Will Trump nominating Barbara Lagoa to SCOTUS help him with hispanics/Cubans in Florida?

[Woody]

?

[Hope For A New Era]

Depends on how Hispanic she is perceived as (she looks very white) and how much the media talks about it.

[wbrocks67]

Maybe with R-skewing Cubans, but if she doesn't align with most left-leaning Latinos then no.

[Senator Incitatus]

Depends on how Hispanic she is perceived as (she looks very white) and how much the media talks about it.

Hispanics who vote, particularly in Florida, are probably majority white.

[Ferguson97]

No, anyone paying this much attention to the Supreme Court battle is a partisan

[BlueSwan]

Well, if Barbara Lagoa is NOT the nominee, Trump is making a huge mistake. It really looks like a no-brainer. Floridian. Cuban. Not known to be a conservative firebrand, so wouldn't make liberals too fired up (beyond what they already are). Seems like a reasonable pick if you are a conservative and want somebody who is not likely to cause too many problems politically.

Would she make a difference? I don't know. I don't think she would do any harm to Trump. The result could be anything from nothing - as with seemingly everything else this cycle - to a sizable boost for Trump and the GOP's senate chances.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

No, due to fact, FL is a retiree state and retirees have died from Covid 19, also FL believes in clean energy like CALI does, advantage Biden. Rubio helped Trump win more Latinos in the state than he should of won in 2016, not AA whom voted for Hillary. as well as having Johnson on the ballot

[Non Swing Voter]

It could help a bit, particularly with Cubans in Miami.  The fact that he'd make a choice based on this shows that he truly is worried about losing Florida, despite all his talk.  He must have bad internal polling and/or be genuinely concerned about Bloomberg's investments there. 

The question is, what's Bloomberg's next move if he does this?  He's put a stake in the ground in Florida, that's basically his project.  Bloomberg doesn't seem like that type of guy who like being defeated.  Does he invest another $200 million in Florida? 

[Bootes Void]

It will be Tom Cotton.

I know Trump is not honest but he did say it would be a woman

[Tekken_Guy]

It could help a bit, particularly with Cubans in Miami.  The fact that he'd make a choice based on this shows that he truly is worried about losing Florida, despite all his talk.  He must have bad internal polling and/or be genuinely concerned about Bloomberg's investments there. 

The question is, what's Bloomberg's next move if he does this?  He's put a stake in the ground in Florida, that's basically his project.  Bloomberg doesn't seem like that type of guy who like being defeated.  Does he invest another $200 million in Florida? 

The problem for Trump is that he could anger his evangelical supporters who want Barrett on the court. Lagoa could be seen as a betrayal.

[Real Texan Politics]

It will be Tom Cotton.

Last I checked Tom Cotton isn't a woman so no.

And I think he should stay in the senate.

[Non Swing Voter]

It could help a bit, particularly with Cubans in Miami.  The fact that he'd make a choice based on this shows that he truly is worried about losing Florida, despite all his talk.  He must have bad internal polling and/or be genuinely concerned about Bloomberg's investments there. 

The question is, what's Bloomberg's next move if he does this?  He's put a stake in the ground in Florida, that's basically his project.  Bloomberg doesn't seem like that type of guy who like being defeated.  Does he invest another $200 million in Florida? 

The problem for Trump is that he could anger his evangelical supporters who want Barrett on the court. Lagoa could be seen as a betrayal.

I get that.  But honestly, his evangelical supporters have gotten more than enough.  Having the prospect of a 6-3 far right court is off-putting to the voters who will matter.  Even taking this out of the context of the unfairness re holding up Garland and now doing this, people generally prefer balance.  Appeasing a base that's already getting more than their fair share while further alienating moderates is probably a bad move.  Lagoa still seems like a strategically better move.  That said, if they do ram someone through Democrats are almost certainly going to pack the courts the next time they have full power.

[Skill and Chance]

Probably yes.

[lfromnj]

It could help a bit, particularly with Cubans in Miami.  The fact that he'd make a choice based on this shows that he truly is worried about losing Florida, despite all his talk.  He must have bad internal polling and/or be genuinely concerned about Bloomberg's investments there. 

The question is, what's Bloomberg's next move if he does this?  He's put a stake in the ground in Florida, that's basically his project.  Bloomberg doesn't seem like that type of guy who like being defeated.  Does he invest another $200 million in Florida? 

The problem for Trump is that he could anger his evangelical supporters who want Barrett on the court. Lagoa could be seen as a betrayal.

I get that.  But honestly, his evangelical supporters have gotten more than enough.  Having the prospect of a 6-3 far right court is off-putting to the voters who will matter.  Even taking this out of the context of the unfairness re holding up Garland and now doing this, people generally prefer balance.  Appeasing a base that's already getting more than their fair share while further alienating moderates is probably a bad move.  Lagoa still seems like a strategically better move.  That said, if they do ram someone through Democrats are almost certainly going to pack the courts the next time they have full power.

His Evangelicals didn't get the win on the Transgender and the Abortion case earlier this year. The abortion case really pissed them off.

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

Unless there's some reason I'm not aware of to think Lagoa would be less likely to rule against Roe than Barrett, I can't see why the Fundies would be upset about her based on her approach to the law. Maybe the fact that Lagoa is slightly older, but not policy.