FiveThirtyEight Governor Ratings

[JRP1994]

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/governors-forecasts-a-lot-of-close-races/

[New_Conservative]

80% chance of Charlie winning

[IceSpear]

If you give CT to Malloy (which will likely happen after PPP shows him ahead tomorrow) and count Bill Walker as a Dem, this would be a +3 net for Dems, making the governorships 26-24 GOP. Building!

[Recalcuate]

If you give CT to Malloy (which will likely happen after PPP shows him ahead tomorrow) and count Bill Walker as a Dem, this would be a +3 net for Dems, making the governorships 26-24 GOP. Building!

You do realize Walker was endorsed by Sarah Palin, right? He's hardly a Democrat. He's an independent without a need to caucus with anyone.

In your scenario, it would be D+2, R-3, I+1.

So many coin flips here that could go either way. The governors races will be probably more fun to watch than the Senate races on Tuesday.

[Miles]

Good, I was beginning to think 538 wasn't going to do Gov. forecasts. Overall, lines up well with the CW.

[IceSpear]

If you give CT to Malloy (which will likely happen after PPP shows him ahead tomorrow) and count Bill Walker as a Dem, this would be a +3 net for Dems, making the governorships 26-24 GOP. Building!

You do realize Walker was endorsed by Sarah Palin, right? He's hardly a Democrat. He's an independent without a need to caucus with anyone.

In your scenario, it would be D+2, R-3, I+1.

So many coin flips here that could go either way. The governors races will be probably more fun to watch than the Senate races on Tuesday.

There is no governor "caucus", so it's irrelevant. Walker's running mate is a Democrat and he signed onto several Democratic wish lists in order to get their support.

[Recalcuate]

If you give CT to Malloy (which will likely happen after PPP shows him ahead tomorrow) and count Bill Walker as a Dem, this would be a +3 net for Dems, making the governorships 26-24 GOP. Building!

You do realize Walker was endorsed by Sarah Palin, right? He's hardly a Democrat. He's an independent without a need to caucus with anyone.

In your scenario, it would be D+2, R-3, I+1.

So many coin flips here that could go either way. The governors races will be probably more fun to watch than the Senate races on Tuesday.

There is no governor "caucus", so it's irrelevant. Walker's running mate is a Democrat and he signed onto several Democratic wish lists in order to get their support.

Calling it D+3 is inaccurate. That's all I was pointing out. I am well aware there's no "caucus."

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

While I expect Haley to win easily, I don't expect her to rack up a 16 point MoV, especially now that Ervin has dropped from the race.

[Free Bird]

If you give CT to Malloy (which will likely happen after PPP shows him ahead tomorrow) and count Bill Walker as a Dem, this would be a +3 net for Dems, making the governorships 26-24 GOP. Building!

That seems presumptuous

[The Other Castro]

If you give CT to Malloy (which will likely happen after PPP shows him ahead tomorrow) and count Bill Walker as a Dem, this would be a +3 net for Dems, making the governorships 26-24 GOP. Building!

That seems presumptuous

They showed Malloy up 8 (6 without Visconti) when Quinnipiac showed it tied, so it's a relatively safe bet that Malloy will be up at least one, since Quinnipiac says its tied again.