FL-SEN 2022: Nothing to see here

[UWS]

UWS,
Biden lost Florida not because of the Hispanics. He lost it because African-Americans in South Florida did not turn out in the Numbers Democrats expected.

Demings doesn't create a huge amount of enthusiasm among AA in FL.

They needed someone like Obama or Gillum again!

She would be the first black female senator from FL, and first black senator from FL, correct? So I don't believe that

This analysis is so superficial

how is it superficial? what i'm saying is just like Obama getting record black turnout in 2008. when voters see a candidate in themselves, who has never done it before, they are usually more often to feel excited about that candidate. Demings would be a history making candidate in FL, so why wouldn't she excite at least a chunk of black voters?

Black voters are more optimistic among people who aren’t career politicians. Obama and Gillum were freshmen political figures and weren’t career politicians, that is unlike Demings. That’s why Hillary and Biden didn’t create such enthusiasm.

[UWS]

LOL after the Trump clown show for 4 years I think "career politician" is a badge of honor for many voters, black voters included.

Tell that to 9-term congressman Dan Lipinski.

[UWS]

I think Rubio is easily a substantial favorite but it's nice to see the narrative shift back towards sanity after the whole "Rubio is on track to literally win Miami-Dade" thing we've been suffering through recently

I don't think Rubio is going to win Miami-Dade County. At best, he will make it as close as Trump did last year, and as he himself did in 2010 and 2016 (so an ~5-8% loss). I also expect Demings to win Seminole and Duval Counties, and to have a fighting shot at Hillsborough and Pinellas Counties. She's not going to lose by double digits, and I think it's more likely that she keeps the margin of defeat respectable for next year.

Demings is favored to win Hillsborough- the GOP is trying to have a reset there(although that might not work) and candidate quality is still important but the county leans Democratic overall. Pinellas could swing either way, I don't think saying a fighting chance is accurate for Demings. However, none of this will push Demings to the top unless she can run up the score in South Florida and in the blue areas of Central Florida and North Florida and narrow losing margins in the red exurbs of Central Florida, Southwest Florida, and North Florida. Everywhere matters in Florida.

I certainly don't think Demings is going to win, but it's not a stretch to say that her performance could very well be a respectable one. I agree with you that she will probably carry Hillsborough County, and I understand what you're saying about Pinellas County, although I said she had a "fighting chance" because that county is usually very tight between the two parties, unless if there's a blowout.

In the end Demings will be an overhyped Candidate just like Mary Burke was against Scott Walker in 2014 and Democrats even thought she could beat Walker. These Democrats live in a different universe. Rubio will win by a bigger margin compared to 2016 when beat Patrick Murphy by nearly 7 Points. He just needs to define Demings as an Socialist. That's all he has to do and Demings will be done for.

I'd trust the black police chief far more to not be a socialist, as opposed to some Cuban.

Demings has already showed how socialist she is has repeatedly proven to be out of step with Florida as she voted 94 % of the time with the Squad and 100 % of the time with Nancy Pelosi, supported the Green New Deal and the THRIVE Agenda even though gas prices are at the highest rate since 2014. And even in the aftermath of Hurricane Irma, she voted against Tax Relief for the victims of Hurricane Irma.

And Cuban Americans are the key to victory in a statewide race in Florida. But Demings refused to weigh in on the comments or join her colleagues in a resolution condemning Bernie Sanders’ praise of Castro. The moreover that Demings is endorsed by Luis Gutierrez, a champion of open borders, former member of the Puerto Rican Socialist Party who defended Oscar Lopez Rivera, the leader of the Puerto Rican terrorist group FALN, which was responsible for deadly bombings in New York City in the 70s and 80s. Meanwhile, Rubio introduced an amendment to provide free Internet to Cubans on the island and it passed the Senate.

https://www.nrsc.org/press-releases/senate-hopeful-val-demings-refuses-to-call-out-socialism-2021-07-13/

https://www.congress.gov/bill/116th-congress/house-resolution/868?q=%7B%22search%22%3A%5B%22diaz-balart%22%5D%7D&r=1&s=2

https://www.nrsc.org/press-releases/open-borders-champion-and-former-socialist-party-member-endorses-val-demings-2021-06-29/

https://www.breitbart.com/midterm-election/2021/06/28/amnesty-champion-luis-gutierrez-backs-florida-democrat-senate-candidate-val-demings/

