CNN/WMUR-NH-BERNIE 60%, HILLARY 33%

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

Poll average from 2012.

The race got extremely tight after the first debate, you dolt.  Want to mention how they predicted Obama's margin precisely in the end?

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

Poll average from 2012.

The race got extremely tight after the first debate, you dolt.  Want to mention how they predicted Obama's margin precisely in the end?

The race moves from tied to Obama being up by five in one day.  The pollster is bad.  Sanders is up, but 27 points, no.

No, of course not.  But you don't throw a +27 margin in the trash, which is what your original post seemed to do.  Your second had it right.

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

Poll average from 2012.

The race got extremely tight after the first debate, you dolt.  Want to mention how they predicted Obama's margin precisely in the end?

The race moves from tied to Obama being up by five in one day.  The pollster is bad.  Sanders is up, but 27 points, no.

No, of course not.  But you don't throw a +27 margin in the trash, which is what your original post seemed to do.  Your second had it right.

I mean like others have said, if this came from someone else, I would have had less of a just toss it completely out.  But they have a track record of producing headline "polls".  They have wild swings. 

Yes they do, but shades of gray.  Obama's largest margins in 2008 from these guys over Hillary?  15.  Largest over Romney in 2012?  15.  This nearly doubles that.  That's indicative of a race that is not close.

I used to say Hillary would sweep if she won Iowa.  Not anymore.  Sanders is likely to win NH regardless and push the contest past SC. 

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

Dean was leading Kerry by about this margin at about this time in 2003/04. Obama was leading by 10% the night before. We'll see what happens.

Dean was leading everywhere, though, and the party panicked.  Kerry was in the single digits in Iowa if I recall.  Very unprecedented, and tragic what the party did to Dean so they could nominate that boring, old suit.  Once Kerry won Iowa, it was pretty easy for NH to just go with a known guy.

EDIT: And how can I forget the media's coverage of CRAZY DEAN'S SCREAM!  The early to mid 2000s might have been the all-time peak of cable news directing public opinion.    

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

Bernie Sanders will win New Hampshire, Vermont,  D.C., Oregon. Period.