Obama's percentage in DC?
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Pages: [1]
Poll
Question: Huh
#1
<60%		  
#2
>60%		  
#3
>70%		  
#4
>80%		  
#5
>90%		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 45

Author Topic: Obama's percentage in DC?  (Read 777 times)
Lief 🗽
Lief
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« on: February 08, 2008, 12:12:50 AM »
Considering that nearly 2/3 of the city is African-American, as well as the strong college presence in the city, the question is not so much if Obama will win, but by how much? Will he do better than Romney did in Utah? Will he beat his current record of just under 80% in Idaho?
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Verily
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« Reply #1 on: February 08, 2008, 12:13:36 AM »
I'm not willing to predict >90%, but >80% should be pretty achievable.
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Sensei
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« Reply #2 on: February 08, 2008, 12:14:15 AM »
I think >80 will probably happen.
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MarkWarner08
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« Reply #3 on: February 08, 2008, 12:27:25 AM »
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Meeker
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« Reply #4 on: February 08, 2008, 12:59:46 AM »
120%
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bgwah
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« Reply #5 on: February 08, 2008, 01:20:55 AM »
I voted >70%, though upper 60s to mid 80s is certainly possible.
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BRTD
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« Reply #6 on: February 08, 2008, 02:23:00 AM »
DC is split into two districts each containing half of the city's wards. Each has 5 delegates apeice, and the city at large is also worth 5 delegates. What are the odds he can deny her 15% and take all the delegates? Might stand a chance in at least one of the districts.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #7 on: February 08, 2008, 03:09:42 AM »
High 70s.
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BRTD
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« Reply #8 on: February 08, 2008, 03:19:17 AM »
« Edited: February 08, 2008, 03:21:37 AM by Minnesota for Obama (and Mitt) »
For something to really piss you off, Hillary has the stated support of 11 of DC's 23 superdelegates, as opposed to only 2 for Obama. As I've pointed out, not only do DC's superdelegates outnumber the ones elected at the caucus, the vast majority are not elected in any way. Hillary could easily win the delegate count from DC even if she loses the caucus with the type of numbers being predicted here. This is even possible if all of DC's elected officials endorse Obama, as one already has (mayor Adrian Fenty. I'd be surprised if Eleanor Holmes-Norton doesn't too.) Poor DC, it gets screwed out of fair representation even in this case.
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Josh/Devilman88
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« Reply #9 on: February 08, 2008, 08:53:43 AM »
70%-89%
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MODU
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« Reply #10 on: February 08, 2008, 08:55:04 AM »

I would lean towards >70%, but you never know with that darn (Bill) Clinton love-fest that goes on within that city.
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TheGlobalizer
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« Reply #11 on: February 08, 2008, 11:03:06 AM »
<60%.

The Clintons are pretty well-loved in DC.  Obama wins, tho.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #12 on: February 10, 2008, 12:51:32 AM »
Here's another question: will Clinton break the 15% viability threshold? If Obama gets much more than 82% or so, odds are no.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #13 on: February 10, 2008, 01:08:44 AM »
I think DC won´t top ID for Obama:

Obama: 72%
Clinton: 27%
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« Reply #14 on: February 10, 2008, 01:20:39 AM »

Is this the Clinton campaign expectations spin?
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Democratic Hawk
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« Reply #15 on: February 10, 2008, 02:51:17 PM »
Thumping; though I doubt very much that Clinton doesn't reach the 15% delegate viability threshold

Dave
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