Under what conditions could have George Wallace won in 1968

[GeorgiaSenator]

Your thoughts?

[FEMA Camp Administrator]

Democratic ticket: McCarthy/McGovern
Republican ticket: Romney/Rockefeller
American Independent ticket: Wallace/Connally

With this, Conservatives would probably abandon both major parties and Wallace would probably push to the Right.

Welcome to the forum, by the way.

[Robespierre's Jaw]

None.

His attempt was to force it to the House; not become President.

[reagan84]

Probably none.  He was still a segregationist as of '68.  The best that he could have done is 20-25% of the vote.

[GeorgiaSenator]

Democratic ticket: McCarthy/McGovern
Republican ticket: Romney/Rockefeller
American Independent ticket: Wallace/Connally

With this, Conservatives would probably abandon both major parties and Wallace would probably push to the Right.

Welcome to the forum, by the way.

Cathcon-thanks for the welcome.

If the Democrats won California it could happen.
Connolly would have been a logical (and great choice) for Wallace.  He would have swept the south, including TX, VA, Fla, OK (probably West VA) and had a good chance in Delaware & Maryland and potential in the upper Big Sky states (Idaho, Utah, the Dakotas)
Romney/Rockefeller would take the upper Northeast except maybe RI and VT as well as Ill, Ohio, Ind, and certainly Michigan
The rest of the Midwest would be up for grabs as would the West Coast.

[althmanne]

I really don't see him winning outside of a brokered House election (seeing him as a compromise candidate is EXTREMELY difficult, naturally). The conservative movement, especially considering the segregationist/antisegregationist split in its loyalties, could not possibly have solidified behind Wallace's campaign to allow him to win over vote-splitting liberals.

Perhaps if he had chosen a less "scary" Vice Presidential candidate, e.g. Reagan, if the Romney/Reagan nomination battle had become acrimonious enough (and Nixon had decided against running) and adopted a more mainstream paleoconservative platform (referencing segregation mainly in coded references), he might have pulled out the Mountain West, the South, parts of the Rust Belt, and New Hampshire (a possible outpost in New England).

That, of course, relies on a bitter vote split between Romney/Rockefeller and McCarthy/McGovern, which would probably not materialize (if Wallace became enough of a threat, one candidate would probably emerge as the main alternative, unless Wallace's surge came very late).

[FEMA Camp Administrator]

Romney/Hatfield as the Republican ticket would probably scare the hawks out of the party enough for Wallace to pick up more support.

[Yelnoc]

If the Cuban Crisis goes nuclear in '62 he could survive and become the leader of some political structure eight years later.