Official West Virginia Democratic Primary Discussion Thread... (user search)
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  Official West Virginia Democratic Primary Discussion Thread... (search mode)
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Author Topic: Official West Virginia Democratic Primary Discussion Thread...  (Read 14276 times)
Torie
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Posts: 46,084
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Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -4.70

« on: May 13, 2008, 04:50:08 PM »

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Ahah, Operation Chaos really does  exist after all, and at the locus of it all are lawyers!  Tongue
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Torie
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Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 46,084
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -4.70

« Reply #1 on: May 13, 2008, 04:52:46 PM »

Clinton voters 55-45 female
Obama voters 57-43 male

(helpfulllllllllllllll)

Edit: Atypically male electorate, isn't this?

How would one deduce that?
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Torie
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Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 46,084
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -4.70

« Reply #2 on: May 13, 2008, 04:55:01 PM »

Obama voters in November:

Clinton 51%
McCain 31%
Would not vote 14%
Other 4%

Clinton voters:

Obama 36%
McCain 35%
Would not vote 24%
Others 5%

Ooouch.

Well, Obama is in the lead for November with Clinton voters, so there, or something. 
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Torie
Moderators
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 46,084
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -4.70

« Reply #3 on: May 13, 2008, 04:58:36 PM »


Well, that would logically be about 54% female at most, no?  It's generally closer to 60%.

Yes, I see that now. There is no competing primary in a state without party registration no?
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Torie
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Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 46,084
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -4.70

« Reply #4 on: May 13, 2008, 05:02:48 PM »
« Edited: May 13, 2008, 05:05:47 PM by Torie »

Thanks Alcon. You know, come to think of it, West Virginia, is along with Maine, North Dakota  and Alaska, one of the four states that has been deprived by not having been graced with my presence. That is the scenic route way of saying I don't know squat about the state.
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Torie
Moderators
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 46,084
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -4.70

« Reply #5 on: May 13, 2008, 06:20:28 PM »

"In perfect equipoise" of course, which I am sure what the "others" would have written in, if asked to explain what "other" meant. Tongue
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Torie
Moderators
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 46,084
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -4.70

« Reply #6 on: May 13, 2008, 06:22:28 PM »

CNN's exit poll reporting among Clinton supporters say that 75% would be dissatisfied if Obama won, 23% would be satisfied, and, uh...2% not "neither," but "other."  What's "other"?

"I would be neither satisfied nor dissatisfied, but I would be hungry"?

Ready for a lynching?

I think that is a lessor included category of dissatisfied perhaps. LOL.
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Torie
Moderators
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 46,084
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -4.70

« Reply #7 on: May 13, 2008, 06:31:03 PM »

Which areas do you guys think that Edwards will perform the best?

I don't really expect massive differences, but I guess the east?

Paging Al!

If the patterns of elsewhere hold, then historically Democratic areas that aren't dominated by one industrial milieu or another. If. The word is if.

Does that mean rural hicks in English?  Tongue
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Torie
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Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 46,084
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -4.70

« Reply #8 on: May 13, 2008, 06:51:58 PM »

Clinton only beat Obama by 7% among Catholics. What's the matter with West Virginian Catholics?

There are only about 50 Catholics in the state, and they are all gay. I hope that helps. Another theory of course, is well they would tend to have a higher socio economic class here.
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Torie
Moderators
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 46,084
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -4.70

« Reply #9 on: May 13, 2008, 09:24:07 PM »

Obama is running to about form actually. In relatively down market Scotch Irish white areas he gets about 30%. 

Clinton with 74% of the vote in, is carrying Berkeley by 18% by the way.
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