Will Trump be a 1 term President?

[The Mikado]

Remember 2004, when Bush lost because everyone hated him and his foreign policy blunders? No way people would've re-elected an idiot like that.

Bush had a ~49% average approval rating on election day and got 51% of the vote. Obama 2012 had a ~50% average approval rating on election day and got 51% of the vote. If Trump has an approval rating of ~40% on election day, he's not really comparable to those two. We'll have a better idea in a year or two if Trump is ever going to recover, but it's worth pointing out that Trump has never once breached 50% approval across his entire presidency, and he's through a sixth of it by now.

[The Mikado]

Remember 2004, when Bush lost because everyone hated him and his foreign policy blunders? No way people would've re-elected an idiot like that.

Bush's lowest approval rating at any point in his first term was 46%.

46% is literally Trump's highest number ever on the Gallup tracking poll.

And, yet, Trump sits in the White House, while Hillary pounds salt.

Trump Denial continues.  I say this because folks just don't get it that Trump knows more about winning than anyone else.  He has more grit than any President I've seen in my lifetime, and he's not going to be run out of office.  He has the stones to tell his political enemies that if they're going to stick it to him, they're going to have to do it in full view of the voters.  He doesn't care about the ugliness of the victory; he cares about avoiding defeat, period.

Never underestimate Trump's power to get America to hate his opponent more than they hate him.

Thing is, Trump won by the skin of his teeth, which means he has zero margin of error for any decline of support. Obama won big in 2008 and was far more unpopular in 2012, and that meant he won his reelection by 4 rather than 7. Trump's starting at -2. He doesn't have anywhere down to go before he hits losing territory.