The Bush cuts will be extended for everyone after the election, except that for the "rich" it will just be for two years. Obama will accept the Boehner deal - after the election. You can write that down.
Why would Obama accept an extension for two years? Wouldn't that mean having the same exact fight right before the presidential election?
Right. He will do it, because given the election result, and all, and because the GOP is holding everyone else hostage, it is a reasonable Faustian bargain, and the voters have made clear that they expect compromises. If he does not do it, and the economy continues to disappoint, then he will be blamed. On this one, I am pretty confident.