New Latino Voice: Trump at all time low of 11%

[HillOfANight]

http://latinousa.org/2016/09/07/trump11poll/
They have Florida/Miami numbers at the link attached, don't want to clutter the post.

Nationally
Clinton 75
Trump 11
Other 14



By Age

[KingSweden]

Who thinks that 65 plus number is probably heavy on Cubans?

[OneJ]

Who thinks that 65 plus number is probably heavy on Cubans?

That could be proof on why that FL poll was so close today.

[Southern Delegate matthew27]

How can Trump possibly lead in states like Florida between this and the educated being so against him?

The latest polls don't make any sense.

[ProudModerate2]

It seems like the trend is down for trump, and somewhat stagnant for Hillary.
It's the "Other" category that is gaining slightly.
Interesting.

[dspNY]

Trump at under 20% in Miami Dade among Hispanics means that Clinton still leads in FL even though PPP is calling it a dead heat

[ProudModerate2]

Who thinks that 65 plus number is probably heavy on Cubans?

That could be proof on why that FL poll was so close today.

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[Gass3268]

In Florida, it will be Whites vs. Non-Whites on election day. Sad.

Outside of the Gold Coast as well, where Clinton should do just as well with Whites.

[CapoteMonster]

Who thinks that 65 plus number is probably heavy on Cubans?

Clinton's probably winning among Cubans overall If Trump's losing that badly among hispanics in Miami.

[Xing]

Nevada's a toss-up, though, amirite guyz? Trump might be doing a bit better than this among Cubans in particular, but I do have a hard time seeing him win Florida, if these numbers hold.

[DrScholl]

If he gets only 11% of the Hispanic vote, there is no way he can win the election.

[Erich Maria Remarque]

Trump at under 20% in Miami Dade among Hispanics means that Clinton still leads in FL even though PPP is calling it a dead heat

YES!!!111

[Dr. Arch]

Yet, somehow, this race is a tie. Please.

[Erich Maria Remarque]

According to Latino Decions, 19-30 Augusti

http://www.latinodecisions.com/files/4014/7282/4681/AV_Wave_2_Natl_Deck_Sept_2016.pdf

Clinton 70%
Trump  19%

[Erich Maria Remarque]

Yet, somehow, this race is a tie. Please.

I rather believe this weekly tracker than all other skewed polls!!111

[BaldEagle1991]

In Florida, it will be Whites vs. Non-Whites on election day. Sad.

That's the way it is throughout the South

[Wisconsin+17]

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It means that Texas is officially. 'in play'.

[Nym90]

Keep in mind that Latinos are proportionately much more numerous in non-swing states than in swing states, so Clinton might be running up the score with them in California and New York which does her no good. It increases the likelihood that she could win the popular vote but lose in the Electoral College.

However, this number makes it very unlikely Trump can win Florida or Nevada, and it's very hard to see a path to 270 Electoral Votes for him without either state.

[Absolution9]

Its interesting but these Latino advocacy group polls consistently have him lower than the national/state level polling.  He is usually between 20-30% in national/state polls and averages 10 points less in polls like this.

[MT Treasurer]

Here are the Latino Decision swing state numbers:

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https://twitter.com/geoffreyvs/status/774280648773304325

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https://twitter.com/geoffreyvs/status/774283700813066240

[afleitch]

Ouch. Those figures are quite devastating.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Its interesting but these Latino advocacy group polls consistently have him lower than the national/state level polling.  He is usually between 20-30% in national/state polls and averages 10 points less in polls like this.

Very possibly because the Latino groups poll in both English and Spanish, thereby reaching more recent arrivals to the US, while most of the major pollsters don't poll in Spanish.

[Rules for me, but not for thee]

Its interesting but these Latino advocacy group polls consistently have him lower than the national/state level polling.  He is usually between 20-30% in national/state polls and averages 10 points less in polls like this.

Very possibly because the Latino groups poll in both English and Spanish, thereby reaching more recent arrivals to the US, while most of the major pollsters don't poll in Spanish.

Can the Spanish-only speaking hispanics vote in this election? i.e. are they legals? I could poll Canadians and they could be 90% Hillary but does that matter?

[GeorgiaModerate]

Its interesting but these Latino advocacy group polls consistently have him lower than the national/state level polling.  He is usually between 20-30% in national/state polls and averages 10 points less in polls like this.

Very possibly because the Latino groups poll in both English and Spanish, thereby reaching more recent arrivals to the US, while most of the major pollsters don't poll in Spanish.

Can the Spanish-only speaking hispanics vote in this election? i.e. are they legals? I could poll Canadians and they could be 90% Hillary but does that matter?

The polls are of registered voters.  Here's a link with all the gory details: http://www.latinodecisions.com/blog/2016/09/09/the-trump-effect-in-the-swing-states-new-state-polling-from-americans-voice-and-latino-decisions/