KS-SEN 2020 Megathread: Marshall overperforms and wins (user search)
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  KS-SEN 2020 Megathread: Marshall overperforms and wins (search mode)
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Author Topic: KS-SEN 2020 Megathread: Marshall overperforms and wins  (Read 81725 times)
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,908
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« on: January 01, 2019, 08:18:36 PM »
I expect Dems to win KS, NC, AZ and CO. KS with Kelly is different now.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,908
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #1 on: January 04, 2019, 10:10:10 AM »
3rd most vulnerable seat after AZ and CO
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,908
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #2 on: April 22, 2019, 06:19:30 PM »
Quote from: Suburban New Jersey Conservative on April 22, 2019, 06:09:08 PM

A Democrat who lost reelection in 2008, even Kobach would beat her


Tilt/Lean R with Kobach
Safe R without Kobach

If Boyda is the nominee

Lean R with Kobach
Safe R without Kobach

Dems are just recruiting candidates in KS, NC, TX and AZ, just in case Ernst and Collins survive.  

Better than GOP efforts in must win states: MI, Va and NH
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,908
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #3 on: June 19, 2019, 02:31:10 PM »
Likely R, AZ, CO, GA, ME, and NC flips the Senate, with MI-Sen as the tipping point.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,908
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #4 on: July 01, 2019, 08:12:32 AM »
https://amp-kansascity-com.cdn.ampproject.org/v/s/amp.kansascity.com/news/politics-government/article232075257.html?amp_js_v=a2&amp_gsa=1&usqp=mq331AQA#referrer=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.google.com&amp_tf=From%20%251%24s&ampshare=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.kansascity.com%2Fnews%2Fpolitics-government%2Farticle232075257.html


Never mind IA, Dems net a huge win, with Barry Grissom for KS Senate
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,908
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #5 on: July 01, 2019, 04:07:55 PM »
With a 2012 map or to a lesser extent; Dems can still win AZ, CO, KS and NC
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,908
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #6 on: July 08, 2019, 12:44:29 AM »
If anyone can beat Kobach, its Grissom
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,908
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #7 on: July 08, 2019, 09:12:25 AM »
Kobach isnt the best candidate to go against Grissom
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,908
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #8 on: July 08, 2019, 12:33:40 PM »
Quote from: Gravel Green on July 08, 2019, 11:54:34 AM
I think Kobach would still be favored if he gets through the primary.

Barry Grissom is a great candidate,  if the wave winds are right Grissom can win
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,908
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #9 on: July 08, 2019, 01:15:30 PM »
Wave insurance,  I donated to Grissom and Gross, Dems have an 11 pt lead om ballot 49-38, they can win this
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,908
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #10 on: July 08, 2019, 09:37:15 PM »
Barry Grissom is gonna be the Dem nominee
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,908
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #11 on: July 09, 2019, 03:46:13 AM »
Quote from: SWE on July 09, 2019, 12:05:59 AM
Safe R -> Likely R. Koisch still probably wins but he's embarrassing enough to get a "probably" qualifier

In waves, red states and blue states dont vote their party ideology, sunbelt states turn purple. Barry Grissom can  beat Kobach in a blue wave. Just like Kelly won in 2018
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,908
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #12 on: July 11, 2019, 01:21:44 PM »
Sabato moved this race out of safe R, Barry Grissom can win
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,908
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #13 on: July 24, 2019, 06:34:27 AM »
Grissom, if nominated, will win seat
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,908
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #14 on: July 24, 2019, 07:07:41 AM »
No, he can win period, lets see polls first
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,908
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #15 on: August 13, 2019, 07:02:00 PM »
If Kris Kobach is the candidate, Dems should pour resources into this state
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,908
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #16 on: August 18, 2019, 02:57:40 PM »
Dems will win AZ, CO, KS, ME and NC
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,908
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #17 on: August 18, 2019, 03:18:08 PM »
Another Steve Walsh, sigh...... Dems have AZ, CO, ME and NC anyways
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,908
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #18 on: August 18, 2019, 05:39:49 PM »
Quote from: For Trump everything, for immigrants the law on August 18, 2019, 04:38:52 PM
Not sure why people think this is anything other than Safe R. Even if Kobach is the nominee, Senate races are not Gubernatorial races.

Barry Grissom was an independent and Orman almost won in 2014 the Senate race against Pat Roberts, thats why he retired, he was vulnerable
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,908
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #19 on: August 18, 2019, 06:03:01 PM »
I cant believe I gave money to his candidacy.  Strickland, Walsh and now Grissom ended on sour note
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,908
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #20 on: August 19, 2019, 09:33:47 AM »
Grissom needs to dropout
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,908
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #21 on: September 03, 2019, 09:26:18 PM »
I think Franken, KS. Ak, NC and ME as well as CO & AZ can flip given Dems a padded Senate Maj with or without GA and AL
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,908
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #22 on: September 04, 2019, 10:11:33 AM »
Quote from: Bagel23 on September 03, 2019, 10:30:09 PM
Quote from: Cory Booker on September 03, 2019, 09:26:18 PM
I think Franken, KS. Ak, NC and ME as well as CO & AZ can flip given Dems a padded Senate Maj with or without GA and AL



Trump is building a wall and average Americans are struggling with rents, gas prices and wages. A wall needs to be built but, Trump has made this the only issue that matters. Dubya abandoned SSA reform to build same wall; as a result 2008 happened
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,908
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #23 on: September 05, 2019, 10:37:09 AM »
The KS Senate race isnt likely R,its a tossup. Dont go by the Cook, Sabato analyst, they are looking at what it will take Dems to get to 50, ME, AZ, AL and CO will, this seat is a seat that Dems can pad their Senate majority along with IA, AK, NC and GA
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,908
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #24 on: September 06, 2019, 10:11:15 AM »
Quote from: LCameronOR on September 05, 2019, 12:25:24 PM
Quote from: Cory Booker on September 05, 2019, 10:37:09 AM
The KS Senate race isnt likely R,its a tossup. Dont go by the Cook, Sabato analyst, they are looking at what it will take Dems to get to 50, ME, AZ, AL and CO will, this seat is a seat that Dems can pad their Senate majority along with IA, AK, NC and GA
Do you say whatever inane BS pops into your head at any given time or do you carefully plan out your crap ahead of time?

No, the Senate is corrupted with McConnell 's leadership and Dems chance of taking back Senate has gone up. If R's lose AZ, this will get Dems the majority. It proves Dems can win in a red state and can win in KS, AK and TX
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