MT-AL: Rob Quist (D) vs. Greg Gianforte (R) vs. Mark Wicks (L), May 25

[Hammy]

If Gianforte wins it, it will be big surprise, the guy just assaulted a reporter , I don't care if it's Montana or Alabama or somewhere even more red if it's possible, if he pulls it off that would show how much people just dispise the other side.

The problem is people do despise the other side that much.

[SUSAN CRUSHBONE]

How do the absentee/mail ballots usually get counted in MT? Should we expect a big dump of all the absentees at the very beginning, and then a long wait while precinct results gradually filter in? If so, does it vary much by county?

They've contracted the counting of absentee ballots out to British Columbia. So, two weeks. (Just kidding)

those two places share a significant border… i'd say to be worried about mega-coattails if both elections weren't so close

[Beet]

https://twitter.com/alexis_levinson/status/867849890919055360?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.redditmedia.com%2Fmediaembed%2Fliveupdate%2Fyznzjfyy2rm2%2FLiveUpdate_56348d5c-41a2-11e7-9e24-0ec220880c66%2F0

You must be logged in to read this quote.

Translation: A Republican can bodyslam me and i'll still vote for him because of the R next to his name!!

Bozeman is an incredibly Democratic city already. Convincing one of the few Republicans there to change their minds would be harder to find than elsewhere in the state. Now, outer Gallatin County on the otherhand would presumably have more of those voters, if they were even to exist (and I'm doubtful they do.)

She's a liberal reporter from the big city, obvious quits supporter trying to get the yokels to admit they were oh so dumb to support PF, now ready to kowtow to her professional superiority. Tomorrow she will get on her plane back east, move ahead three hours, and go back to working with the deep state to undermine trump. PF should have punched her too.

[heatcharger]

https://twitter.com/alexis_levinson/status/867849890919055360?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.redditmedia.com%2Fmediaembed%2Fliveupdate%2Fyznzjfyy2rm2%2FLiveUpdate_56348d5c-41a2-11e7-9e24-0ec220880c66%2F0

You must be logged in to read this quote.

Translation: A Republican can bodyslam me and i'll still vote for him because of the R next to his name!!

Bozeman is an incredibly Democratic city already. Convincing one of the few Republicans there to change their minds would be harder to find than elsewhere in the state. Now, outer Gallatin County on the otherhand would presumably have more of those voters, if they were even to exist (and I'm doubtful they do.)

She's a liberal reporter from the big city, obvious quits supporter trying to get the yokels to admit they were oh so dumb to support PF, now ready to kowtow to her professional superiority. Tomorrow she will get on her plane back east, move ahead three hours, and go back to working with the deep state to undermine trump. PF should have punched her too.

Lol, Levinson worked for National Review.

[Nyvin]

Is there any data of how much early vote in Missoula is in?

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

https://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/montana-house-special-election

NYT map is up.

You must be logged in to read this quote.

[The_Doctor]

Why does Montana take so long to count?

[Andy Hine]

I just realized that Greg Gianforte graduated from Upper Merion High School in King of Prussia, PA. I used to live in that area.

[MT Treasurer]

Turnout in Ravalli County is much higher than expected, both in the precincts where the Congressional race is the only thing on the ballot and the ones where two school ballot issues are decided as well. There were signs of this in the absentee data.

http://www.nbcmontana.com/news/keci/ravalli-co-polls-busier-than-expected/517225276

[GlobeSoc]

https://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/montana-house-special-election

NYT map is up.

You must be logged in to read this quote.

what is these garbage i waunt county by county maps, this 'map' is just poor imitition precinct maps are for feminine morons that hare Amertica and support comminisn

[Virginiá]

The evidence is Hillary's 20 point loss in the state, and Bullocks narrow win as an incumbent, plus the non Google consumer survey polls.

That is exactly my point - you're relying on the results of one election. There are plenty of instances where a party has gotten wiped out in one election, only to bounce back in the next (give or take).

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

I just realized the NYT map is a precinct map, not county map.

[Mr. Smith]

1.5 hours left...pity I'll be at work all the way until 2 AM local (that's 1 AM for me)

[The Other Castro]

2016 results for Clinton/Trump and Gianforte/Bullock by county and precinct.

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1KOoM0pSyER-F-yDhSw6FdxS30RlFpWeviIbaa5IrVJc/edit#gid=722392603

[TexasDude40]

Is that county Democrat or GOP?

[GlobeSoc]

Yay! NYT did county maps!

[MT Treasurer]

So apparently Steve Bullock will be attending Quist's election night party in Missoula tonight. Gianforte campaign isn't answering any questions today, so not sure whether there will be any special guests in Bozeman.

Also, turnout in Missoula seems to be good, so I don't think Democrats need to worry about this.

[The Other Castro]

So apparently Steve Bullock will be attending Quist's election night party in Missoula tonight. Gianforte campaign isn't answering any questions today, so not sure whether there will be any special guests in Bozeman.

Also, turnout in Missoula seems to be good, so I don't think Democrats need to worry about this.

Corin Cates-Carney‏ @clccarney  30m30 minutes ago
We're about 2 hrs away from polls closing in #mtal and no confirmation if Gianforte will show up to his own election watch party.

[MT Treasurer]

Yay! NYT did county maps!

Wait, is there a precinct map anywhere? That would be amazing.

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

So, could I be wrong about predicting a Gianforte +3 win?

[PresidentSamTilden]

Man, if I was in Montana, I definitely would have campaigned for Quist. A former basketball player turned musician, who's big on inequality and climate change...there's a lot of upside there for me, lol. I hope he pulls it off.

[Skunk]

So, could I be wrong about predicting a Gianforte +3 win?

Anywhere from Gianforte +5 to Quist +3 seems about right.

[ApatheticAustrian]

https://twitter.com/SimonMaloy/status/867769153985359872

[Sorenroy]

You must be logged in to read this quote.

Why 10:25 and not 10:00?

[GlobeSoc]

Yay! NYT did county maps!

Wait, is there a precinct map anywhere? That would be amazing.

You must be logged in to read this quote.

Seriously tho, I think that the precinct map showing was an accident.