KS-SEN 2020 Megathread: Marshall overperforms and wins

[smoltchanov]

You can't win in Kansas on "base enthusiasm" only.... You need a lot of "bland well-to-do suburban" votes too... And they are not too likely to go for "bold progressive".

You couldn't correctly define progressivism if it slapped you in the face.

Yeah, you run from it as quickly as possible...

[RogueBeaver]

Kobach might enter tomorrow.

[Lognog]

Kobach might enter tomorrow.

if so he could easily get the nomination and win the state

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

If anyone can beat Kobach, its Grissom

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

KKKobach in

https://mobile.twitter.com/CATargetBot/status/1148230707925270528

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Kobach isnt the best candidate to go against Grissom

[Politician]

KKKobach in

https://mobile.twitter.com/CATargetBot/status/1148230707925270528

Tossup if he gets nominated.

[Sir Mohamed]

LOL @ KKKobach, (almost) the Kansas version of Roy Moore. Two annoying deplorables who never go away.

[Ilhan Apologist]

If Kobach wins the nomination (very big if), Grissom should approach this the way Kelly did and prioritize getting endorsements from former GOP governors.

[Sir Mohamed]

If Kobach wins the nomination (very big if), Grissom should approach this the way Kelly did and prioritize getting endorsements from former GOP governors.

Not a big if, if Trump endorses him.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

If Kobach wins the nomination (very big if), Grissom should approach this the way Kelly did and prioritize getting endorsements from former GOP governors.

Not a big if, if Trump endorses him.

Trump is going to take the Roy Moore rerun path on him (less aggresive but still), he's not going to endorse literally the one guy in the primary who could lose the GE and lost KS as a republican.

[Ilhan Apologist]

If Kobach wins the nomination (very big if), Grissom should approach this the way Kelly did and prioritize getting endorsements from former GOP governors.

Not a big if, if Trump endorses him.

Kobach barely won the primary in 2018 with a Trump endorsement. Surely there will be at least a handful of GOP voters who decide he's unelectable and don't vote for him.

[Sir Mohamed]

If Kobach wins the nomination (very big if), Grissom should approach this the way Kelly did and prioritize getting endorsements from former GOP governors.

Not a big if, if Trump endorses him.

Kobach barely won the primary in 2018 with a Trump endorsement. Surely there will be at least a handful of GOP voters who decide he's unelectable and don't vote for him.

He won against an incumbent, who was always considered a stronger/less polarzing GE candidate. And Trump endorsement came pretty much last minute.

[tmthforu94]

If Kobach wins the nomination (very big if), Grissom should approach this the way Kelly did and prioritize getting endorsements from former GOP governors.

Not a big if, if Trump endorses him.

Kobach barely won the primary in 2018 with a Trump endorsement. Surely there will be at least a handful of GOP voters who decide he's unelectable and don't vote for him.

You're right, but it won't be a head-to-head race in 2020. There will likely be several top candidates who can split the "sane" vote.

Lean Kobach for the primary right now, depends on how it shakes up.

[tmthforu94]

Oops!

https://www.kansascity.com/news/politics-government/article232398882.html

Kris Kobach appears to be running for U.S. Senate and to have launched his campaign by misspelling his own name.

A campaign committee named Kobach for Senate filed with the Federal Election Commission Monday morning, hours before Kobach was scheduled to give a speech in Leavenworth, where he is expected to kick off his campaign.

[Skye]

NRSC already slamming his candidacy.

https://twitter.com/BryanLowry3/status/1148254369844015104

[Gracile]

I think Kobach would still be favored if he gets through the primary.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I think Kobach would still be favored if he gets through the primary.

Barry Grissom is a great candidate,  if the wave winds are right Grissom can win

[President Johnson]

That made me laugh, KKKochbach trying again. This guy never gives up, doesn't he? If he wins the nomination: Likely Republican -> Tossup/tilt Republican. I'm pretty sure the God Emperor will endorse him in the primary, what will carry him over the finish line. This time, he can actually tweet "strong at the border", unlike the last time, as the governor of Kansas has nothing to do with the southern border.

Also looks like Colyer is considering and we see another matchup between the two?

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Wave insurance,  I donated to Grissom and Gross, Dems have an 11 pt lead om ballot 49-38, they can win this

[😥]

If Kobach wins Republican nomination: Tossup/Tilt R
If Kobach loses Republican nomination: Likely R

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

I hope Kobach wins the Republican nomination. Its the difference between whether this race is Likely R or Lean D.

[President Johnson]

I hope Kobach wins the Republican nomination. Its the difference between whether this race is Likely R or Lean D.

I wouldn't go to lean Democratic for now, though this may change if polls show KKKobach trailing in October 2020. Gubernatorial races are less nationalzed and Kansas has been Democratic-friendlier here over the past decades while we haven't seen a Democrat elected to the senate in a pretty long time.

[brucejoel99]

Maybe he'll choke on his tongue.

[ElectionsGuy]

Oh lord. Get ready for Senator Kobach. And no, this race doesn't become a freaking toss-up with him just because he lost the gubernatorial race last year.