Atlas Google Consumer Survey polls megathread (user search)
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GeorgiaModerate
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« on: October 19, 2016, 09:29:34 AM »

A little over 20% in.  What I said before appears to have been a false alarm.  The results now are looking interesting and telling, but not nearly as stunning.

Give us a hint. Smiley  Maybe like PPP sometimes does and suggest a D happiness level (or an R happiness level if you prefer).
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GeorgiaModerate
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Atlas Superstar
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Posts: 32,870


« Reply #1 on: October 22, 2016, 07:44:44 PM »

Alaska results:
10/19 to 10/22
435 total respondents
If the election for President of the United States were today, who would you vote for?
Randomized choices were Donald Trump, Hillary Clinton, Gary Johnson, and Jill Stein. No option for not registered.
I weighted for LV only:
Trump 42
Clinton 37
Johnson 15
Stein 6

Seems pretty reasonable except the third-party numbers are too high.

I don't think the third-party numbers are high for Alaska; the state has a long history of third parties doing much better than the national average.  Also, the current governor was elected as an Independent.  Here's a (partial?) list since 1968:

1968: George Wallace got 12.1% in Alaska, a little less than the 13.5% he got nationally but quite high for a non-Southern state (and Alaska is about as non-Southern as you can get!)
1972: John Schmitz of the American Party got 7.2; nationally he got 1.5.
1976: Roger Macbride (Libertarian) got 5.5, nationally 0.2
1980: John Anderson 7.0 (6.6 nationally); Ed Clark (LP) 11.7 (1.1)
1984: David Bergland (LP) 3.1 (0.2)
1988: Ron Paul (LP) 2.7 (0.5)
1992: Ross Perot (Reform) 28.4 (18.9)
1996: Perot 10.9 (8.4), Ralph Nader (Green) 3.1 (0.7)
2000: Nader 10.1 (2.7) Pat Buchanan (Reform) 1.8 (0.4)
2004: Nader 1.6 (0.4)
2008: Nader 1.2 (0.6)
2012: Gary Johnson (LP) 2.5 (1.0)
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