IA/NH/SC/FL/GA/TX-CBS/Yougov: Sanders leads IA/NH; Clinton leads SC; Trump leads

[IceSpear]

It seems the Hillary-campaign hacked the YouGov website, because they didn't like today's numbers.

I'd like these numbers if I was the Hillary campaign.

1) The Iowa result is actually pretty bad for Sanders. YouGov is consistently his best pollster and they showed him up double digits back in September.

2) He's gained nearly nothing among blacks in SC, solidifying her firewall there and countering the conventional wisdom (among Bernie supporters, that is) that they'd turn on Hillary as soon as they learned who Bernie was.

The NH numbers are bad, but I'd imagine that they've already written NH off, privately if not publicly.

[IceSpear]

http://www.politico.com/story/2016/01/sanders-iowa-2016-strategy-hole-217997

27% of his supporters are in a concentrated area. Those places make up 21% of caucus participants and a paltry 12% of delegates.

I almost forgot the utterly ridiculous way the Iowa "results" are reported for the Democrats. Even if it ends up helping Hillary, it's obscene.

[IceSpear]

I'm loving the confusion of the posters that thought Bernie never had a chance!

People said Bernie never had a chance in Iowa?

[IceSpear]

Are we getting hints of a last minute Rubio surge?  An effective Trump vs. Rubio 2 way from SC on could be quite competitive.

Not really, but we might get one after the media does their usual spam about how he won the debate.