Republican Bayou/Cauci Saturday election results thread (first results @3pm ET?)

[yankeesfan]

Reports on twitter are saying that Cruz beat Trump in Portland and Kennebec, as well.

[yankeesfan]

The twitter reports are indicating such a thorough upset that they're getting hard to believe.

[yankeesfan]

Cruz up 104 in Kansas.  Up 15%

https://www.washingtonpost.com/2016-election-results/kansas/

[yankeesfan]

I love how informal results for Maine are popping up when the state doesn't end polling until 7 PM.

Different counties have different caucus times.  These are for the caucuses that have concluded already.

[yankeesfan]

More Kansas votes in (still only a tiny amount counted)

Cruz 45.0
Trump 28.5

[yankeesfan]

Cruz 1244 52.6%
Trump 499 21.1%

[yankeesfan]

12% in now, Cruz back above 50%
Cruz 50.3%
Trump 24.5%

[yankeesfan]

CNN said on air that Cruz won in Lewiston, Maine (Androscoggin County)

[yankeesfan]

CNN said on air that Cruz won in Lewiston, Maine (Androscoggin County)

Did they give number

No.  But I think they said they were counting something like 2000 ballots.

[yankeesfan]

Looks like Louisiana may be the interesting race tonight.

[yankeesfan]

Jeez, Predictit has Cruz higher than Trump in Kentucky.  Seems like an overreaction.

[yankeesfan]

CNN has Cruz winning in informal Louisville, KY exit poll

[yankeesfan]

Nate Silver 4:38 PM

Assuming that Cruz goes on to win Kansas, where he leads by 23
percentage points with 18 percent of precincts reporting, then
Republicans in Middle America will be on the verge of forming an
anti-Trump wall. Minnesota (which went for Rubio), Iowa, Kansas,
Oklahoma and Texas would all have voted against Trump. If either
Missouri or Nebraska eventually does also, then a line of states
stretching from the Canadian to the Mexican border will have rejected
Trump for another candidate.

[yankeesfan]

Predictions

Who wins each state tonight?

KY - Cruz
ME - Cruz
KS - Cruz
LA - Trump

We might be witnessing the long-awaited collapse of the Trump campaign.  Thank heavens!

Polls had Kentucky as being more favorable for Trump than Louisiana.....

[yankeesfan]

Warren County exit poll BREAKING: Warren County caucus exit polling, polls closed: Cruz 35%, Trump 25%, Rubio 20%, and Kasich 19%, other 1%.#kycaucus

— Michael Gossum (@fmgossum)March 5, 2016

930 voters in the exit poll (county went 64% for Romney in 2012)

[yankeesfan]

HUUUGE result for Cruz in Wichita.  Being counted now.

[yankeesfan]

For a while, I thought that Cruz might be the anti-Trump candidate. I think he has even bigger electability problems than Trump, but whatever floats your boat, Republicans.

I really think that this election is galvanizing conservatives.  Cruz's base-focused strategy likely wouldn't have worked in normal election years, but GOP turnout is so high this cycle that it may actually end up working in the general election.

[yankeesfan]

CNN: Cruz internal polling had Kansas as neck-and-neck as late as yesterday.

Holy cow

[yankeesfan]

Cruz up to 54% in Kansas

[yankeesfan]

Maine GOP is releasing results

[yankeesfan]

Cruz wins Maine

[yankeesfan]

Cruz with 46%
Trump 32
Kasich 12
Rubio 8 hahaha

[yankeesfan]

Maine is right below Canada. Of course Lyin' Teddy Canuck wins.

Interference?

More like Lion Ted

[yankeesfan]

The Trump trolls disappeared for about 6 hours in this thread and now they're back.

[yankeesfan]

Cruz is really gained ground in Louisana. Almost at 30% already.  I know it's already called, but it really shows the swing to Cruz from Rubio supporters.