Rasmussen Tracking Poll [Obama vs McCain]

[MODU]

the DNC is conducting a DOS attack on Rasmussen so that they can continue to pretend Sarah Palin is just a very bad dream.

Have you considered the possibility that the sample for today is so strongly McCain that they want some extra time to process it before releasing it?

Blasphemy! 

[Brittain33]

Friday - September 5, 2008:

General: Head-to-Head

Obama: 45% / 47%, including leaners (-2, -2)
McCain: 45% / 46%, including leaners (+2, +1)

Favorability

Obama: 56% favorable, 41% unfavorable (-1, unc)
McCain: 58% favorable, 40% unfavorable (+2, -3)

[MODU]

That's a bigger change than I had expected.

[Swing low, sweet chariot. Comin' for to carry me home.]

the DNC is conducting a DOS attack on Rasmussen so that they can continue to pretend Sarah Palin is just a very bad dream.

Have you considered the possibility that the sample for today is so strongly McCain that they want some extra time to process it before releasing it?

humor, it was humor

[Brittain33]

That's a bigger change than I had expected.

Just my guess. I'm eager to see if that's what the real Rasmussen numbers turn out to be.

[Aizen]

jesus christ this is bad

[MODU]

That's a bigger change than I had expected.

Just my guess. I'm eager to see if that's what the real Rasmussen numbers turn out to be.

HAHAHA . . . you got me.  

[Sam Spade]

lol  

[riceowl]

loL!

[Verily]

I got their site, but they have the new tracking up for premium members only. Lame.

To MODU: That would be a reasonable number. Remember, today is not only factoring in Palin's speech, it's also factoring out Labor Day. Of course, I doubt McCain's favorability changes much as a result of Palin's speech.

[Swing low, sweet chariot. Comin' for to carry me home.]

please delete the guess   its confusing

[J. J.]

I got their site, but they have the new tracking up for premium members only. Lame.

To MODU: That would be a reasonable number. Remember, today is not only factoring in Palin's speech, it's also factoring out Labor Day. Of course, I doubt McCain's favorability changes much as a result of Palin's speech.

I honestly think you'll see a bigger Labor Day effect in Gallup.  Rasmussen doesn't have a weekend Obama bounce, or a midweek McCain bounce.

[KeyKeeper]

RCP has  the numbers on their site, for Sept 2-4. It has Obama: 48 McCain: 46, but I don't know if that is with or without leaners.

[Verily]

RCP does it with leaners, so that's -2/+1. Not bad, honestly.

I got their site, but they have the new tracking up for premium members only. Lame.

To MODU: That would be a reasonable number. Remember, today is not only factoring in Palin's speech, it's also factoring out Labor Day. Of course, I doubt McCain's favorability changes much as a result of Palin's speech.

I honestly think you'll see a bigger Labor Day effect in Gallup.  Rasmussen doesn't have a weekend Obama bounce, or a midweek McCain bounce.

I guess this was just kind of arbitrary:

Tuesday - September 02, 2008:

General: Head-to-Head

Obama: 48% / 51%, including leaners (+1, +2)
McCain: 43% / 45%, including leaners (-1, -1)

[Sam Spade]

That's with leaners.  If accurate, that means yesterday's sample was somewhere around a push.

[KeyKeeper]

That's with leaners.  If accurate, that means yesterday's sample was somewhere around a push.

What is a push when you are talking about polling?

[KeyKeeper]

It is now up.

[Brittain33]

McCain: 45% / 46%, including leaners (+2, +1)

Hey, I called it!

[Verily]

That's with leaners.  If accurate, that means yesterday's sample was somewhere around a push.

What is a push when you are talking about polling?

He means it was a tie.

[Sam Spade]

That's with leaners.  If accurate, that means yesterday's sample was somewhere around a push.

What is a push when you are talking about polling?

Push = tie

[??????????]

Friday - September 04, 2008:

General: Head-to-Head

Obama: 46% / 48%, including leaners
McCain: 45% / 46%, including leaners

Very good news for McCain.

[J. J.]

Obama: (nc, -2)
McCain: (+2, +1)

Right?

[Wiz in Wis]

Considering that this is both the labor day sample rolling out and Palin's speech rolling in, I'm actually not too displeased.

As JJ says, we'll know what really happened on Monday

[KeyKeeper]

Friday - September 5, 2008:

General: Head-to-Head

Obama: 46% / 48%, including leaners (-1, -2)
McCain: 45% / 46%, including leaners (+2, +1)

Favorability

Obama: 57% favorable, 42% unfavorable (nc, +1)
McCain: 57% favorable, 41% unfavorable (+1, -2)

[KeyKeeper]

Obama: (nc, -2)
McCain: (+2, +1)

Right?

No, look above.