Remaining votes (Update: about 500K ballots left to count nationwide) (user search)
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  Remaining votes (Update: about 500K ballots left to count nationwide) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Remaining votes (Update: about 500K ballots left to count nationwide)  (Read 19417 times)
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darthebearnc
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,367
« on: November 25, 2016, 08:30:03 PM »

So if Clinton is expected to win by 1.79% and she's currently up by 1.56%, then that means she is expected to gain 0.23% over her current margin. That's actually the exact margin of Florida's Democratic trend, so if everything goes as expected, Florida will end up trending Republican.
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darthebearnc
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,367
« Reply #1 on: December 05, 2016, 04:04:11 PM »

New Mexico's trend is now exactly 0.00%, so it will probably end up going Republican once we're done.

The next state to trend to Trump (unlikely) would be NC, which currently has a trend of D+0.32%.
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darthebearnc
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,367
« Reply #2 on: December 05, 2016, 04:09:16 PM »

If NM ends up trending Republican and NC stays Democratic, then only sixteen states will have trended Democratic this year, which is the lowest number ever since Alaska and Hawaii became states.

That essentially means that the trend this year is historically urban (which is true).
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darthebearnc
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,367
« Reply #3 on: December 14, 2016, 04:45:39 PM »

Is there an official list of which states have certified their results? And does certifying the results mean that no more ballots can be added to the total under any circumstance?
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