The moreover that she recently voted against against amendments that would prohibit the legalization of illegal immigrants who are members of a criminal gang, have been convicted of a firearms offense, have beem convicted for a sexual offense.

https://republicans-judiciary.house.gov/wp-content/uploads/2021/09/2-DUIs.pdf

And just two months ago, Demings once again sided against the police by calling for closure of key ICE Detention Center, the Glades County Detention Center in Moore Haven, Florida, even though America is facing a critical and serious border crisis. Recently she voted against an amendment that would prevent federal grant money from going to local governments that defunded their police force. That's why she is a puppet of the Defund the Police movement and can't be trusted.

https://republicans-judiciary.house.gov/wp-content/uploads/2021/09/Defund-the-Police.pdf

https://townhall.com/tipsheet/madelineleesman/2021/07/29/val-demmings-ice-detention-center-n2593295?fbclid=IwAR3PqglmQh8o2v7AyQTngZJ0_DnCAqMxbrQLXl9O1m9nJnx0-lCRj7Z-Sec

It's a troubling pattern. Listing all the police equipment that Demings tried her best to dismantle sounds like an auctioneer selling off law enforcement.

The Minneapolis Department that Demings called to dismantle helped restore and maintain order in the context of threat from the Communist League of America during the 1934 Minneapolis general strike.

ICE that Demings refused to support helped undermine MS-13’s drug trafficking activities.

The law enforcement drones that Demings opposed helped to survey disaster sites and identify areas and people that need help, including during Hurricane Irma and helped deliver life jackets and rescue ropes; and also helped the Daytona Beach police used thermal images to discover a hot spot in a hotel fire.

https://www.forbes.com/sites/stephenrice1/2019/10/07/10-ways-that-police-use-drones-to-protect-and-serve/?sh=699495265806

The controlled aircraft, including the Sky Knight Helicopter, that Demings opposed, rescued two boys who had been swept away during the 1991 San Gabriel Flood Control Channel Incident.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sky_Knight_Helicopter_Program#The_1991_San_Gabriel_Flood_Control_Channel_Incident

The law enforcement vehicles that Demings opposed helped the FBI to stop a 2013 hostage standoff in Mobile, Alabama and helped them to rescue a 5-year-old child who was held hostage for a week.

https://web.archive.org/web/20131030144751/http://www.fbi.gov/news/news_blog/photos-of-alabama-bunker-exterior-released/

The MRAPs, that Demings opposed, helped the U.S. Department of Homeland Security Rapid Response Teams to assist people affected by Hurricane Isaac; and were crucial for the Department of Homeland Security to fighting illegal narcotics smuggling.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/MRAP#U.S._law_enforcement_usage

https://military.wikia.org/wiki/MRAP#Law_enforcement

Against, against, against. And now Demings wants to be Senator from Florida and partner of law enforcement? Police and law enforcement equipped with what? Spitballs?

[UWS]

https://www.politico.com/news/2022/08/17/florida-police-incident-demings-00052526

Wow, the Florida police is investigating the incident in which Demings' security detail pushed a tracker on the ground and in which she defended their actions even after that event.

[UWS]

https://www.politico.com/news/2022/08/17/florida-police-incident-demings-00052526

Wow, the Florida police is investigating the incident in which Demings' security detail pushed a tracker on the ground and in which she defended their actions even after that event.

Did Demmings do it?  No?  Then no one cares, politically speaking.

My point specifically is that she didn't have the guts to call that out or to fire that person.

