If 2024 is a neutral year, I think that's how the map will look with maybe redistricting moving NE-2 Republicana gain.
I think it's too D now. No choice but to create a sink, unless the state party wants to risk accidentally creating two D districts during the next D wave.
Probably going to be some kind of shoestring linking central Lincoln and Omaha.
Unless there are some anti-gerrymandering rules I am unaware of, it is extremely easy to create an R gerrymander of Nebraska by just splitting Omaha in 2. It doesn't even need to be that ugly as far as gerrymanders go:
The lightest red here is still Trump+15, Rickets+11 and R+10. Even with trends it should be relatively safe for Republicans? (certainly no worse than Lean R; and probably more like Likely R)
And this is a gerrymander where I deliberately held back in favour of a clean map. It is certainly very easy to extend the district further into the rurals to make it even safer
Plus, given how NE-01 is nowhere near close to flipping, it makes no sense to sink that? At worst it's better to have a Lean D district than a Safe D one