CNN/WMUR-NH-BERNIE 60%, HILLARY 33%
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  CNN/WMUR-NH-BERNIE 60%, HILLARY 33%
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Author Topic: CNN/WMUR-NH-BERNIE 60%, HILLARY 33%  (Read 4734 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #50 on: January 20, 2016, 01:29:05 AM »

Sanders will of course obliterate Hillary in NH (and most likely in IA too) and send this filthy relic back to the 1990s where she belongs and into retirement from politics ... but this looks still a bit too good for Bernie.
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RFayette 🇻🇦
RFayette
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« Reply #51 on: January 20, 2016, 02:27:14 AM »

I'm fairly surprised that King would be the one to post this poll on here rather than one of the Sanders-supporters.  Tongue

At this point, Bernie definitely is the favorite to win NH, but IA is still a shaky proposition for him.  Nonetheless, if this poll is accurate, my hunch is that it would indicate a swing sufficient enough for him to carry IA as well.
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ProgressiveCanadian
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« Reply #52 on: January 20, 2016, 04:06:25 AM »

So this poll is pretty much looking like this when broken down regionally.

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Zanas
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« Reply #53 on: January 20, 2016, 06:00:44 AM »

In this poll :
Sanders is between 55.3 and 64.7
Clinton is between 28.4 and 37.6

The current HuffPo average, including this poll, gives Bernie 54.5 and Clinton 38.1.

So this poll is not actually that much outside the range of possibilities. It could indicate either a gain for Sanders, probably not really that much of a gain, or it is an outlier.

If you imagine a reality where Sanders has gotten to a 56-37 lead in NH, this poll would cover this reality in its MoE.

And I still think that the more Sanders will appear as a viable option, the more men, and incidentally women, will break up for him as a "statu quo" male dominant option.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #54 on: January 20, 2016, 06:35:52 AM »

Didn't we see the same thing with Clinton surge in Iowa, had it 60 as well. Sanders is up by six points.
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cxs018
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« Reply #55 on: January 20, 2016, 10:37:07 AM »

In this poll :
Sanders is between 55.3 and 64.7
Clinton is between 28.4 and 37.6

The current HuffPo average, including this poll, gives Bernie 54.5 and Clinton 38.1.

So this poll is not actually that much outside the range of possibilities. It could indicate either a gain for Sanders, probably not really that much of a gain, or it is an outlier.

If you imagine a reality where Sanders has gotten to a 56-37 lead in NH, this poll would cover this reality in its MoE.

And I still think that the more Sanders will appear as a viable option, the more men, and incidentally women, will break up for him as a "statu quo" male dominant option.

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The Other Castro
Castro2020
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« Reply #56 on: January 20, 2016, 05:17:20 PM »

James Pindell from the Boston Globe suggests that a new WBUR poll is about to confirm this...
https://twitter.com/JamesPindell/status/689862722557755392
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #57 on: January 20, 2016, 06:43:31 PM »

James Pindell from the Boston Globe suggests that a new WBUR poll is about to confirm this...
https://twitter.com/JamesPindell/status/689862722557755392

Bernie for Emperor of New England!
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #58 on: January 21, 2016, 02:04:18 AM »

Hopefully Bernie doesn't peak too early in NH, so his supporters think it's already over and stay home.

He better slaughter Hillary on election day and not in the polls ...
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #59 on: January 21, 2016, 02:47:47 AM »

I doubt he will slaughter het after coming in second in Iowa. He already peaked, and the Gravis poll showed it to be very close.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #60 on: January 21, 2016, 02:49:37 AM »

I doubt he will slaughter het after coming in second in Iowa. He already peaked, and the Gravis poll showed it to be very close.

Anything is possible in Iowa and Gravis is a joke poll (they once showed Bernie down by 20% in NH).
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ProgressiveCanadian
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« Reply #61 on: January 21, 2016, 02:51:34 AM »

I doubt he will slaughter het after coming in second in Iowa. He already peaked, and the Gravis poll showed it to be very close.

Anything is possible in Iowa and Gravis is a joke poll (they once showed Bernie down by 20% in NH).
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #62 on: January 21, 2016, 02:53:03 AM »

I will laugh if O'Malley somehow surges and wins New Hampshire in a surprise win
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cxs018
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« Reply #63 on: January 21, 2016, 07:02:26 AM »

I will laugh if O'Malley somehow surges and wins New Hampshire in a surprise win

I remember some Sandernista predicting that O'Malley would get second place in IA.
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