terry the Fat Shark
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 6,502
United States


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« Reply #11 on: November 07, 2017, 03:46:33 PM »

More on Arlington...

Quote
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So at this time there have already been more votes casted in 2017 than 2013?

Yeah, Arlington has surpassed 2013 numbers already and it isn't even 4 yet. I have a sister up there, and they usually see a rush of voters after 5 pm.

So this is encouraging news for Democrats.

Wow, that is utterly devastating for Gillespie. There are only 3.5 hours left of voting.
You fail to notice that many GOP areas are also seeing an increase in turnout, chill out Tongue
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Terry the Fat Shark
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 6,502
United States


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« Reply #12 on: November 07, 2017, 03:53:21 PM »

Remember when high turnout was good news last year for Dems? For all we know, a bunch of "responsible" GOP voters in NoVA who sat out 2013 because of The Crazy Cooch are showing up this year.

You seriously think Gillespie has a chance in Virginia? What happened to your "It's gone" posts? Tongue

But yeah, I'm not reading too much into turnout reports either, honestly.

Oh, I firmly stand by it being gone in presidential elections, which was the original context of those very accurate claims.

This is a different story: I also have a recurring narrative about awful NoVA types and how they're custom-made to defect and elect somebody like Gillespie in situations like this.
Virginia will vote R in 2020 when Cuomo is nominated by the dems tho
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Terry the Fat Shark
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 6,502
United States


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« Reply #13 on: November 07, 2017, 03:56:03 PM »



The rain is almost entirely in NoVA, rest of the state mainly seeing drizzle or likewise
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Terry the Fat Shark
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 6,502
United States


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« Reply #14 on: November 07, 2017, 04:11:15 PM »

Yeah I don't think I'm going to rely on the guy on Twitter that went from wow Northam is going to win by the biggest margin since 1985 to he's relying on just absentees now over the course of a few hours.

Him also claiming to know the margin from the absentees seems like junk

Agree 100%. He went from somewhere like Northam +100K to Northam +65K to Northam +35K in three hours. He's laughable.
orrrr your jumping to conclusions is laughable Tongue
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Terry the Fat Shark
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 6,502
United States


P P
« Reply #15 on: November 07, 2017, 04:13:34 PM »

So based on this thread either Northam has locked this up because turnout is super duper high and we can all have a parade or turnout is super duper low and Gillespie has this locked up. Probably actually a close tossup race as was suspected from the start and turnout is up across the State Tongue
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Terry the Fat Shark
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 6,502
United States


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« Reply #16 on: November 07, 2017, 04:22:42 PM »

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Terry the Fat Shark
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 6,502
United States


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« Reply #17 on: November 07, 2017, 06:26:58 PM »

Ok I found something.

Lee County, VA election officials say 746 of the roughly 1,100 registered voters in the Jonesville Middle School precinct have voted so far

https://twitter.com/WCYB_Lucas/status/928028227364323329
omg, 68%??
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Terry the Fat Shark
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 6,502
United States


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« Reply #18 on: November 07, 2017, 06:34:02 PM »

So......I just saw Donald Trump's approval rating in VA is 43% on the CNN exit poll? That seems higher than everyone expected.....
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Terry the Fat Shark
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 6,502
United States


P P
« Reply #19 on: November 07, 2017, 06:54:25 PM »

CNN reports dems are encouraged by NoVA turnout but worried about high SW VA turnout
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Terry the Fat Shark
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,502
United States


P P
« Reply #20 on: November 07, 2017, 06:56:21 PM »

CNN reports dems are encouraged by NoVA turnout but worried about high SW VA turnout


No one has seen high SW VA turnout?
Looks like Dems do.
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Terry the Fat Shark
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 6,502
United States


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« Reply #21 on: November 07, 2017, 10:48:34 PM »

nah darlings, don't care that much about a State I don't live in, would care more if say a house or senate race flipped since those actually impact my life Tongue (or a major texas race)
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