In addition, Demings is a tax and spend socialist out of step with the needs of everyday Floridians. In 2017, she voted against the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act and she voted against permanently extending the 2017 tax cuts. She voted against the Protecting Family and Small Business Tax Cuts Act of 2018 that provides permanent tax cuts to individuals and small-business tax cuts. And two weeks ago, even when the majority of Americans agree that we are in a Bidencession (as the GDP shrinks for 2 quarters in a row at 0.9% pace), Demings voted for that tax and spend bill that will do nothing to reduce the inflation and so she voted to drive up health care cost for 220 million Americans (which will hurt notably the seniors in Florida that are key to victory in Florida), to add $300 million in Green New Deal funding, to increase the size of the IRS through the adiction of 87,000 IRS agents (making it larger than the Pentagon, State Department, FBI and Border Control combined) and to increase taxes on Americans making less than $400,000 a year. It isn't surprising that Val Demings has 0 experience in economics.

But on the other hand, Rubio is the only candidate in this race who has chaired the Committee on Small Business and Entrepreneurship. He created the Paycheck Protection Program, which supported more than six million Florida jobs and saved nearly half a million Florida small businesses when the pandemic hit. And he successfully fought to double the child tax credit for working families and put more money in the pockets of Floridians. Those policies along with the tax-cut, free enterprise and small government policies adopted by DeSantis resulted that 2 million jobs have been created in Florida since April 2020, that Florida's unemployment rate is now at 2.7 % (the lowest rate since February 2020) and that Florida has a $20 billion budget surplus.

[UWS]

As this advertisement indicates, in the context of the Border Crisis at the US-Mexico border which saw a record-high two million illegal immigrants that have crossed the border in the past year, 100,000 Americans died of drug overdoses (surpassing all previous records), Demings has referred to the Border Crisis as a “seasonal thing”.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JGLRTe5XHJg

https://www.webmd.com/mental-health/addiction/news/20220512/drug-overdose-deaths-top-100000-for-first-time

A Border Crisis that sees over two million illegal immigrants crossing the border last year, saw 203,598 migrant encounters at the border in August, saw an increase of the migrant encounters by 400,000 from FY 2021 to FY 2022, 12 arrests on the FBI’s Terror Watchlist at the southern border that brought the total for FY 2022 to 78 people (a triple of the previous five years combined) and caused 100,000 overdose deaths isn’t a seasonal thing. It’s a very serious and deadly crisis that requires securing the border for the sake of America’s security.

That is another example of Demings’ incredibly weak record on immigration that is also displayed by her call for open borders and her vote against reporting illegal immigrants to ICE while her colleague Stephanie Murphy voted yes. She refused to condemn the calls from the radical left to abolish ICE. She called to for closure of key ICE Detention Center, the Glades County Detention Center in Moore Haven, Florida

https://clerk.house.gov/Votes/201998

https://www.numbersusa.org/news/house-approves-pro-ice-resolution

https://townhall.com/tipsheet/madelineleesman/2021/07/29/val-demmings-ice-detention-center-n2593295?fbclid=IwAR3PqglmQh8o2v7AyQTngZJ0_DnCAqMxbrQLXl9O1m9nJnx0-lCRj7Z-Sec

In 2018, she voted against a bill providing funding for infrastructure, law enforcement, and border security, including funds for a border wall along the southern border and voted against a bill that would have provided nearly $1.6 billion in funding for the U.S. Department of Homeland Security, specifically, U.S. Customs and Border Protection. In 2019, Demings called President Trump’s southern border wall "an absurd waste of money and a violation of our values as a nation of immigrants," and she voted "yes" to terminate his declaration of an emergency at the border, which freed up billions in funding for the wall.

https://clerk.house.gov/Votes/2018297

https://clerk.house.gov/Votes/2017435

While Ron DeSantis signed laws to eliminate sanctuary cities, Demings supports Sanctuary Cities. In fact, Demings voted against a bill that would make it easier to deport illegal immigrants who are suspected of gang activity and also against a bill that would restrict taxpayer grant money to sanctuary cities.

https://justfacts.votesmart.org/bill/23224/60153/137637/no-sanctuary-for-criminals-act#60153

Demings advocated for ending Title 42 and wants to allow terrorists just like Isnardo Garcia-Amado arrested in May into our society.

https://www.foxnews.com/politics/rep-val-demings-title-42-covid-numbers-down

https://www.foxnews.com/us/border-patrol-released-suspected-terrorist-ice-rearrest-weeks